Vague

2.4K posts

Vague

Vague

@GregoryParry5

Beigetreten Nisan 2019
156 Folgt64 Follower
Vague
Vague@GregoryParry5·
@gummibear737 What you describe is a true principle. But to claim that you have wisdom and understanding of geopolitics is simply delusional. You're a 100% captured Neocon/Zionist.
English
0
0
0
18
Gummi
Gummi@gummibear737·
Honestly, even though my IQ was technically higher as a young man, a younger me could not understand the world nearly well as I do now. I had neither the wisdom, nor the desire to put my talents towards such endeavors It’s why historically our ancestors prized wisdom above all
English
11
1
214
3.7K
James Lindsay, anti-Communist
James Lindsay, anti-Communist@ConceptualJames·
Trump is right. If American conservative young men weren't poisoned by a Leftist psyop against Israel, they'd think it's one of the coolest, most badass places on Earth. But, they've got yet another mind virus.
James Lindsay, anti-Communist tweet media
English
695
880
6.7K
137.7K
Vague
Vague@GregoryParry5·
@OwenGregorian Since when did you become an Israeli boy?
English
0
0
0
50
Owen Gregorian
Owen Gregorian@OwenGregorian·
Iran’s New Supreme Leader Surfaces (Sort of) With a Chilling Message | Robert Spencer, PJ Media Mojtaba Khamenei, the new supreme leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran, still hasn’t been seen in public since he was named to his exalted new position. Reuters reported that “three people close to his inner circle” said that the world’s most prominent nepo baby was severely injured in the airstrike that killed his father, suffering disfigurement to his face and reportedly also losing a leg. Nevertheless, in a new message on Telegram Saturday, the younger Khamenei was full of threats and bravado, and ready to give the Great Satan and Little Satan a whipping they won’t soon forget. “Iran’s navy,” Mojtaba (or whoever was writing the message in his name) declared, “is ready to inflict new bitter defeats on enemies.” That may be, but it’s more than a little improbable. As President Donald Trump put it on Monday, “Their military is destroyed, their whole navy is underwater. One hundred fifty ships are gone, their navy is gone.” It was peculiarly fitting: the threat of a phantom navy from a supreme leader who may very well not be alive at all. The Islamic Republic has admitted that Mojtaba was indeed gravely injured: according to Reuters, “a newsreader on state television described him as a ‘janbaz,’ a term used for those badly wounded in war, after he was named supreme leader.” On the other hand, Mojtaba Khamenei could be dead, and all this talk about his facial injuries and how he lost a leg is just an attempt to secure some legitimacy for a regime that is on the brink. A new supreme leader who is the son of the old supreme leader immediately commands more respect than a second- or third-line cleric who might have been pressed into duty after the killing of so many of the Islamic Republic’s top leadership. Whatever his true condition may be, the Telegram version of Mojtaba was full of bravado. “Just as Iran’s drones strike like lightning against the US and Zionist criminals, Israel,” he wrote, “the brave navy is also prepared to inflict new bitter defeat on enemies.” Nor is the Islamic Republic relying upon its navy alone. “The Army,” Khamenei added, “is like the nation’s child, which arises from within the heart of the people’s homes. The Islamic Republic of Iran’s Army is now courageously defending the land, water, and flag that belong to it. Iran’s Army is standing side by side with their comrades from other armed forces, battling the two leading armies of disbelief and Arrogance.” Taking a page from Baghdad Bob, the spokesman for Saddam Hussein who provoked laughter around the world two decades ago when he insisted that the Iraqi army was dealing the Americans a humiliating defeat, even as American troops advanced in the background of his video shot, Mojtaba declared: “And the Islamic Army has exposed those armies’ weakness and humiliation to the world.” He meant, of course, the armies of America and Israel, not his own, but back in the real world, Trump said: “I think Iran is in very bad shape. I think they’re pretty desperate… We had a meeting that lasted 21 hours. We understand the situation better than anybody, and Iran’s in very bad shape.” Nevertheless, it seems clear from the chest-thumping and threats in the message from Khamenei, or whoever really wrote it, that the Islamic Republic of Iran intends to take up the war in earnest when the true expires on April 22. That has been clear enough from the fact that on Saturday, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) announced: “Following the violation of the ceasefire conditions, the American enemy did not lift the naval blockade of Iranian vessels and ports; therefore, from this afternoon, the Strait of Hormuz is closed until this blockade is lifted.” Whatever shape Mojtaba Khamenei is really in, the IRGC is likely running the show in Iran now, and that situation will almost certainly continue. Iran’s Islamic regime has been ruling through terror for 47 years, with the IRGC as its principal enforcement arm. Now, with the regime deeply threatened from both within and without, the terror has gotten even worse, and those who have trafficked in it all these years have presented themselves as the only force that can keep the regime in power. Nevertheless, Mojtaba Khamenei, alive or just presented as such, is a powerful force to give the new rulers legitimacy. How long all this strange situation will or can last, however, will depend largely upon the will of the U.S. and Israel to keep up the pressure. pjmedia.com/robert-spencer…
Owen Gregorian tweet media
English
6
6
24
3.7K
Vague
Vague@GregoryParry5·
@gummibear737 Sometimes even the Liberals can manage to figure something out.
English
0
0
0
62
Vague
Vague@GregoryParry5·
@gummibear737 Are you living in a vacuum? Trump is going insane in front of our eyes.
English
0
0
0
24
Gummi
Gummi@gummibear737·
Why is there a deal…then it’s not a deal…and then it’s a deal…but yet it’s not? This analysis of the nature of the Iranian “regime” appears more accurate than it did a couple of days ago
Gummi@gummibear737

