
Incitatus
26.1K posts

Incitatus
@Dominanski
Setter of bones, Foot whisperer. Will drag you up to my level and beat you with experience! #E/acc
Sweden Beigetreten Aralık 2014
3.9K Folgt1.1K Follower

@zcserei @MichaelAArouet You mean to say that the alternative is the orc living in orcistan with his 4 wifes and his 17 kids starving on the streets in sewerabad?
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@MichaelAArouet The alternative is a family with three kids living on the streets.
These measures are meant to help people through tough times.
Those who abuse it should be held accountable, but generally the system is good.
You fall sick, your kids won’t starve and you won’t become homeless.
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@AndreasSteno @QuintenFrancois Because the EU has never recognised the source of the war which is Israeli attacks on Iran assassinating its leaders. The EU still can’t accept that Israel is escalating and Iran responding.
If we can’t say the truth out loud how can we fix the problem?
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@uncanned_worms @jtdavies @danveloper @carsenklock unified ram earthy fren ;)
qwen 122b running natively in LM studio below, no optimisations on my part

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@jtdavies @danveloper @carsenklock Haven't paid attention to laptops closely for a few years, but did I just read that ram correctly in mactop? 128gb in a laptop? wtf
GIF
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Extending on @danveloper (and Claude's) repo github.com/danveloper/fla…
I managed to get Qwen3.5-397B-A17B-4bit (224GB) running comfortably on my new M5 Max Laptop. Shout out to @carsenklock's MacTop too.
Over 10 Tok/sec!!!
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@uncanned_worms @jtdavies @danveloper @carsenklock qwen 122B running natively in LM studio, no optimisations on my part

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@BuzzLightSabre @RamboVanHalen I guess you comment in jest but I answer in all seriousness: typically you hurt yourself on the bike on the way down, the handlebar is a common culprit. I remember it as being made not of softwood
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@Dominanski @RamboVanHalen Was the tree hardwood or softwood?
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Ran into my elderly neighbor. Hadn't seen him in a while.
He's a generally a spry/fit/active guy in his 70s, but when I saw him he looked like shit and had an oxygen tube in his nose. I asked him what happened.
He was out riding his bike (because he's a fit active guy) and crashed into a tree. Paramedics came and insisted on taking him to the ER "just to be safe".
He was bruised up but felt like he could go home.
But the the ER wanted him to spend the night for observation "just to be safe".
So he took their advice and then... he caught some gnarly pneumonia and spent 8 weeks (!!) in the hospital.
He just got out and he's still on oxygen. And he's probably not going to be riding his bike anytime soon.
If there's a moral here: if you feel like you can walk out of the hospital, then please: walk out of the hospital.
Hospitals are chock full of the WORST pathogens and it's best to spend as little time there as possible.
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@Aktielirarn @HankSweden Det håller tills det inte håller längre. Har vi en EU vid gas/el/finanskris nästa vinter får vi se om unionen bedarrar stormen
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@Dominanski @HankSweden Det stora problemet idag för oss vanliga dödliga är att politikerna struntar i oss. De gör allt för att inneha makten, det enda som betyder något.
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vi har en helt impotent ledning. Vi borde ha gjort 2(3) saker för 4 år sedan
1. Gett ryssland på nöten så att de kröp in och gömde sig bakom uralbergen
2. påbörjat akutprogram för återstart/byggande av kärnkraftverk + olje/gas utvinning
(3. internerat alla miljöpartister och andra sabotörer/femtekolonnare i arbetsläger)
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@Dominanski @HankSweden Bra analys!
EU's politik bevisar att dom skiter fullständigt i medborgarna. Det är ju inte de som drabbas när elen kommer kosta 500öre nästa vinter.
Man kan tycka vad man vill om Trump, men hans åsikter om EU's energi, migration, försvar osv. är inte helt åt helvete!
