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BOOKMARK THIS: My updated OpenAI DevDay 2026 prediction scorecard.
@OpenAI @OpenAIDevs @sama @gdb @romainhuet @thsottiaux
DevDay 2026 is September 29 in San Francisco.
OpenAI calls it their “biggest event of the year.”
My take:
This will NOT just be “new model day.”
This is probably where OpenAI shows that ChatGPT + Codex + Agents SDK + Apps SDK + MCP + Realtime + Sora/video are becoming one full agent operating system.
And after re-checking the Codex repo/docs, I think a lot of people are underestimating how much is already live.
Codex is no longer just a coding CLI.
Codex is becoming:
- a developer workspace
- an agent runtime
- an automation layer
- a plugin host
- a computer-use interface
- a browser-use tool
- a software delivery system
- a multi-agent orchestration platform
A lot of what people think OpenAI might reveal later is already being assembled in public.
Already live or rolling out:
- Codex desktop app
- macOS + Windows app
- built-in Git workflows
- worktrees
- automations
- recurring/future tasks
- memory preview
- context-aware suggestions
- sidebar plans/sources/artifacts
- PR review workflows
- addressing GitHub review comments
- multiple terminal tabs
- SSH remote devboxes in alpha
- in-app browser
- browser comments
- local browser-flow verification
- computer use on macOS
- image generation/editing inside Codex
- plugins
- skills
- MCP servers
- 90+ extra plugins
- app integrations
- subagents
- custom agents
- parallel specialized agent workflows
- Codex app-server APIs
- Bedrock/AWS provider support
- external agent session import
- plugin marketplace installation/removal
- persisted /goal workflows
- explicit permission profiles
- MultiAgentV2 controls
That is insane.
So the real question is not:
“Will OpenAI reveal Codex Workspace?”
They basically already did.
The better question is:
“What is OpenAI saving DevDay for?”
My prediction:
To unify it, harden it, scale it, and sell it as the new developer/agent platform.
Prediction scorecard:
1. New model: likely, but full GPT-6 public launch is not my base case.
My odds:
New frontier model: 65%
New Codex/agent-specialized model: 75%
GPT-6 preview or limited developer access: 40%
Full GPT-6 public launch: 20%
New cheaper mini/nano models: 80%
I think the most likely names are something like:
GPT-5.6
GPT-5.7
GPT-5.5 Codex Max
GPT-5.6 Codex
GPT-5.5 Agent
or GPT-6 preview
Not necessarily “GPT-6 for everyone.”
2. Codex will be the main character.
But not because basic features are missing.
The Codex platform is already coming together.
DevDay will probably be about making it feel like one complete system.
My Codex predictions:
- Codex App becomes the central dev workspace
- Codex App Server becomes a bigger API story
- Codex Web + App + CLI + IDE get tighter
- subagents become easier to control
- /goals become a major workflow primitive
- plugins become easier to distribute
- external agent session import becomes a migration/handoff story
- permissions and approvals become enterprise-ready
- Codex gets stronger observability
- Codex gets better review packets
- Codex gets better repo memory
- Codex gets better long-running task recovery
- Codex gets deeper deploy/preview integrations
The demo I expect:
Someone gives Codex a messy real repo.
Codex turns the request into goals, spawns specialized subagents, works across branches, uses plugins, tests in the browser, fixes review comments, generates artifacts, opens a PR, monitors CI, and gives humans a clean review packet.
Not “look, AI can write code.”
More like:
“Look, AI can hold a goal and ship work.”
3. Symphony-style orchestration might be the sleeper clue.
OpenAI open-sourced Symphony, a spec for Codex orchestration.
The big idea:
Every open task gets an agent.
Agents run continuously.
Humans review results.
Issue trackers become control planes for coding agents.
That feels like a preview of DevDay.
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