Председатель🇮🇱🇺🇦

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Председатель🇮🇱🇺🇦

Председатель🇮🇱🇺🇦

@Predsedatel77

Израиль Beigetreten Ekim 2023
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Zineb Riboua
Zineb Riboua@zriboua·
My assessment: Trump has singlehandedly sown confusion inside the IRGC. Commanders were already eyeing each other, convinced that someone in the room was feeding their positions to American targeting lists, and nobody could figure out who (which was already the case during the 12-day war). Which is probably why Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, Speaker of the Iranian Parliament, felt the need to go on record denying he had met with anyone at all, even as reports had him in Pakistan preparing to do precisely that. (axios.com/2026/03/23/tru…) Also, accusing Trump of fabricating the story to move oil markets is such a tell. Men who are winning don't feel the need to explain themselves. As I said in my previous assessment, they are in complete denial, mainly because they are all confused and have no idea who is talking to whom. Their chain of command is broken.
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dan linnaeus
dan linnaeus@DanLinnaeus·
Actually, one of the things that this episode revealed is a good deal of latency between the foreign ministry’s diplomatic arm, political decision makers, and media outlets under kinetic stress, rather than any “All officials stand firmly” picture offered here by MP Ghalibaf. There were contradictory and ambiguous statements from different state arms that took hours to align... For instance (x.com/iribnews_irib/…) IRIB cautioned media agencies not to publish false reports, saying the foreign ministry has neither affirmed nor denied the reports of negotiations with Washington. That was an hour after Trump’s Truth Social post announcing negotiations was reposted by SecState Rubio on X (x.com/secrubio/statu…). It was not until some fifteen minutes later that IRIB published an exclusive (x.com/iribnews_irib/…) announcing that news of negotiations was fake news. Now, hours later, MP Ghalibaf who was the figure rumored to be the interlocutor is squashing the rumint as fake news himself. What we have here is actually a fairly decent read on how dislocated the Iranian regime really is and the lag time in coordinating between the Foreign Ministry's diplomatic arm, Parliament's political signaling, and the state media's propaganda machine. It’s certainly possible that some sort of deconfliction channel has been opened. Neither the dislocation nor the denials are dispositive on that item. However what this episode clarifies is that the Iranians are struggling to figure out what they are doing.
محمدباقر قالیباف | MB Ghalibaf@mb_ghalibaf

1/ Iranian people demand complete and remorseful punishment of the aggressors. All Irainan officials stand firmly behind their supreme leader and people until this goal is achieved.

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Председатель🇮🇱🇺🇦
Срочная новость! Десятое китайское предупреждение Саудовской Аравии Ирану. Держите меня семеро, наше терпение не безгранично! 🤣
War Radar@War_Radar2

BREAKING: 🇸🇦🇺🇸🇮🇷 Saudi Arabia has informed the United States that it is ready to retaliate against Iran if Tehran targets its energy and water facilities. — Bloomberg

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Hussain Abdul-Hussain
Hussain Abdul-Hussain@hahussain·
Direct Hezbollah hit of a public bus in the northern Israeli town of Kiryat Shmonah. The pro-Iran militia is giving Israel every excuse and legitimacy under international law to "make Litani River the border between the two countries," until Beirut enforces UN Security Council Resolution 1701 (disbands Hezbollah).
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Hussain Abdul-Hussain
Hussain Abdul-Hussain@hahussain·
By closing Hormuz Strait, Islamist Iran regime gave President Trump the constitutional license to extend his military campaign against Tehran as long as he wants. Originally, the operation would have been limited to 60 days (would've ended around April 28), after which he'd have had to obtain Congressional approval (by vote) to continue. Now that Iran threatens global shipping sea lanes, the U.S. president has constitutional authority to use military force to keep them open, exactly the same authority that Biden relied on to launch a military campaign on Houthis to keep Bab al-Mandeb Strait open.
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Laura Loomer
Laura Loomer@LauraLoomer·
BREAKING: @ScottMcConnell9 Scott McConnell, the co-founder of The American Conservative @amconmag is now calling on @JDVance to voice his support for using the 25th Amendment on President Trump and not resigning. As I have previously reported, Tucker Carlson sits on the Advisory Board of The American Conservative. The magazine that Tucker Carlson sits on the board of is calling on JD Vance to stage a coup against President Trump with false claims of insanity. Just a reminder that @TuckerCarlson’s son works for JD Vance at the White House. Several months ago, AmCon said Vance should be the next President because he will lead a “post Israel America”. Do you see what’s going on here? Does JD Vance condemn Tucker’s colleagues calling for the use of the 25th Amendment on President Trump so that he can be President?
Laura Loomer tweet mediaLaura Loomer tweet mediaLaura Loomer tweet media
Scott McConnell@ScottMcConnell9

