Patrick Heuveline

386 posts

Patrick Heuveline

Patrick Heuveline

@PatrickHvl

Social demographer @UCLA

Culver City, CA Beigetreten Ekim 2021
248 Folgt397 Follower
Patrick Heuveline
Patrick Heuveline@PatrickHvl·
This reconstruction of the long-term trends illustrates how stunning, and worrisome the short-term increase in premature mortality in the US is. Great paper: "Missing Americans: Early death in the United States—1933–2021" doi.org/10.1093/pnasne…
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Patrick Heuveline
Patrick Heuveline@PatrickHvl·
Both the number and share of these “excess deaths” have increased during the pandemic, but nearly as much from the expansion of pre-pandemic differences in middle-age mortality as from differences in COVID-19 mortality itself
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Patrick Heuveline
Patrick Heuveline@PatrickHvl·
Out today in PLOS ONE: in 2021, one in 4 deaths in the US—nearly 900,000 deaths—would have been prevented with the average death rates of 5 largest W Euro countries: journals.plos.org/plosone/articl…
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Patrick Heuveline retweetet
CCPR at UCLA
CCPR at UCLA@CCPRatUCLA·
Congratulations to CCPR Faculty Fellow Dr. Martha Bailey for being the recipient of the 2022 Carolyn Shaw Bell Award from the American Economic Association! ift.tt/3K4ej0v
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Patrick Heuveline
Patrick Heuveline@PatrickHvl·
@ikashnitsky Not a forecast, but couldn't it be seen as a projection (under very specific and highly unlikely assumptions)?
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CCPR at UCLA
CCPR at UCLA@CCPRatUCLA·
UCLA CCPR Seminar Dr. Benjamin R. Karney, "Public Policies and Private Lives: How Socioeconomic Status Affects Intimacy" on January 11, 2023 at 12:00PM. CCPR events are open to the public. Email CCPR staff for the link #poptwitter #demography
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LSE Social Policy
LSE Social Policy@LSESocialPolicy·
📢 We're hiring! The Department is seeking to appoint 2 LSE Fellows to start September 2023. More info on the #vacancy here: lse.ac.uk/social-policy/… 📆Closing date 22 February
LSE Social Policy tweet media
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Patrick Heuveline
Patrick Heuveline@PatrickHvl·
@AntonioLeonMex Right, should have added a legend, to illustrate mortality shocks, this is life expectancy at birth in Cambodia as estimated by the UN Population Division
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Patrick Heuveline
Patrick Heuveline@PatrickHvl·
Bottom line, I’m interpreting it as an age-standardized measure of premature mortality, but this is really an-ongoing reflection: would love to hear back from #poptwitter & #demogtwitter (or whatever’s left thereof now)
Demographic Research@DemographicRes

Demographers’ intuition for life expectancy values (LEV) derives from a constant mortality thought-experiment. How do we interpret changes in LEV during temporary mortality shocks then? See Patrick Heuveline’s reflections here 👉demographic-research.org/volumes/vol48/…

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Patrick Heuveline
Patrick Heuveline@PatrickHvl·
@MazzucoStefano Missed it at the time, but really interesting paper. In your useful framework, I took the relative approach with the normal <- earlier (pre-shock) survival curve. This normal is indeed harder to define when survival is gradually improving rather than suddenly declining
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Patrick Heuveline
Patrick Heuveline@PatrickHvl·
@MazzucoStefano I mention a few other measures (in the Appendix). Lmk what you think & please send me a draft if you have one 🙏
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Stefano Mazzuco
Stefano Mazzuco@MazzucoStefano·
@PatrickHvl This interesting. I'm trying to measure the pandemic effect on premature mortality. It might be worth to correlate changes in LE with changes of other measures of premature mortality
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