Ramez Naam

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Ramez Naam

Ramez Naam

@ramez

Climate and clean energy investor. Author of 5 books. Energy & Environment co-chair @SingularityU. Trying to build a better world.

Seattle Katılım Mayıs 2007
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Ramez Naam
Ramez Naam@ramez·
Despite this election, I remain an optimist about America and the world. Humanity will continue to produce new ideas and new innovations to improve our lives. Good people will continue to come together to improve the world. And the political tide will turn. We'll make it so.
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Ramez Naam
Ramez Naam@ramez·
Yes. It did not answer my question. Proponents of the plan describe it as iterative. To me that would mean that policies and AI restrictions would be put in place in response to real world learning and perhaps experimentation. That is not what the plan calls for so far as I can tell. It appears to call for a set of fairly broad restrictive policies to be put in place without any new evidence or any interation on those policies. Am I mistaken in my reading of it?
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Thomas Larsen
Thomas Larsen@thlarsen·
This critique seriously misrepresents Plan A. Some of the top things it gets wrong: - Plan A is iterative - Plan A doesn't involve nationalization - Plan A has a complex interaction of pretty novel proposals, very unlike previous "AI safety milieu since 2018", including total research transparency, cap and trade for Industrial explosion, and massive compute buildouts. (Read our detailed post on LW, link in thread)
Séb Krier@sebkrier

x.com/i/article/2075…

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Ramez Naam
Ramez Naam@ramez·
The difference in the values Claude expresses in different languages seem pretty minor, to be honest. Fractions of a standard deviation in general. I would have expected more differences.
Ramez Naam tweet media
Anthropic@AnthropicAI

In previous research, we found that Claude expresses over 3,000 values, like honesty and warmth. In new work, we asked how the values Claude expresses vary between Claude models and across languages. We analyzed 300K+ anonymized conversations to find out.anthropic.com/research/claud…

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Ramez Naam
Ramez Naam@ramez·
@astrangecat0 Possibly. I think more that it would scare off some foreign customers. And some foreign nations.
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奇怪的猫
奇怪的猫@astrangecat0·
@ramez Wouldn't that scare off foreign investors?
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Ramez Naam
Ramez Naam@ramez·
Could you explain what you mean by Plan A being iterative? I didn't get that from my read of it. What I read appeared to argue for surveillance taps on all reasonably sized AI data centers (both inference and training), prohibition on deploying new frontier AI models except those approved by regulators, a pause on AI training, and government-compelled disclosure of the details of AI research. What I read seemed to call for those as primary steps to be negotiated for, not something we might iterate towards or decide on based on future learning. Did I misunderstand that? Thanks.
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Ramez Naam
Ramez Naam@ramez·
@Aging_Scientist Yeah, I think that's more accurate framing. I live in Seattle. I got air conditioning in 2021 after 26 years here. There were hot spells before that but they weren't so brutal or long. Finally the weather hit my threshold.
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Kamil Pabis
Kamil Pabis@Aging_Scientist·
@ramez Not needing is a strong statement. Having lived in Europe for many decades, I think the reason was that the unbearable summer heat waves were short. The same reason the UK is never prepared for snow. *During* those heat waves you absolutely needed AC and life *was* miserable.
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Ramez Naam retweetledi
Jane Flegal
Jane Flegal@JaneAFlegal·
Let me just say, if Democrats reject a permitting deal with a robust transmission provision because of NHPA angst, I will be very, very disappointed. (Also: some of the most important aspects of NHPA analysis burden clean energy disproportionately: ifp.org/reforming-sect…).
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Joshua Siegel@SiegelScribe

Senate ENR Chair Mike Lee’s push to overhaul the National Historic Preservation Act remains a major sticking point. “NHPA is the consistent area where they are farthest apart. And that needs to change,” a Democratic source close to negotiations told me

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Ramez Naam
Ramez Naam@ramez·
@atrembath Still need to recalc that graph. But essentially the global average is pretty much on track of those numbers. China is ahead of them. The US, however, has underperformed.
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Alex Trembath
Alex Trembath@atrembath·
Condolences to @ramez who has become his own worst enemy: a producer of failed solar forecasts ;)
Alex Trembath tweet media
Aniruddh Mohan@aniruddh_mohan