My advice to Vance: Announce your support of 25th amendment transition. Say Chris Murphy or similar will be veep. Announce you will NOT be a candidate in 2028. Use your position, access to the media to explain why this is necessary. Don't resign.

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Apple Lamps
Apple Lamps@lamps_apple·
- Iranian ballistic missile launches down 90% from Day 1 - Drone launches down 83% - 300+ missile launchers destroyed - Air dominance over the entirety of Iran... B-1 bombers flying non-stealth missions over Iranian cities - Supreme Leader killed, AFGS Chief killed, intelligence apparatus decimated - Internal security commanders literally hiding under bridges and operating from tents - Nuclear facilities at Natanz and Fordow degraded or inoperable - Campaign executing through planned phases on schedule The media wants you to believe 22 days = "forever war." Operation Desert Storm lasted 43 days. This campaign has achieved more degradation of Iranian military capacity in three weeks than most analysts thought possible in three months. Iran's only remaining card is Hormuz... soon to fall.
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Hussain Abdul-Hussain
Hussain Abdul-Hussain@hahussain·
After seeing how unhinged, how much of a threat Islamist Iran regime is, and how clinical U.S./Israel strikes on it have been, the percentage of Americans supporting the Iran war has now doubled, with opposition dipping from 80 percent to below half. emersoncollegepolling.com/march-2026-nat…
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@FamilyGuy_2022 Раскачать условную Нарву для внутреннего потребления в условиях отсутствия прогресса в Украине они вполне могут.
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Piter Griffin🇮🇱
Piter Griffin🇮🇱@FamilyGuy_2022·
Я не дед Ванга, но успокою вас, что ничего не будет. Есть такое понятие как «концентрация усилий», этому учат еще на курсах командиров отделений. Завязнув по уши пятый год в войне, которую хотели закончить за 3 дня, не открывают второй фронт. Их сейчас интересует только Донбас, там как раз началось очередное летнее наступление. Статья в Билд это обычная современная отстойная журналистика, когда тема высасывается из пальца.
Аркадий Бабченко@StarshinaZapasa

