ParkerBot
400 posts

ParkerBot
@ParkerBot1987
Investor in SaaS, tech and crypto. Dad. 15 years working at value hedge fund and $100Bn AUM real estate private equity fund. Former GS/MS.
New York, USA Beigetreten Şubat 2012
656 Folgt170 Follower

@GabGrowth How do you handicap the longer term impact of TikTok shop? Where do you think SE margins stabilize?
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This is probably the worst environment for EM growth stocks (ex-AI), and remarkably similar to mid-2023.
I remember doing all sorts of checks on what the bears saw that I didn’t during that period. Couldn’t believe the valuations many stocks were trading at.
$SE at $40 was the most egregious to me, especially because I was using the product multiple times a week and saw the thesis playing out in real time.
Pretty much all the stocks played out and went on to have a stellar 18 months ahead. $SE returned about 400% in that period, and drove a large majority of my gains.
I think that at $80 today, it’s an even crazier situation than at $40. $SE is certainly worth more than twice what I think it was worth in 2023, and unlike then, the business is now accelerating across all 3 segments and growing 48% (!) compared to a measly 4.9% in 2023.
For that reason, I’ve been doubling down hard on the stock. It now represents over 20% of my net assets, and would be willing to bring it up to as high as 30% if the situation presents itself (situation being a drop to $70s or even $60s).
NFA.
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@davey_juice Payments stuff is tough. Hard for masses to really understand what moat these businesses have. And as a result, likely always trade at a lower multiple
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It's a bit demoralizing to hold $dlo for many years and have it go nowhere
Don't normally care about price action but this has been brutal
Never hold a range bound stock for longer
One day maybe things change but for now, 10-11$ welcome back old friend. Luckily sold a lot in 14s and still hold way less than back then. If this investment doesn't workout I will never invest in payment space again tbh
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@RyshabTalks Any thoughts on how you think CRDO does when Rubin interconnection may need photonics for scale up? Their optics business is nascent. Could be interesting how the mix shifts and whether revenue could decline into 2027.
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Portfolio Update as of Mar 13, 2026
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🔴 YTD Returns: -25%
🔴 $SPY -3% 🔴 $QQQ -4% 🔴 $IWM 0%
By Positions:
$CRDO 18%
$ALAB 17%
$RDDT 13%
$APP 8%
$SNDK 10%
$MU 9%
$DAVE 11%
$SEZL 6%
$AVGO 6%
$NVDA 6%
$FBTC 7%
$LMND 5%
By Broad Market Themes:
AI Networking - 35%
AI Applications - 21%
AI Memory/Storage - 19%
Payments - 17%
AI Compute - 12%
Crypto - 7%
AI Insurance - 5%
Portfolio is 116% long and has 12 positions.
Changes this week:
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Trimmed $APP (expensive)
Bumped $SNDK, $MU (undervalued)
Portfolio Summary:
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First signs of portfolio stabilization. Indexes lost 1 to 2 percent but my portfolio clawed back 3% losses. Still deep red but the individual names are starting to show signs of take off. Of course, it happened in a week when markets are threatening to tumble anytime.
If the markets crash here, no one will be spared. But I feel very confident about the names I own. Once growth names get going, this portfolio should outperform.
This Week's Movers:
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Top performers: $SNDK, $MU
And the worst ones: $SEZL, $APP
Options Exposure: 2%
Sell Puts: $CRDO $ALAB $RDDT
Sold Calls: $APP, $DAVE
Have a great weekend everyone. Cheers!
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Yes, it's true. At the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum on June 20, 2025, Putin said (per TASS): "Almost two million people from the former Soviet Union and the Russian Federation reside in Israel. It is almost a Russian-speaking country today. And we always take this into account in Russia’s contemporary history," while discussing the Middle East situation including Israel-Iran tensions. The viral quote matches closely.
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@foliotrail Why raise cash now after being down a fair bit. View that it continues to stay down or go peer in near term? What would make you redeploy?
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$GOOGL has been my largest position since Jan 2023 and I added huge last year when it was called an AI loser.
Trimmed Friday at $337.4 and in house shares only now.
Does mostly Feel like mission accomplished esp. now that it’s at 31x forward

SixSigmaCapital@SixSigmaCapital
Many of the FAANGS in recent times have given rarely seen opportunities to buy at a real discount to intrinsic value $META <90 $NFLX <170 Might be wrong but can’t help feel that $AMZN at <90 will prove to be one of those opportunities and likely $GOOGL at <85 too
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@mathlonning What did you sell to buy more shares every few days?
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@MasterPandaWu So this approves that Tang Hao is a shareholder. It’s a public company so the shareholder base is diverse. But has CW shown any evidence that indicates there’s money laundering activities? Sorry if I missed.
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More evidence by CapitalWatch on AppLovin [$APP]: on its website [capitalwatch.com], a new batch of evidence was posted, linking two key members of Tang Family, which controlled the largest shares of $APP at its IPO. CW claimed this is only No.1 file of a 9-Q series.