GIF
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konstant tryck mot ledning + manskap i IRGC och Basji, när luckor i regimkontroll uppstår skickar man upp testballonger med mobilisering av vanligt folk ut på gatorna. Om befolkningen tar och kontrollerar mark förstärker man med vapen + drönare. Regimmotanfall bombas.
om resning inte sker kommer man utöka bombningar av infrastruktur till kraftverk, gas/oljeindustri och avsaltning
USA kommer ta sig ur kriget på ett av två sätt
1. Resning i Iran => regimkollaps
2. utradering av Irans ekonomi => regimimpotens under 20 år framåt
i det senare fallet kommer Iran ta med sig gulfstaternas olje och gasutvinning. EU har nu haft 4 års krig på sig att återstarta kärnkraft och påbörja egen utvinning av olja och gas, man har gjort nada... konsekvenserna kommer nå oss som ett brev på posten
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Incitatus retweetet

Some thoughts on destruction of oil and gas infrastructure in the Gulf.
It is not exactly a new insight that modern economies operate on oil. Oil access, synthesis, and interdiction was a major theater of WW2. 100 years ago oil-poor nations spent heavily and participated in terrible wars over oil. See, for example, the Combined Bombing Offensive, Operation Tidal Wave, and the destruction of the Leuna synthetic fuel plants, not to mention the effectiveness of the submarine war in the waters around Japan.
In 2022, energy producer Russia invaded Ukraine, instantly throwing into stark relief the idiocy of European energy policy, where an unholy alliance of heavily regulated energy contractors and astroturfed "green" activists managed to get Germany to shut down their nuclear industry. Even as solar panel production, largely initially developed and funded in the West, grew to overwhelming proportions, Europe insisted on sending roughly $1b *per day* to Russia for access to their oil and gas.
If Europe had adjusted course in early 2022, then they would be able to support their power grids and probably some synthetic fuel production by now. The US built nuclear weapons from scratch in 2.5 years in the 1940s in competition with other national priorities at the same time. It's been more than four years since Ukraine's invasion.
But no, they did sweet fuck all about ensuring energy sovereignty. Indeed, they even went in the other direction. Britain concentrated government resources on cracking down on free speech and stopped drilling for oil. The continent continued their ill-informed blanket ban on fracking, and working age people continued to pay the price, in the form of ever higher costs, ever higher taxes, ever poorer public services, ever dropping fertility.
What about the rest of the oil importing developed world? France and Japan maintained their nuclear industry, their navies, their shipping industries and the fungibility of their supply - to an extent - even as they continued to actively burn up their economies in other more insidious ways.
New Zealand shut down their last refinery. Australia exports a lot of crude and gas but mostly lacks the ability to close their supply chain in their own borders, and fuel prices have almost doubled. California continued to ban new drilling and continues to wage open regulatory warfare against their oil refineries, perversely increasing oil-related air pollution in the state from foreign oil tanker imports and pushing gasoline prices ever higher.
More of the world has attempted to switch to natural gas supply, with investments exceeding $1t on gas import and export terminals, as though it's some fundamental law of nature that hydrocarbons must cross an ocean before they're used. As though the US fracking boom will last forever, or Asian demand growth won't see European prices continue to increase, further crushing their economic dynamism.
I have been in the room with various Asian and European energy ministers and have asked them point blank: What's your plan? I have never gotten a better answer than a shrug, as though they'll muddle through and soon it'll be someone else's problem.
The best time to get serious about domestic energy supply chains was four years ago. The second best time is today. The pain will ease just as soon as you say the magic words: I must increase my own energy supply!
And yes, it is totally possible to produce synthetic oil and gas pretty much anywhere that people live with a solar-based process we've spent four years developing at @TerraformIndies, it is future proof, it is strategically robust, it is price-linked to solar manufacturing cost, which continues to fall like a rock. It's not entirely trivial to do but, given that Europe spends about 100,000x more on Russian oil and gas imports than they do on (privately funded) synthetic fuel development, I am on safe ground when I accuse Europe's leaders of committing gross capital misallocation. Imagine what the synthetic fuel industry could achieve with $1b/day!