По поводу опубликованной журналом Bild карты вторжения... Тут никаких секретов из недр разведки нет, просто бильд-редактор Бильда, это каламбур сейчас, если что, сел и нарисовал фломастером свое стратегическое видение, если бы он был фельдмаршалом. И он абсолютно прав - ничего другого там нарисовать невозможно в принципе. Таллинн, Вильнюс, Рига - Россия и Калининград, других стрелок провести тут в принципе нельзя. Так что чем вызвана эта шумиха, мне, честно говоря непонятно. Расклад же на данный момент примерно такой. Еще в 2024 году, в рамках стратегии укрепления западных рубежей, орки накопили в Ленинградском военном округе 70 тысяч человек. Если учитывать, что в Украину они входили примерно 150 тысячами, а от Таллинна до Вильнюса 700 километров - то, в целом, группировки вторжения сопоставимые. Далее. Отремонтированную и отреставрированную броню они сейчас отправляют туда же - в Ленинградский округ. В Украине она практически перестала использоваться. Почему? Да потому, что в Украине бронетехника попросту не живет. Сгорает моментально. А вот на новом театре боевых действий, где нет не то, что килл-зоны, а даже еще и концепции использования дронов, где НАТО все еще проводит учения по старинке, как будто дронов в природе попросту не существует, её применение сейчас более чем оправдано. Тем более стороной, которая только одна из двух на всей планете способна воевать в современной дроновой войне. А когда у противника есть танк и перед ним летит рой дронов, а у тебя только Карл Густав или, в лучшем случае, Джавелин - танк превращается в неоспоримое преимущество. Из Джавелина надо еще суметь выстрелить, если у него дистанция пять километров, а у дрона - пятнадцать. Ты становишься попросту безоружным. К дроновой войне Европа не готова. Такое положение сохранится еще год-два. Третье. Разведки стран Балтии в начале года опубликовали доклад, в котором заявили, что признаков подготовки вторжения в 2026 году они не наблюдают. Но ситуация кардинально изменилась с началом войны в Иране. Путин увидел для себя окно возможностей. И, надо признать, оно правда есть. А если Трамп еще и увязнет в сухопутной операции - ситуация сложится просто идеальная. Принципиальное решение уже принято - об этом говорит закон о защите граждан РФ за рубежом - и сейчас они решают для себя, пора уже или еще нет. Наверное, сейчас будет какая-то стадия торга с Европой. Не исключено. Но не обязательно. Они хотят повышать ставки - вы прекращаете помогать Украине, мы не нападаем на Балтию. Четвертое. Если - повторюсь, если - решение о вторжении будет принято, то различные разведки дают временной горизонт от месяца-полутора и до двух, двух с половиной. Все будет в конце весны, начале лета. Пятое. Вторжение, по всей видимости, будет все же танковое. Шестое. Основной удар будет направлен на Литву - именно потому, что вторжение будет танковое. Танку нужны дороги и поля, а Эстония - это леса и болота. В Эстонии, собственно говоря, есть вообще только одна трасса на Восток - Нарвское шоссе, все остальное это узкие двухполоски среди густейшей зеленки, и болота по бокам. Тем более Литву с трех сторон окружает Беларусь и Калининград, до Вильнюса от границы вообще 70, если не ошибаюсь, километров, и если армия вторжения пойдет километрах в пяти от польской границы - я вот совсем не уверен, что Польша ввяжется в войну. Седьмое. Тем не менее, захват Нарвы вариант вполне реальный. Более чем. А там будут смотреть, как развиваются события. Восьмое. Основная задача - даже не оккупация стран Балтии, что, безусловно, приятный бонус, а расшатывание НАТО. Если Польша, Балтия, Финляндия и Скандинавия воевать готовы - то насчет остальных стран, и, самое главное - лидирующих стран - Европы есть сомнения. Испания вон вообще аятолл поддерживает. Резюме. Короче, к майским шашлыкам будет примерно понятно - будут они, эти шашлыки, или нет. Такой вот примерно расклад на сегодня. Скажите, я хорошо делаю свою работу? Как волонтера, так и журналиста? Тогда подпишитесь на меня на «Патреон». Это поможет вам разработать стратегии выживания и спасения себя и своих близких. Для вас это кружка кофе - или пива - один раз в месяц. Для меня - возможность построить новую жизнь для моей семьи. И там больше информации: patreon.com/babchenko Спасибо. Или можете угостить меня пивом buymeacoffee.com/babchenkoab

