Victor Li

Same as why men are considered more athletic than women in general. Men have better strength and power; women have better balance and flexibility. But the concept of athleticism has more connection to strength and power. The concept of intelligence is more math- and science-y.

Progressives on ride share. 2012-2024: Gig economy jobs are fake and the firms that provide them should be regulated out of existence, even if it means job losses. 2025 >: We must protect ride share jobs from the threat of robo taxis, even if it means more traffic deaths.

somewhere along the way, "move fast and break things" turned into "move fast and break laws"

Sex is good but have you tried saving California’s only nuclear plant and sticking it to the boomer anti-nuclear environmentalists?

Great visualization. And note in almost all of these two things are happening simultaneously: --Dots are moving to the right, which shows GDP per capita is increasing. --Dots are moving up, which shows outcomes like life expectancy improving for any given income level.

Here are some ways in which the world has gotten better.

There’s a point where the cost of doing something supposedly beneficial surpasses its benefits. For instance, if I am in a critical condition that would cost the world $500 million to save, they should let me die. At which points we should give up on really old people?

There’s a point where the cost of doing something supposedly beneficial surpasses its benefits. For instance, if I am in a critical condition that would cost the world $500 million to save, they should let me die. A substantial portion of healthcare spending in recent years has been allocated to individuals nearing the end of their lives, which may not yield significant future utility, unlike the potential of children.

@RichardHanania @ramez So what is your point? Health care is expensive and medicare and social security are 1) mandated, 2) popular and 3) effective at fighting poverty.

This is the fundamental fiscal issue. Everything else pales in comparison. richardhanania.com/p/critical-age…

Cool project: the DC Waymo delay dashboard tracks how many DC residents are dead because the mayor and city council keep demanding studies instead of allowing Waymo: tbhochman.github.io/dc-waymo-dashb…

@JackFarley96 @taobanker Would the valuation stay high for years like Tesla?

SpaceX trying to go public at 80x forward sales, 500x forward earnings, and 125x forward EV/EBITDA multiple

@taobanker Apartment complexes are more likely to be owned by large landlords compared to SFH right?

As an extremely experienced renter, I can summarize the sweet spot: - Do not rent from mom & pop landlords -- they will lowkey fuck you - Do not rent from large landlords -- they will highkey fuck you - Rent from an owner who has hired a property manager

"Our head count in Manhattan when I got to JPMorgan was 35,000 and now is 26,000. Our head count in Texas started at 11,000, now it's 33,000. That's what happens." Jamie Dimon on why companies are leaving New York: "Highest individual taxes, highest estate taxes, highest corporate taxes, anti-business sentiment." "When I grew up as a kid in New York City, there were 120 of the Fortune 500 headquarters there. In the 1970s, 60 of the 120 left, including Exxon, GE, IBM, Union Carbide. They're all going to Texas." The Hill & Valley Forum 2026 @HillValleyForum @jpmorgan @ChairmanG

Lawyers should just stop meddling in economic policy entirely. More than any other profession (except maybe union bosses), they default to seeing commerce as zero-sum combat rather than mutually beneficial trade.

Four theses on tariff impacts: 1. Evidence clearly shows they've added 0.5-1.0pp to inflation. Evidence consistent with them subtracting from growth. And no evidence they've done anything good for manufacturing or trade deficits (but they have raised revenue).

@Polymarket @mustafap0ly @LaLiga @FCBarcelona Jesus, prediction markets are taking over the world lol

We're honored to be named the Exclusive Prediction Market Partner of LALIGA — the 1st major European soccer league to strike a deal with prediction markets. The official event contracts for teams like Real Madrid & FC Barcelona now live exclusively on Polymarket.

@Midnight_Captl @Crussian17 What’s the path to profitability for OAI and Anthropic? Ad revenue + way more expensive tokens in the future?

I’m getting quite bearish on OAI tbh Listened to the whole Big Technology podcast with Greg Brockman yesterday, vibes were completely off, he was wobbling for like 2/3rds of the conversation dropping comments like “we’ll buy all the compute” expecting some gasp reaction Gets asked about the pivot to enterprise vs consumer, proceeds to ramble for 10 minutes not saying anything And granted, I’ve been on record being very pro OAI, but I find myself using it less and less these days in favor of Claude Also I’ve been skeptical their user growth was actually plateauing, but wow - it actually is (900M for some time now), I would have thought they’d easily be over 1B by now. I don’t know what’s happening but it feels like they’re losing their grip / minds. Too many code reds, too many “we have to buckle down”, too much noise, and too much smoke.

It now takes longer to read a paper than write a paper. Solve for equilibrium.

One person, 2 months, $20K bootstrap, no VC, vibe-coded software. $1.8B company. We’re about to see more such 1-person billion-dollar companies. AI is compressing 5 years of building, launching, scaling a team, and fundraising into a solo high-agency CEO + 2 months.

@FOS They are trading on Polymarket/Kalshi with information earlier than streaming feeds.

The Cubs broadcast showed fans working remotely from Wrigley Field during the team's day game 💻

New Penn-Wharton study shows per-capita federal spending on each age group: Seniors: $43,700 Children and young adults: $4,300. Clearly, the answer is to eliminate the FICA cap, use all "tax-the-rich" revenues on more SocSec & Medicare costs, and push that ratio to 15:1. 🙄

@RichardHanania He is not close to being handsome or funny enough to be president.

He's going to be president. People love mentally unstable racist socialist troops. Plus a disability scammer. And fertility problems that he talks about? My God. That's the complete package. 50 state landslide.