Trump capitulates on his war aims and loses the conflict with Iran, achieving an outcome significantly worse and more costly than Obama’s Iran deal. Meanwhile, Europeans:
Crypto analysis in 2024: The dog has a hat
Crypto analysis in 2026: Strait of Hormuz, auto-translate from Farsi, tracking military movements via OSINT, oil futures backwardation
@KantInEastt STFU! Where did you get your info from? It’s a fucking cease fire, America did not accept anything but a cease fire agreement that Iran already broke, so tomorrow cease fire is over, fuck face…
So let me get this straight…
•$40 billion spent
•300+ Americans wounded
•Over a dozen killed
•Oil prices doubled
•U.S. bases severely damaged
And what do we get?
Iran keeps its uranium.
No nuclear deal.
The Strait of Hormuz still unstable.
And the world sees us as weaker, not stronger.
Sounds about right for a Trump deal.
Anyway, “a whole civilization will die tonight” led to a formal ceasefire
In a situation where there literally wasn’t leadership on one side and ceasefire seemed impossible
Trump’s still got it
I'm calling it now.
Everyone thinks Trump is about to blow up IRAN tonight.
Unlikely.
I will tell you what actually happens.
Most likely,
He extends
Or takes a partial deal and calls it a historic victory.
Why?
Look at the history of trump.
North Korea; threatened to rain "fire and fury like the world has never seen."
Ended up sitting down for a handshake summit.
China: threatened to destroy their economy with tariffs.
Ended up signing a trade deal and calling it a win.
Mexico: threatened to shut the entire border down.
Ended up getting minor concessions and declaring victory.
This is the Trump playbook.
Escalate the language to the extreme right before a negotiation closes,
The land a deal and call himself the greatest dealmaker alive.
And here's the thing nobody is saying,
Bombing power plants doesn't open the Strait.
Only a deal does.
Watch.
The way Trump is positioning the markets, going from “end of civilization” rhetoric to dropping the most favorable peace deal, will be studied in history books.
He’s pouring maximum gasoline on the fire so the markets can rip even harder when the good news hits.
Every single person parroting the propaganda talking points is just helping him add more fuel.
I’ll drop more on this later.
If the US was going to use nukes the S&P would've hit multiple circuit breakers today.
It's down .3% on the day....
There's absolutely no way we wouldn't see insider trading for something like that.
Relax.