Let me take you through a thought experiment about what “the Iranian regime” actually is right now. Imagine a country like Iran, where familial and tribal loyalties run in parallel to the centralized authority. A place where patronage is built into the system. The US and Israel have decimated the leadership of both the Supreme Ruler and his clerics as well as the IRGC command. Factor in the mosaic strategy of spreading the IRGC out across all 31 provinces, plus constant attacks and degradation of Iranian infrastructure used by the IRGC: communication, roads, bases. In such a world the issue of succession becomes a problem, even if the regime thought they had prepared for it. New positions of authority are not being delegated from above, but rather are being assumed based on some hierarchy or org structure that may or may not still exist one month into the war. The IRGC leadership is not nearly as ideologically aligned as maybe the mullahs or the rank and file are. We are seeing reports of the relatives of high level IRGC living lavish lifestyles in the United States. We also know that the IRGC operates like a sort of organized crime syndicate within Iran, whereby they control large parts of the economy. Leadership is continuing to be killed on a near daily basis. It does not appear that the mullahs are even in charge anymore. The IRGC imposed the new supreme leader, even though all accounts say that he is badly injured and not conscious. There is probably some sort of coup whereby the IRGC has assumed power and decision-making without announcing it publicly. And there are reports of the president complaining that he has no real power and that the IRGC are pulling the strings. Now we get to the final point where it’s not even entirely clear who is negotiating on behalf of Iran. The actual situation within Iran in terms of their leadership is most likely something resembling this: authority is no longer flowing downward from Tehran. It is being claimed locally by surviving provincial commanders, rival IRGC factions, and patronage networks. Iran has become a loose confederation of armed power centers held together by shared hatred of the US and Israel, residual revolutionary ideology, and the IRGC’s economic mafia networks…but those same networks are also pulling in opposite directions. Logical conclusions from all this: ceasefires and diplomatic agreements become extremely fragile because the people signing them may not actually control the people with the missiles and drones (as we saw with the Kuwait strikes hours after the truce announcement). Further leadership killings will likely create even more autonomous warlords rather than weaken the resistance. Negotiating any lasting deal has become incredibly difficult because there is no longer one single lever of control. The regime is effectively fighting two wars at once…externally against the US and Israel, and internally against itself. That is likely what “the Iranian regime” actually is right now…and the US/Israel know this reality full well. They see and hear everything that’s happening. And what we, as the public, know is almost entirely controlled by what the US, Israel, and “Iranian regime” is telling us publicly. There is no independent reporting from inside Iran. The fog of war is nearly absolute and we are being told only a small part of what is actually going on. But if you look closely and deep enough, you’ll find enough crumbs to support (at least partially) the logical conclusions of this thought experiment. What would I be trying to do if I were Trump? Divide and Conquer is the name of the game. So take everything that you hear and see with a grain of salt…there’s lots of smoke and mirrors.

English
12
9
182
13.6K
Vague
Vague@GregoryParry5·
@gummibear737 Those were the good old days. I fear they will never return.
English
0
0
0
12
Gummi
Gummi@gummibear737·
This is still my most viewed post with over 3 million impressions...and I don't think I got anything wrong, but I think it did a lot of damage It was back when I thought that a populist conservative movement could work. This was after Covid where there was a lot of legitimate skepticism of the establishment and elites People like Andrew Tate (before he was famous) reached out to me about it back then...they thought it was amazing I thought that exposing the underpinnings of the globalist world view that was becoming increasingly common place among elites was important The problem is I just didn't understand social media and how these things work...and I didn't understand that such an agenda would shortly be hijacked by grifters looking to weaponize legitimate criticisms of the status quo It wasn't long after this that I started noticing the emergence of the Woke/Reactionary Right and the grifters that followed. But it was too late to do much about it back then...I was a small insignificant voice And so I started talking about it, to the consternation of my followers...many of which left. But I always promised people that I would tell them my honest opinion even if it's not what they want to hear...unfortunately a lot of people didn't want to hear it! But here we are, and all's well that ends well I guess If I could offer one piece of advise to people is never go too far towards one extreme...the truth is almost always in the middle somewhere. Don't trust people who tell you they've discovered some incredible new revelation...that's a story as old as history itself The point of conservatism is to explain to people that many of the things people think are new and progressive have actually been tried many times before, and failed. There is wisdom in the DNA of our ancestors if we'd only take the time to look back to understand it properly Human history doesn't exactly repeat itself, but it follows a pattern whereby generations fail to understand the lessons of their predecessors...and often in very similar ways
Gummi@gummibear737

