Just Curious / @belikewater

40.2K posts

Just Curious / @belikewater banner
Just Curious / @belikewater

Just Curious / @belikewater

@Just_Curius

Forecaster "belikewater" @XriskFYI @Swift_Centre @SamotsvetyF @RANDforecasting. Superforecaster® with Good Judgment Inc. PhD Neurosci, MA Econ. Opinions my own.

Michigan, USA Beigetreten Nisan 2017
2.5K Folgt1.5K Follower
Just Curious / @belikewater retweetet
The Daily Beast
The Daily Beast@thedailybeast·
A fetish cam girl who says she was paid $5,000 over the past two years to dominate Kristi Noem’s husband while he wore big false boobs has told the Daily Beast: “There is no way in hell that she did not know.” trib.al/m4rTIem
English
204
2.2K
6.9K
165.2K
Just Curious / @belikewater retweetet
Javier Blas
Javier Blas@JavierBlas·
DATED BRENT OIL PRICE SOARS TO $141 A BARREL, HIGHEST SINCE 2008
English
108
1.3K
4.8K
653.8K
Just Curious / @belikewater retweetet
Eric Topol
Eric Topol@EricTopol·
We've seen the Shingles vaccine is linked with reduced risk of Alzheimer's and dementias in 4 large natural experiments. Today, the potential of high-dose flu vaccines vs standard dose for the same in a large retrospective age 65+ cohort [N>160,000). More pronounced in women (like Shingles vaccine) neurology.org/doi/pdf/10.121…
Eric Topol tweet media
English
56
494
1.7K
156K
Just Curious / @belikewater retweetet
Jonathan ⚡☔
Jonathan ⚡☔@JonathanBelles·
#Artemis launch as seen on GOES-East GeoColor Satellite
English
12
298
2.3K
134.9K
Just Curious / @belikewater retweetet
CBS News
CBS News@CBSNews·
BREAKING: NASA is troubleshooting an issue that could delay the Artemis II launch. cbsn.ws/414KbgD
English
51
65
219
125.5K
Just Curious / @belikewater retweetet
Andrew C. Wills
Andrew C. Wills@andrewcwills·
This is big news - I worked at NERC for years and we never issued one in my nearly 3 years there. This is an incredibly important warning that everyone should pay attention to, and act accordingly (I’m talking to you, policymakers!).
Ben Inskeep@Ben_Inskeep

The North American Electric Reliability Corp. tells FERC that data centers are amplifying grid instability. It plans to issue a Level 3 alert🚨, which is the most critical level, identifying immediate actions that must be taken by entities to ensure grid security & reliability.

English
4
41
153
22.6K
Just Curious / @belikewater retweetet
Malcolm Nance
Malcolm Nance@MalcolmNance·
Curveball: If the UAE is invoking Article 7 of the UN Charter, are they transmitting a hint of a Joint UAE-US amphibious Campaign to seize Abu Musa/Greater & Lesser Tunb Islands and "clean/open" the SOH? Trump's speech could be both TACO, AND a short-term mini-campaign with a drop dead date. Hegseth desperately wants to use those Marines & SOF for SOMETHING.
Javier Blas@JavierBlas

In a letter to the UN Security Council, UAE is invoking Chapter 7 of the UN charter (commonly referred as 'use of force') seeking “immediate action” in order to “ensure the safe and secure navigation and navigational rights and freedoms in and around the Strait of Hormuz.”

