🔥 Nash0 retweetet
El mundo del SaaS se va a tomar por culo, quien le eche dos cojones gordos a entrar en short a Salesforce, Shopify, etc y pueda aguantar su posición hasta que el mercado le dé razón se hace de oro.
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🔥 Nash0
14K posts
🔥 Nash0
@ItsNash0
🏴☠️ Remembering the future. ex: @usetweakbox, Building @liketraders
🔥 Beigetreten Ocak 2013
1.2K Folgt14.3K Follower
If your fair price was better than the market price constantly you could have backtested this and figured out you had a profitable edge in your fair price calculation. But it seems that’s not what happened here.
PolyFair@PolyFair_
polyfair.pro is now live We built a free real-time analytics and trading simulator tool for Polymarket Crypto markets. For traders who want a quantitative edge. It is a demo trading environment where you can test strategies, refine your execution, and build confidence WITHOUT risking your own capital. The foundation of the tool is built on an idea you've probably seen discussed: Using Statistical Models to find mispricing on prediction markets. We took that concept and made it live and interactive. Three pricing models run in real time, comparing their Fair Prices estimates against actual Polymarket CLOB prices: • LN_EWMA: Lognormal GBM with Exponentially Weighted Moving Average volatility • LN_GARCH: Lognormal GBM with GARCH(1,1) volatility forecasting • T_EWMA: Student-t distribution (fat tails) with EWMA volatility All parameters are adjustable. Tune each model to fit current market conditions. If you're not sure where to start, there's a built-in guide covering how to choose a strategy and what each parameter actually does. For traders already active on Polymarket! Chrome Extension is live in the Web Store. Add it to your browser sidebar and keep Fair Prices visible while you trade without ever switching tabs. Capture your Edge with PolyFair
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@johncusack After a quiet day in Abu Dhabi. Kids comfortable to sleep in the their own bed / room.
Half hour ago we got full on bangs. Emergency alerts. (Baniyas). 2.30/2.40am uae time
Rushed to get kids back into our room.
This is going to really effect them
#AbuDhabi
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🔥 Nash0 retweetet
The first passenger flight just took off from Abu Dhabi.
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Nuestro sistema de pensiones es la mayor fuerza del universo
Días de Pensiones en España@diasenpensiones
El presupuesto militar de Iran supone 9 días y 10 horas de pensiones en España
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@PabloEchenique Pero como vas a ser tan subnormal de defender a ese dictador cuya muerte ha sido celebrada en las calles
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Pues está confirmado. El violador de Washington y el genocida de Tel Aviv han asesinado al jefe de Estado de Irán, lo cual es un atentado terrorista y un crimen de guerra. Pienses lo que pienses del régimen iraní, esto es un hecho objetivo.
diario-red.com/articulo/inter…
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🔥 Nash0 retweetet
🚨 SENIOR ISRAELI OFFICIAL TO REUTERS: KHAMENEI DEAD, HIS BODY HAS BEEN FOUND
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@JacobKinge @grok esto es real? puedes verificar la información?
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One of the oldest recorded Bitcoin whales just sold his entire $1.24 billion BTC stack.
He’s held through every market cycle since Bitcoin was created in 2009.
Now he’s cashing out.
Ask yourself why.
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This is not how order delays worked. OP has it completely backwards.
The order gets delayed, not the fill. Resulting in the order arriving in the orderbook AFTER the delay.
If the price is at $0.7, you will get filled at that price, not magically at a lower price. There are no bids at that price at that time. That's why the price is at $0.7 to begin with.
krajekis@krajekis
Most “pro” @Polymarket trader accounts weren’t predicting BTC on 5\15 min Yesterday "Polymarket removed ~0.5s order delay. and a lot of free money vanished instantly. What does it mean? Price moves → UI updates slower than the matching engine Bots click → orders fill at the old price → guaranteed value Every fast spike gave them a free entry: market already at 0.70 they still buy at 0.55 That’s not trading - that’s latency arbitrage. Now the delay is gone. When the price moves, you see the new price immediately. No stale quotes → no free fills. So the edge shifts: Before: fastest click wins Now: best decision wins TA, patience and risk management now outperform reaction speed.
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🔥 Nash0 retweetet
If you're 25-30, and your main circle isn't frequently discussing:
- escaping Spain
- margin callmaxxing
- beefing with tuiteros
- pensions dooming
Then it's time to elevate your circle
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“As simple as that”
The chainlink price screenshot you produced is from their dashboard which is LAGGED on purpose so you utilize their data streams instead.
If you use polymarket RTDS crypto price you are esentially agreeing with lag because it goes
Chainlink -> poly (rtds) - you
Instead of chainlink -> you
Scraping the dashboard is is scraping a X second lagged ticker.
Hanzo ㊗️@DeFi_Hanzo
Delayed Polymarket $BTC price - $68,300 Real Chainlink $BTC price - $68,333 Bot has to check chainlink price and buy UP if it's higher than Polymarket price, or buy DOWN if it's lower than Polymarket price. as simple as that.
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Why are we not pushing back harder against the card-issuing duopoly that’s quietly eroding personal privacy?
How is it that cash is still the most anonymous way to pay, even with crypto supposedly being a thing? I get the need for transparency and fraud prevention, but the reality for debanked people is insane. Entire populations are effectively locked out of the global economy. There are literal services built just to help Iranians, for example, get access to prepaid debit cards so they can do basic international business. That alone should tell us something is deeply broken.
Where exactly is the line between personal privacy and “protecting the ecosystem”? And why do Visa and Mastercard get to draw it?
What’s wild is how normalized this has all become. Every year we own less, control less, are tracked more and the transition is smooth enough that most people seem vaguely okay with it. That quiet acceptance is apparently all that’s needed to keep pushing forward. I just hope that at some point global sovereignty actually means something again, and we start resisting measures that claim to protect us while, in practice, protecting no one.
Alex Miles☂️@alexsmiles14
No-KYC cards are structurally impossible to implement as they are dependent on the hyper-compliant system underpinning Visa and Mastercard. In other words, they are SCAMS. We need more of this due diligence within the space. It’s how crypto grows up. No more cutting corners. No more opaque marketing. No more rugs. If we want to be taken seriously, let’s be serious.
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