Deep Dive into the Great Reset and the Modern Left What exactly is it and what does it tell us about the left and the real structures of power? And why has the left become so openly illiberal? Hope to answer these If you enjoy, I would appreciate an RT of this first tweet! 1

English
4
19
116
9.3K
Vague
Vague@GregoryParry5·
@gummibear737 Israel creates CHAOS. We wouldn't need to be there at all if Israel didn't exist.
English
0
0
1
8
Gummi
Gummi@gummibear737·
Do you want to know what Israel does? What Israel does is prevent the United States from needing to have a much larger military presence in the Middle East What Israel does is what Europeans failed to do in Europe with regards to Russia That's what Israel does
David M@Dave_Cave_Rave

@gummibear737 I know many many people in this world to have great distrust and dislike of israel. Many for reasons I agree with, some for reasons I don't. But it's not sudden, it's growing as people become more aware of what Israel does.

English
73
191
1.5K
33.7K
Vague
Vague@GregoryParry5·
@gummibear737 Trump today is not the Trump we elected. He has lost his sense of timing and ability to read the crowd. It's sad to see him implode like this and take down the country.
English
0
0
0
53
skyzyks
skyzyks@skyzyks·
@gummibear737 @GregoryParry5 Point of order! We are at war, so imposing a blockade doesn’t change that state. The ceasefire explicitly applies to attacks that were taking place. No mention of blockades. IRI dudes should have hired better lawyers.
English
1
0
0
25
Gummi
Gummi@gummibear737·
What Trump is basically doing is holding the ceasefire hostage and daring Iran to break it If Iran does nothing then along w/blockade of Iranian ships they'll start escort convoys and dare Iran to do something If Iran attacks, then Trump has cause to escalate with prejudice
U.S. Central Command@CENTCOM