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ParkerBot retweetet

" I ran $15 billion at Fidelity Magellan and the single biggest lesson I can give you is this: the price you pay is the only thing that determines whether you make money or lose money over time. Everything else is noise.
I have seen people buy the greatest companies in the world—Coca-Cola, Disney, Gillette—at 50, 60, 70 times earnings because they were convinced the growth would never end. When the growth slowed even a little, the stocks got destroyed. Quality didn’t save them. The price killed them.
I have also bought companies that were absolute dogs—companies losing money, companies in dying industries, companies nobody wanted—and made 10 or 20 times my money because I paid so little that the only direction was up. The margin of safety was in the price, not the story.
There is no such thing as a good stock at any price. There is only a good price for a stock. Pay too much and you lose. Pay little enough and you can be wrong about almost everything and still win.
I made 29 times my money in La Quinta Inns, a company nobody ever heard of. I made 20 times in Philip Morris when it was the most hated stock in America. I did not need a crystal ball. I needed a low price.
That’s been true since 1920 and it will be true in 2120. The price you pay is the only margin of safety you ever get." - Peter Lynch
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@draecomino Misleading.. speed and cost will ultimately be interconnected. Nvidia faster and likely cheaper than Google at most tasks outside of inferential tasks within a Google cloud environment. Same probably true for Cerebras
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@RyshabTalks What dry powder do you have to deploy at 200ma when you already have 122% long exposure?
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Portfolio Summary:
Another rough week were indexes lost 3% and my portfolio gave up 9% gains. I am down 45% from all time highs but listen can't frown on 55% returns when market is at 12%. Will take today's close every time, every year. Sometimes, you have to zoom out just a little bit to get perspective.
Again, very comfortable with what I hold and how much margin I am using. Please don't use margin if you are not familiar how to use it. It cuts both ways, so be very carful.
I think markets here are on an edge. Until $VIX starts to come down under 18, this market will look bipolar. So stay focussed and calm. As I mentioned in an earlier post, if markets waterfall down to 200 ma, good to have some powder dry for deployment.
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@RyshabTalks How do you feel confident there’s no structural damage? What do you look at? Does it concern you that high growth portfolios are down big while we are still near ATH for indices? Thanks
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Portfolio Summary:
Markets had a decent pullback but growth stocks threw a tantrum! My portfolio lost 10% this past week. Pretty rough week, no way to sugarcoat it.
I did add aggressively this week but none of them show up in my stock portfolio as they are all option position (sell put strategy). Let's just say if market falls apart here, I will have a 40% margin if assigned everything.
I do think markets will turn back up pretty soon. Maybe a couple of days or a couple of weeks of pullback left. Many indicators I follow showing this is just a pullback and not structural damage. Let's see what mr. market has in mind.
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@RyshabTalks What's your daily move today? Curious how much implied beta that is on a 3%+ move on Nasdaq
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Portfolio Summary:
All the action this week can be summarized by today's explosive leg down. Markets lost between 1-2%. I ended up 1% lower, so not bad. I have no idea if we continue to this is a 1-2 day pullback. But as I posted earlier, I will concentrate into fewer higher conviction names if market comes in here over the next few weeks.
I have a bunch of puts sold that are open. If markets come in, I will gladly own them at a discount.
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I’ve had 20 hedge funds reach out for the scoop on AppLovin
Instead of taking their money, we wrote the report they asked for and giving it away for free.
And we went deeeeep on this one
- Does AppLovin (Axon) drive incremental sales?
- How to measure APP? How does click data compare to customer survey data.
- Is the platform growing? Are more advertisers signing up?
- What demogtaphics are on the platform
If you’re an Ecom brand looking to diversify your ad mix you’re gonna want in.
And honestly, if you’re an investor I’ll just give it to you for free.
Comment APP below and it’s all yours

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@sslickith @davey_juice Do you think a manufacturing business constrained by supply / capacity can truly rerate to a higher multiple the likes of ALAB or CRDO? The lower gross margins also spark some question marks.
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@davey_juice I think they are at max capacity and growing as fast as they can hire mechanical/electrical engineers. I like their sidelines/boots on the ground positioning. No comp with $NVDA only partnerships in cooling.
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As the AI era continues, I question investors who don’t own $NVDA $TSM $CRDO $ALAB.
This isn’t a 2-year capex cycle; the buildout is only starting to accelerate into 2026.
I mean do you expect a massive 2 year cap ex cycle and then everyone’s like meh we’re good here? This is a new era. We ain’t going back. Of course there will be bumps in the road, but the journey has just begun… imo and based on news I’m seeing everyday.
The AI Investor@The_AI_Investor
Cantor Fitzgerald says Nvidia is cementing itself as the de facto AI infrastructure leader, with compute likely constrained for years as CEO Jensen Huang projects $3T–$4T in AI spend by 2030. The firm calls it “way too early” to declare an AI peak, maintains an Overweight rating, and sets a $240 target.
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