English
46
190
673
74.4K
Just Curious / @belikewater retweetet
Pentagon Pizza Watch
Pentagon Pizza Watch@pizzintwatch·
We are pleased to announce that Pentagon Pizza Watch has entered into a definitive agreement to be acquired by Palantir. Through this transaction, our alternative-data methodology for near-real-time commercial activity monitoring will be integrated into broader decision-support workflows, expanding coverage, improving temporal resolution, and strengthening context for open-source geopolitical analysis. We are grateful to our community and partners who helped validate this signal over the past year. Additional integration details will be shared in due course.
English
37
23
451
51.6K
Just Curious / @belikewater retweetet
Rohan Paul
Rohan Paul@rohanpaul_ai·
Its coming, better be ready. Therapists in northern California just walked off the job, saying cheaper AI-driven systems are starting to replace trained mental health workers at the front door of care. The dispute is not only about layoffs, because therapists say Kaiser (the company they work for) is shifting early screening work away from licensed clinicians and toward scripted operators, apps, and e-visits. Workers also say AI is being used to speed up charting so management can pack in more appointments, which turns mental health care into a volume business where clinicians get less time, patients get less attention, and mistakes become easier. --- futurism .com/health-medicine/mental-health-workers-ai-strike
Rohan Paul tweet media
English
139
138
469
44.7K
Just Curious / @belikewater retweetet
Chay Bowes
Chay Bowes@BowesChay·
European airports have urged airlines to prepare contingency plans for a potential complete lack of aviation fuel in the coming weeks. Thousands of flights have already been canceled across the continent amid the escalating crisis. Lufthansa is reportedly considering suspending operations of around 20 aircraft, partly linked to the ongoing war in Iran, which has disrupted flight routes and driven up costs. According to aviation analytics firm Cirium, more than one in every twenty scheduled flights was canceled on Monday. Jet fuel prices have more than doubled in the past year. A year ago, the cost stood at $742 per tonne, it has now surged above $1,710 per tonne. Meanwhile, as Ive posted, The UK is expected to receive its final shipment of aviation fuel from the Middle East this week, with no further deliveries confirmed in the immediate pipeline. Aviation industry analyst Alex Macheras (@AlexInAir) has warned that a serious jet fuel shortage could hit all major European airports within a week. He noted that airports are already informing airlines to prepare for scenarios where “no fuel is available.” London’s Heathrow Airport is expected to be among the hardest hit major hubs in Europe due to fuel supply constraints. The situation is worsened by the UK’s closure last year of an aviation fuel production plant in Scotland.
Chay Bowes tweet media
English
106
1.1K
2.9K
1.6M
Just Curious / @belikewater retweetet
TheIntelFrog
TheIntelFrog@TheIntelFrog·
Heatmap of C-17 flights supporting the movement of special operations forces and assets over the last 18 days. Many thanks to @SR_Planespotter, @TieDyeIntel @ianellisjones and @ameliairheart for the help!
TheIntelFrog tweet media
TheIntelFrog@TheIntelFrog

Confirmation that special operations forces (SOF) have indeed deployed en masse to the Middle East from @JenniferJJacobs, consistent with the flights that I've noted that began ~2 weeks ago.

English
24
182
775
227.4K
Just Curious / @belikewater retweetet
The Washington Post
The Washington Post@washingtonpost·
Breaking news: The U.S. military gave the president a plan to seize nearly 1,000 pounds of highly enriched uranium in Iran. The mission would require the airlift of potentially hundreds or thousands of troops and could take weeks. wapo.st/3PWVRzs
English
179
418
846
186.1K
Just Curious / @belikewater retweetet
Colin P. Clarke, Ph.D.
Colin P. Clarke, Ph.D.@ColinPClarke·
Is it possible that tonight Trump announces the U.S. role in the war is over AND the U.S. is also sending in ground troops? Because, after all, it's Trump, so he's likely to make several contradictory and flat out false statements during this address.
English
6
9
51
3.8K
Just Curious / @belikewater
@MalcolmNance I don't think he's going to taco. I give it an ~80% chance we see >1k US boots on the ground somewhere in Iran within the next couple months. I'd say it's 50-50 that he announces anything about troops tonight, though.
English
0
0
0
569
Malcolm Nance
Malcolm Nance@MalcolmNance·
On Trump's Speech: I don't think Trump will announce an attack on Kharg or the Gulf Islands at 9 pm ET. Bc it would be 0500 AM in the PG. Our ops never start that late. The latest he could announce an offensive op underway is 6-7 pm He is going to declare all "Military Objectives" met and TACO.
English
170
236
1.6K
191.8K