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@shanaka86 It doesn't matter at all who the Palestinian Authority supports. If the war ends now, they'll be embracing Iran again. The Palestinian Authority leadership is completely indistinguishable from Hamas.
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Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡
BREAKING: The Palestinian Authority just condemned Iran’s attacks on Saudi Arabia and the Gulf states. Read that sentence again. The entity whose cause Iran has invoked for four decades to justify every proxy war, every missile programme, every threat against every Arab neighbour just picked up the phone and told Riyadh it stands with the Kingdom. Palestinian Interior Minister Ziyad Hab al-Reeh called Saudi Interior Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Saud bin Nayef on 21st March and expressed what the Saudi Press Agency recorded as the State of Palestine’s condemnation of the Iranian attacks targeting the Kingdom, the Gulf states, and the region. He affirmed solidarity with all measures taken by Saudi Arabia to preserve its security, sovereignty, and the safety of its territory and citizens. The Palestinian Authority’s official news agency WAFA carried the same statement. Al Arabiya amplified it across the Arab world. This is the most consequential diplomatic signal of this war and it has received almost no coverage. Iran’s entire regional architecture is built on one claim: that Tehran is the defender of the Palestinian cause. That claim justified the creation of Hezbollah. It justified the funding of Hamas. It justified the missile transfers to Islamic Jihad. It justified the Quds Force’s name, which is the Arabic word for Jerusalem. It justified four decades of threatening Gulf Arab states as American puppets who betrayed the Palestinian people. Every proxy, every rocket, every militia was wrapped in the flag of Palestine. The moral legitimacy of Iran’s regional posture rests on the premise that Tehran fights for a people whose own government just condemned Tehran’s war. The Palestinian Authority is not Hamas. That distinction is the fracture this phone call exposes. Hamas receives Iranian funding, weapons, and strategic direction. The PA in Ramallah receives Gulf funding, maintains diplomatic relations with Arab states, and governs the West Bank under a framework that depends on the same Gulf monarchies Iran is currently bombing. When Iran struck Ras Laffan in Qatar, Shah and Habshan gas facilities in the UAE, and refineries in Saudi Arabia, it attacked the economic infrastructure of the states that fund Palestinian governance. The PA did not need to calculate whether to condemn. The calculation was arithmetic: the countries paying Palestinian salaries are the countries Iran is bombing. But the symbolism transcends the funding. Iran cannot claim to fight for Palestine when Palestine says stop bombing our allies. The moral architecture collapses not because of American pressure or Israeli intelligence or military degradation. It collapses because the people at the centre of the narrative rejected the narrator. The flag Iran wrapped around its missiles was taken back by the people whose flag it is. 23 nations signed a statement condemning Iran’s Hormuz closure. Greece fired a Patriot over Saudi Arabia. Britain sent a nuclear submarine. India called Tehran on Nowruz. China is buying 600 kilograms of gold per minute. But none of those signals carry the weight of the Palestinian Authority calling Riyadh and saying: we condemn Iran. Because Iran can survive military degradation. It can survive economic isolation. It can survive a 48-hour ultimatum. It cannot survive the loss of the one cause that made its entire regional project morally intelligible to the populations it claims to serve. The phone call lasted minutes. The damage is permanent. open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…
Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡ tweet mediaShanaka Anslem Perera ⚡ tweet media
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Hussain Abdul-Hussain
Hussain Abdul-Hussain@hahussain·
No they don't! And the Shia are not Iran. Iran has only 70 million of the world's 250 million Shia, which means, Iranian Shia are not even the majority in the Shia world. Shiism did not originate in Iran either, but in Arab Iraq. Also the school of ayatollah and Hezbollah are not mainstream Shia, only the violent Khomeini/Khamenei school of Islamic government. What's happening to fact-checking these days in mainstream media? haaretz.com/jewish/2026-03…
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Dumisani Washington
Dumisani Washington@DumisaniTemsgen·
It’s worth reminding people that Qatar has been cooperating closely with the Islamic regime in Iran for years on extracting gas from the South Pars Gas Field in the Persian Gulf. Iran, knowing that it’s more difficult for it to export gas as it’s under sanctions, lets Qatar extract its share and sell it. Qatar then shares the profits with the Islamic regime in Iran. It could be said that Qatar has paid for the construction of many of the Iranian ballistic missiles now striking Qatari gas infrastructure.
Visegrád 24@visegrad24

Trump writes about Iran’s attacks against the world’s largest gas field in Qatar: “Israel, out of anger for what has taken place in the Middle East, has violently lashed out at South Pars Gas Field in Iran. A relatively small section has been hit. The U.S. knew nothing about this attack, and Qatar was in no way involved or aware. Unfortunately, Iran did not know this and unjustifiably attacked a portion of Qatar’s LNG Gas facility. NO MORE ATTACKS WILL BE MADE BY ISRAEL pertaining to South Pars unless Iran unwisely decides to attack Qatar — in which instance the United States of America, with or without the help or consent of Israel, will massively blow up the entirety of the South Pars Gas Field at an amount of strength and power that Iran has never seen before. I do not want to authorize this level of violence and destruction because of the long term implications, but if Qatar’s LNG is again attacked, I will not hesitate to do so” It’s worth reminding people that Qatar has been cooperating closely with the Islamic regime in Iran for years on extracting gas from the South Pars Gas Field in the Persian Gulf. Iran, knowing that it’s more difficult for it to export gas as it’s under sanctions, lets Qatar extract its share and sell it. Qatar then shares the profits with the Islamic regime in Iran. It could be said that Qatar has paid for the construction of many of the Iranian ballistic missiles now striking Qatari gas infrastructure.

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