x.com/i/article/2043…

English
26
34
341
14.6K
Vague
Vague@GregoryParry5·
@Guy37Some45018 @gummibear737 You don't understand how war works, or didn't bother to read and understand what the headline is saying, obviously.
English
1
0
0
38
SomeGuy37
SomeGuy37@Guy37Some45018·
@GregoryParry5 @gummibear737 Then Iran "closing" the Strait of Hormuz is what exactly if not an act of war and a breaking of the ceasefire? They don't own the strait and have no actual authority to close it. But our blockade is an act of war, got it.
English
1
0
4
92
Vague
Vague@GregoryParry5·
@gummibear737 It doesn't matter. The US just blew up the peace process. Which was totally expected, of course.
English
3
0
0
76
Gummi
Gummi@gummibear737·
@GregoryParry5 I bet you all those 70 Iranian dudes who just attended the talks care that the ceasefire holds
English
2
0
8
182
Vague
Vague@GregoryParry5·
@gummibear737 Sure thing. You really think Iran just rolls over and plays dead now.
English
0
0
0
63
Gummi
Gummi@gummibear737·
What’s Trump’s gambit with the Strait of Hormuz? The blockade means that US assumes naval control of the strait Afterwards they open it to non-Iranian traffic meaning probably escorted convoys Remember that the ceasefire is still in effect so Iran can’t do a thing to stop this without inviting renewed US/Israeli strikes So Trump effectively reopens the strait and freezes the conflict (he can prolong the ceasefire indefinitely), while allowing the regime to collapse economically Or he dares Iran to break the ceasefire, and has cause to restart hostilities and follow through on past threats of escalation…and this time it would be seen as retaliation In either scenario, the objective is to impose maximum economic pressure on the regime leading to internal unrest
English
103
230
1.9K
164.8K
Vague
Vague@GregoryParry5·
@SuperLuckeee Analysis from ex military and ex CIA people who know how search and rescue as well as special ops are conducted.
English
2
0
1
22
Esther & Michael
Esther & Michael@SuperLuckeee·
One man changed the course of the entire US-Iran war when he fell from his jet. The mission began when a US F-15E was shot down deep inside Iran. One pilot was recovered quickly. The other wounded, isolated, and hunted disappeared into the mountains. This was no longer just a battlefield. It was a race against time, terrain, and an entire military closing in. What followed was not a rescue. It was a statement. The US launched one of the most complex combat search and rescue operations in modern warfare, deploying hundreds of special operators, intelligence assets, and over 100 aircraft into hostile territory. While the wounded officer climbed to higher ground and transmitted in bursts to avoid detection, US intelligence executed a deception campaign convincing Iranian forces to search in the wrong place, buying minutes that would decide life or death. Then came the extraction. Under the cover of darkness, elite units Delta Force and SEAL Team 6 stormed into Iranian airspace. Helicopters skimmed mountain ridges. Drones watched every movement. Electronic warfare blinded enemy defenses. For a brief moment, the US created its own battlefield inside Iran. But war doesn’t go according to plan. As operators reached the target, Iranian forces converged. A full-scale firefight erupted. Air power rained down to hold the line. Seconds not minutes were all that remained. The wounded officer was pulled onto the helicopter. But escape came at a cost. Multiple US aircraft were crippled. Some could not take off. With enemy forces closing in, commanders made a brutal decision: destroy their own planes on the ground. Millions of dollars gone in seconds to protect one life and prevent secrets from falling into enemy hands. Even advanced aircraft weren’t untouchable. Heat seeking missiles damaged US jets, exposing a harsh truth: in modern war, even stealth has limits. And yet… the mission succeeded. Because this was never just about tactics, oil routes, or geopolitics. It was about doctrine. In a war that disrupted global markets, threatened energy supply chains, and pushed superpowers to the brink… the United States proved one thing: It will risk everything aircraft, strategy, escalation, and billions in assets. For one man. No one gets left behind.
Esther & Michael tweet media
English
14
3
71
10.7K
Vague
Vague@GregoryParry5·
@gummibear737 Your inability to recognize state-sponsored terrorism for what it is has wrecked your ability to analyze geopolitics.
English
0
0
0
7
Gummi
Gummi@gummibear737·
Iran is the literal definition of an eschatological death cult And yet I see it’s become fashionable to call Israel a death cult Sorry but only one side claim “we love death more than Jews love life” Israel has zero equivalent: no state suicide bombings, no terror proxies, no “death to anyone” theology. It embraces life…tech, medicine, IDF roof-knocks and evacuations…and fights defensive wars after rocket barrages and Oct 7 massacres The people saying this are 🤡s
Gummi@gummibear737

The stakes of America's war with Iran are existential: the survival of an eschatological death cult armed with nukes, ICBMs, and terror proxies I understand free speech, but the sheer breadth and reach of pro-Iranian propaganda on X right now is completely unacceptable

English
20
77
541
12.3K
Vague
Vague@GregoryParry5·
@gummibear737 Your cognitive dissonance is preventing you from seeing reality. You need to to step out of your star chamber and reset your mind.
English
0
0
4
95
Vague
Vague@GregoryParry5·
@Mr_Derivatives I believe that this Trump fiasco will become the historical event that resets the future path of the world. The market are trading on technicals, magnified by Trump intervention. Buckle up boys and girls as he may be losing control.
English
1
0
0
179
Heisenberg
Heisenberg@Mr_Derivatives·
The $SPY ripped +8% unabated and the $QQQ ripped +10% unabated since the March 30th lows just 8 days ago. Then on April 7th it had that massive one for the ages gap pop on the official 2 week ceasefire news with hopes of an actual ceasefire this weekend. Tonight, Vance said there was no agreement. If nothing positive transpire between now and cash open, I would gotta imagine we retrace at least 1/3 to 1/2 of that gap open.
English
65
18
727
104.4K
Vague
Vague@GregoryParry5·
@gummibear737 His view was that China was the competing power we needed to focus on. But you seem to hate smart people and don't bother trying to understand their positions if they dare criticize Israeli influence in OUR politics.
English
0
0
0
84
Gummi
Gummi@gummibear737·
Just in case you needed more evidence that Mearsheimer is a clown… By his logic Western Civilization should just bend the knee to radical islamism, Russian imperialism and Chinese expansionism I don’t know if it’s ideological, a grift, or both…but he’s awful
English
20
31
339
12.4K
Vague
Vague@GregoryParry5·
@pixelflash @Cernovich It's these people who refuse to hold leaders accountable who enable the destruction of our country.
English
0
0
0
22
Mars Davis
Mars Davis@marsdavis01·
@Cernovich I love how Cernovich & panicans have convinced themselves that somehow in this election, for the 1st time, Americans won't understand that we have a binary choice between Democrats who want to chop your kids genitals off & remove em from conservative parents & the GOP who doesn't
English
7
0
10
2K