If you are an energy minister, now is a good time to reflect on fates worse than losing an election. Get back to work!
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@RamboVanHalen Unless he already has a physio that could be a good idea, or a pt. Someone who can help him structure his training and push him. Or take him for a walk if he can manage.
Pneumonia’s are killers of old people
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@Dominanski He was working in his yard trying to get moving. The oxygen tank was slowing him down tho.
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@RamboVanHalen Increases the chance of hospital bug, but hard to avoid :/
Important for him to quickly get on the bike and rehab back to full function
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@Dominanski Understood.
No idea when the pneumonia started. I think he might have been home for a day or two before he was readmitted.
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@thx1138_v2 @RamboVanHalen yep, especially if you are vulnerable in some way
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@Dominanski @RamboVanHalen My own transplant oncologist has admitted that the hospital where I see him is probably the least safe place I could be.
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haven't done ER/trauma for more than 15 years so take what I say with a grain of salt. I agree with you about hospital bugs on principle, hospitals are unsafe places to be. but...
bike accidents can be high energy, especially if you crash with some hard object, so there are good reasons for keeping ppl for observation, especially if you have some kind of sneaky suspicion (head trauma, prior condition etc). It's likely he triggered the spidey sense of some ER doc. how quickly after admisson did the pneumonia develop? He could have already had it and that's why he crashed. There's a myriad possibilities
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This is with high likelihood an unnecessary intermediary step
Aging boils down to two main mechanisms, programmed (methylation/staged expression) and stochastic (entropy/accumulated random DNA damage)
We can likely ’rewind’ the programmed aging with a relatively simple mrna/peptide payload which immediately grants you several decades of extended good health runway (maybe even more)
Detecting/repairing stochastic damage is a different game and will likely take longer but youthful tissues don’t help solving this since you can statistically reconstruct your undamaged state even from ’old’ cells
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As awareness builds that AI is indeed accelerating progress in solving aging I would expect a serious ramp of efforts by people to freeze their biological clock.
If you’re optimistic about the steepness of the progress curve the perceived option value increases meaningfully.
AI allows you to replicate a biological state.
Freezing samples let you save that state and revert back to it.
People currently freeze eggs. Very soon I would expect people to start freezing liters of blood plasma, sperm, stem cells, and spinal fluid.
Yes there is a very real chance that none of this will be necessary on a steep enough arc but the possibility that AI is good enough to replicate fluids but not good enough to fully reverse your epigenetics is likely an intermediary period we go through first.
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@CJHandmer Got one over whatsapp that had partial data regarding my booking at a hotel I was heading to, likely automated from a hack of their systems
Subjectively the frequency of sophisticated attacks has increased in the last few months
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I've been on the receiving end of a series of high effort attempted phishing scams for X. I don't really understand the motive, but they had a lot of personal information about me. Pretty soon this is going to be automated at massive scale.
James Woods@RealJamesWoods
I’ve received a threat from X that they will be shutting down my account within 48 hours because of something I posted. Of course, there’s no one I can speak to about this. If I’m closed down, just know it’s been fun.
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@pegobry_en you lack ambition
Russia pushed back to the urals/muscovy rump state. Oil wells + gas wells are european property now
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I think it should say something that I’m one of the most pro-Trump, pro-American Europeans in existence, and *I’m* just so pissed off.
"I don’t care, your continent is shit, your economy is shit, your military is shit."
Ok. Then leave.
I’m French, I’m Gaullist, so I can say this.
Don’t like NATO? Leave!
We have nukes, we have energy independence, we’ll be fine.
Leave!
Get. The fuck. Out.
If you’re so unhappy, leave.
You’re like a wife that keeps threatening her husband with divorce even though we both know you’re not going to do it.
You’re so unhappy? Door’s here. Leave.
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Incitatus retweetet

I put in 25 years. It would be 26 but I haven't worked yet this year and I'm not sure I'll ever work in entertainment again.
