PolyElon | PolyMarket Elon Tweet Tracker

1/ 🧵 How I traded the last Elon daily tweet cycle (technical breakdown) + the PolyElon features that guided my risk management. Final result: ~60% on total capital.

@PolyAlertHub @holy_moses7 ElonSpam keeps losing.

@holy_moses7 Some traders have made quite a bit of money on elon tweets, here's the top 5 we are tracking

"Making money on Elon Tweet markets is easy"

@sabsdavid @holy_moses7 True

@holy_moses7 it’s actually incredibly hard - but the payoffs can be good

@holy_moses7 Damn it. Do you use any analysis tool? Check on us when you can.

There is no "deadzone" when we talk about Elon. He can easily tweet 50 times in a row and kill 3 ranges at once. Safest way is to keep all distant ranges alive and kill just very close ranges (but risky too). Elon is unpredictable and that's the magic of this market. I personally buy 5 ranges and always die with all of them or 4. Works 95% of the time. PolyElon has a built in tool that helps calculating arbitrage for same profit. Check when you can!

How to earn 30% to 100% in a week with Elon Musk I traded a prediction on Polymarket for “how many tweets Elon Musk will make” using a range coverage strategy rather than betting on a single point outcome. And here's what I did: /// A total of seven purchases were made at $15 each, for a total of $105. I spread the position across adjacent intervals from 440–459 to 560–579 to limit risk and maintain exposure to the most likely range of values. This approach allowed me to not depend on one specific number and calmly wait for the distribution to start narrowing. /// As the week progressed, I gradually sold the intervals that became irrelevant. The ranges closed as follows: 440-459 $15 -> $5.5 460-479 $15 -> $6.3 480-499 $15 -> $7.34 500-519 $15 -> $6.25 560-579 $15 -> $6 Thanks to this optimization, I returned $31.39 in advance and reduced the overall risk on the position. As a result, the minimum possible payout for the remaining ranges was $136, and the max was $166. /// The essence of the strategy here is not in guessing, but in managing the range: first, you enter more broadly, then, as information becomes available, you narrow your position, sell the “dead” zones, and leave your money where the probability is actually concentrated. This is a calm and structured model, not gambling.

@TheImperialist7 Check on us: polyelon.com

@TheImperialist7 Use a good tool for your analysis. I personally like to arb 5 ranges. Works 95% of the time for me.

Fun fact: there is a polymarket market to bet on how many tweets Elon is gonna make a week (I lost money because I thought he was gonna be uniquely unhinged this week) polymarket.com/event/elon-mus…

Cheers! Added replies count. Now you can see replies count on heatmap (checking toggle). Also added top accounts Elon most interact with and their topics focus. Check out: polyelon.com

@Shelpid_WI3M @PolymarketTrade Nice. Invite you to check out our solution. Great tool for analyzing this market. polyelon.com

Trader makes $10K per week trading Elon Musk tweet markets on Polymarket At first glance, betting on how many times Elon Musk will post sounds random and pointless. But PredictionYogi turned these markets into a repeatable numbers game - where discipline matters far more than guessing headlines He doesn’t chase narratives, drama, or viral moments. Instead, he focuses on ranges, mispriced probabilities, and consistency - running the same setup again and again and letting math do the work Profile → @PredictionYogi" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@PredictionYogi To copytrade → t.me/PolyCop_BOT?st… His best trades show just how asymmetric tweet-count markets can become when the crowd gets it wrong: • $6.58 → $139.50 (+2,120.9%) - YES on <300 tweets (Jan 17-24) • $20,891 → $42,996 (+105.8%) - 500-519 tweets (Dec 26-Jan 2) • $10,624 → $32,073 (+201.9%) - 200-219 tweets (Nov 18-25) PredictionYogi consistently buys YES when tweet ranges are underpriced and isn’t afraid to fade the crowd when expectations get stretched. Each trade is just one small input in a long statistical series - not a make or break bet Defined downside Repeatable setups And an equity curve driven by math not speculation.

@rb_tweets Nice! Invite you to check out our solution: polyelon.com

I made it to X news as well🤯 elon tweet market link -> poly.market/elontweet

@lorden_eth True

@PolyElonApp the win was monstrous

+6666% from just 1 bet Polymarket trader made from predicting Elon Musk tweets count That's a crazy return on investment he made from just $1,169 and cashed out $79,123 The main thing is he bought the bottom of odds on the 1c level Trader: @sb911?via=signup_with_my_ref_link" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@sb911?via=sig…

@voidwasted @AlwarezIvan @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade I think they are less managable and more riskier but otherwise you can profit quicker.

@AlwarezIvan @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade do you think 3-day markets are better? In essence, it's a bigger flip because elon can tweet a lot in a day

New markets on Elon Musk # tweets I didn't notice, but turns out @Polymarket added 3-day markets now Before, the shortest option was weekly markets only, which led to a huge range of outcomes - from 140 to 500+ With the 3-day option, you can predict Elon's behavior on X much more accurately and place a better bet Market: polymarket.com/event/elon-mus…

@gustaffsonkotte @AlwarezIvan @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade Use a good tool for your analysis! 😀

@AlwarezIvan @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade This is such a complex and random market But I would try it😄

@kmoney Lol haha

the market will continue to reward those who are chronically online

@elonmusk Came back on fire after 2 days busy. I missed you daddy ❤️

Wow, that means they’re registered to vote

@bigxiaobrother Appreciate it. Enjoy 🙏🏻

@PolyElonApp Dude, your webpage is awesome, the problem is solved.

Just added a light Markov and News components to PolyElon. With Markov it will get easier to analyze Elon's cycle tweets behavior and try to antecipate something. News componentes fetches most 20 relevants news envolving Elon. Useful to match topics and tweets contexts. More updates: now both Heatmaps show the minute of first tweet on that specific hour (useful for drawing patterns next to cycles closing - "In which minute last cycle ending did Elon start tweeting at 11 EST?" - Now you know). Also added filters to big heatmap (now you can see only days he tweeted like 5 times between 00 est and 7 est - for example). Fixed heatmap before 18/12 bug showing wrong number of tweets. Check: polyelon.com

@bigxiaobrother Deployed right now. Refresh page

@PolyElonApp still

@bigxiaobrother Fixed. Try again please

@PolyElonApp hey，BRO，Application error: a client-side exception has occurred while loading polyelon.com (see the browser console for more information).