LCOE as a metric has so many flaws, but the yoy change tells you where the market is headed Interesting trends here from Lazard’s 2026 update - New combined cycle gas LCOE at 15-year high - Wind & Solar also go the wrong way on costs, solar costs up 18% yoy - VC/academic viewpoint might be that wind/solar only gets cheaper with time but not a surprise to folks tracking PPA market, LevelTen says wind/solar PPAs at their highest ever since their data began in 2018 (!) - Solar continues to get more expensive due to tariffs, cost of capital increases - Storage also reverses years of declines, went up notably over 25-26, new FEOC concerns repricing supply chains - Lazard: "relative economics of existing generation have improved as rising new-build costs across all technologies, together with execution challenges tied to supply chains, inflation, tariffs, permitting and macroeconomic uncertainty, have made replacement capacity more expensive and difficult to deliver"

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Ramez Naam
Ramez Naam@ramez·
I guess I don't understand the point of it. It's amplifying fears that already exist and are widespread in the US. It makes a nod to asking about some positive possibilities, but those are more abstract and shorter than the fears. It doesn't talk about what Anthropic is doing about any of these things. I'm left just confused as to why they made it.
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Robert Scoble
Robert Scoble@Scobleizer·
@ramez It feels like it is considering the questions, at least. Doesn't come across as condescending at all to me. Don't quite understand why you feel that way.
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Seth Bannon
Seth Bannon@sethbannon·
@ramez "There's hope in hard questions" doesn't feel like FUD. It feels like a company acknowledging the hard road ahead while remaining positive about the ability to build a brighter future.
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Ramez Naam
Ramez Naam@ramez·
@sethbannon I agree all of these are important questions. I don't understand the communications strategy. It doesn't say to me, "we take this seriously and are working on them". It just comes across as FUD... aimed at the whole industry. But I'm not the target audience, I'm sure.
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Seth Bannon
Seth Bannon@sethbannon·
@ramez I disagree. These are real concerns from real people. And truly important questions to get right. For me it's both refreshing that they acknowledge them, and it gives me hope that will be able to solve them.
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Ramez Naam
Ramez Naam@ramez·
@Scobleizer I think they're reasonable questions and reflect actual anxieties in the populace. But it makes no sense to me as an ad. At least tell us what you're doing about these questions. Feels kinda holier than thou.
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Robert Scoble
Robert Scoble@Scobleizer·
@ramez I disagree. Thought this was a great set of questions to take on.
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Ramez Naam
Ramez Naam@ramez·
True, during the hottest period's in history we didn't have air conditioning. During the early Eocene, nature hadn't yet evolved thumbs or brains larger than a kiwi, so designing and building A/C was a bit challenging. Disappointing, really.
奇怪的猫@astrangecat0

@ramez 但历史上最热的时候有空调吗？

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Ramez Naam
Ramez Naam@ramez·
Defense tech is good. I have my criticisms of and wariness of the US federal government, particularly the current one. Yet it's also clear that on the world stage, with China as a rival and Russia as a rogue state, faster innovation in western defense tech is badly needed.
Joe Lonsdale@JTLonsdale

Three weeks ago, the @Saronic Corsair brought two American aviators home. Last night, Corsairs hit Bandar Abbas in the first US sea drone combat strike. Look out for more news on Saronic soon; they aren’t resting on their laurels. Just getting going. Proud of this team 🇺🇲

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Ramez Naam
Ramez Naam@ramez·
@tunguz I somehow just assumed this was already part of the algorithm. Silly me.
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Bojan Tunguz
Bojan Tunguz@tunguz·
Wow. Prioritizing mutuals on your timeline. What a concept.
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Ramez Naam retweetledi
Bilal Zuberi // Red Glass Ventures
Bilal Zuberi // Red Glass Ventures@bznotes·
Frontier AI labs face the same brutal economics that defined semiconductors: enormous capital for each new generation, a punishing release cadence, and inevitable boom-bust cycles that concentrate the leading edge into a handful of winners. But as with chips, the durable value will likely accrue not to the companies burning capital at the frontier, but to the ones building on top of increasingly cheap and abundant intelligence, which is where the real opportunity lies.
Bilal Zuberi // Red Glass Ventures@bznotes

x.com/i/article/2076…

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