The writing has been on the wall for quite some time. But it's a sad thing--especially since the collapse of Hollywood is (mostly) self inflicted.
Outsiders like to blame the unions and burdensome regulations. That's not exactly wrong, but the big reason is that Hollywood stopped making a product that people wanted to consume.
Film is a funny thing. On one hand it's art. But on the other it's a mass consumer product--like a car, or a soft drink.
But unlike a typical consumer product, it was something we consumed together. We went to a special place, and sat with strangers, and watched stories.
And those stories infected us.
They entered our minds and our souls and they implanted things.
Deep things. Ancient things. Timeless things.
Things like heroism and beauty and love and fear and sex and death and adventure and tragedy and pain and injustice and all the things that make up our dreams.
There's a thing we call "cinematic language". It's how we tell a story with images. (And BTW if you want to learn more about the language of visual media, read Scott McCloud's excellent book Understanding Comics.)
An odd thing about cinematic language is that it's the same language as dreams. There's a scene in Christopher Nolan's Inception where Leonardo DiCaprio is explains to (the tragic) Ellen Page how dreams work.
But what he's really describing is cinematic language. Inception is really a movie about movies BTW.
While it's far from my favorite film, I think it's the perfect film. Because the suspension of disbelief is perfect. You believe the plot about dreams because you're familiar with how movies work--maybe not consciously--but you know.
Everyone knows. Maybe not everyone has seen a movie, but everyone has dreams.
Another odd thing about film: you don't "watch" a movie, you look into it. And you put yourself inside it. Now you're in the dream.
And you're hypnotized.
Because movies do that too.
The motion--the moving images--they hack your brain. We're programed to pay attention to moving things.
Even when the things aren't real.
Even when they're just light reflected off a screen.
So we'd go to these special places--these movie theaters--these temples--and we'd sit, and we'd "watch" and we'd enter the dream.
And we did it together.
And after the movie was over--and the lights came on, and we'd file out over the sound of popcorn crunching under our feet--we were different.
We had become transformed.
Sometimes we were changed in minor ways. But sometimes not. Sometimes we were changed in profound ways.
And we did it together.
Before the movie we were a room full of strangers.
But after--on the way out the door--we all had something in common.
Because we shared an experience. We'd shared the dream. And we'd all become transformed.
And then tech got involved...
Streaming turned movies from a communal experience to a personal experience. And that's an issue, but they did something else too.
They started developing movies as if they were tech products.
But you can't apply a KPI to a dream. At least, not successfully anyway. Because dreams don't work like that--nor does any sort of art.
And that's a funny thing about making movies. You try to make the best film you can, but at the end of the day you have no idea if it's good or if it's going to be successful. You just have to hope the audience likes it.
Now, you can design a movie that will appeal to a preexisting audience. Marvel movies are like this. There's a large group of fanboy nerds that will see every single one.
You can count on them every time.
Just like you can count on the Gay Oscar Bait crowd (for example).
But those movies are slop. But Hollywood became specialists in slop. Because slop is safe. Because you could apply KPI style metrics to slop.
As a result they lost the audience. And the audience is probably never coming back.
I wrote a book in 2024 (that was published in 2025). While writing, I thought of it as my farewell to the industry.
But looking back, what I was actually writing was a eulogy for Hollywood--the place where dreams were made.
And so it goes...
Farhan Tariq Mahmood@FARlikewhoa
Production days in LA are down nearly half and the entertainment industry is feeling it. A friend, who has been working as an editor for over 25 years, compared it to a coal mine shutting down.
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@AnnaLeptikon An issue with humanities degrees is that they tend to produce people who have never had the experience of being wrong on technical grounds, which humbles people in math, engineering and experimental sciences. Instead, they get reward and pushback based on social criteria
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Always remember, your thoughts about how something is only a fantasy, can also be a fantasy.
It’s turtles all the way down.
عشع@ceaseium
always relevant
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