Председатель🇮🇱🇺🇦

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Председатель🇮🇱🇺🇦

Председатель🇮🇱🇺🇦

@Predsedatel77

Израиль Katılım Ekim 2023
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Председатель🇮🇱🇺🇦 retweetledi
dan linnaeus
dan linnaeus@DanLinnaeus·
Who kicked the Palestinians out of “Free Palestine”? The Hashemite Sharifs of Mecca, forty five years after the fall of their Kingdom of Hejaz at the hands of the House of Saud in 1925, massacred thousands and expelled hundreds of thousands of Palestinians in Black September between 1970 and ‘71. That’s how Lebanon fell into occupation and chaos, with the Palestinian Liberation Organization establishing Fatahland south of the Litani and the Syrians capitalizing on the Civil War that ensued to occupy vast swaths of eastern Lebanon. Who liberated them? The Israelis, with the first push in ‘78 through Op Litani and then in ‘82 with Op Peace for Galilee. Then came the Iranians and Hezbollah. Now the same rival Arab dynasties who descended Lebanon into chaos out of ineptitude want to dispose of the Palestinian problem at the Jews expense. How rich.
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Председатель🇮🇱🇺🇦
После войны США могут перенести свою базу в Израиль и остаться в ОАЭ. Весь остальной балласт пусть сам о себе заботится.
David Wurmser@Wurmserscribit

Basically, when the conflict with Iran ends, the U.S. will vastly reduce its regional footprint. The rationale for the bases there declines measurably since they showed themselves as vulnerable and in more need of protection than the indispensable advantage they offered to US operations. Moreover, the key commodity was exposed as less valuable to the U.S. as imagined, and those that do rely on it proved they were unwilling to help, and indeed even hurt and sabotaged. In contrast, Israel has shown itself to be the capable firepower and regional stabilizer to hold the region in balance even when the U.S. reduces its footprint. And it also showed itself as a powerful and built-out deployment structure for major assets when the U.S. will need to deploy them, just as stand-off ranges increase. And our navy and key remaining facilities in the UAE, who proved itself a real and willing ally, can also do heavy lifting. The UAE is seeking to align with that structure and contribute. It has made clear it is “all in” with the U.S. Moreover, regional minorities, especially Christians, Druze, Alawites and Yazidis, are re-imagining their future survival by tapping into Israeli protection. Add all this up, and permanent bases in Saudi, Kuwait, Iraq and frankly even in eastern Turkey make ever less sense. And then imagine what additional change would be driven if Iran falls to its people and establishes a pro-Western government …

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Председатель🇮🇱🇺🇦
Все такие "умные", один Трамп ничего не понимает.
Richard Goldberg@rich_goldberg

Too many people are convinced the Trump administration is playing games with the language they use about their negotiating position. The lack of confidence in this President - the ultimate BS detector who can sniff out a bad deal when it’s presented - is astounding. Stop accusing the White House of playing games! What kind of games? Here are examples of the conspiracy theories: - Saying “enriched uranium” but not really meaning ALL enriched uranium. Maybe only 60%, not the 20% or low enriched uranium. But don’t you think the president will ask, can they still make a bomb with what’s being left behind? - Saying enriched uranium may be shipped out to third countries or disposed of inside Iran, but this being code for caving to Iran’s position, JCPOA-style, with Iran shipping some to an ally while retaining a downblended stockpile. Don’t you think the president will ask questions like, can they even downblend inside Iran today, or if they did this would the remaining stockpile still constitute a threat, or isn’t this exactly like the JCPOA? - Saying “no dust, no dollars” but getting cute by giving Iran permission to draw on escrowed accounts in Qatar and Oman to pay debts and imports, but without the money going back to Tehran. Don’t you think the president knows this was Sleepy Joe’s trick to give sanctions relief to Iran, that the $6 billion in Qatar was the horrible hostage ransom payment every Republican condemned, and that budget support - whether the money sits in Tehran or Doha - is paying an extortion racket upfront and reducing the likelihood he ever gets the nuclear dust? - Saying no upfront sanctions relief from the United States while allowing Qatar or someone else to pay the ransom instead of us. As if the president has no clue that if anyone helps relive the pressure before he gets the nuclear dust, he will never get it? I recognize that many in Washington have been burned a thousand times by these kind of games under Obama and Biden. I testified before House Oversight just before October 7 laying out this exact subterfuge on Iran. But my goodness, give this president some credit for killing bad Iran deal proposal after bad Iran deal proposal on Iran since his first term. Mediators can scheme all they want - this President gets briefed, perhaps after 50 leaks occurred from people with half a clue, and he is the ultimate BS detector.

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Председатель🇮🇱🇺🇦 retweetledi
James Woods
James Woods@RealJamesWoods·
Thinking today of my beloved father who served both in World War II and the Korean War.
James Woods tweet media
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WarMonitor🇺🇦🇬🇧
Iran according to American intelligence has rearmed rapidly after the ceasefire was announced producing more launchers, ballistic missiles and air defence systems as well as maintaining 2 thirds of their initial missile stockpiles which has alarmed many defence officials.
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Председатель🇮🇱🇺🇦
@Studento Это было критично для светского населения, поэтому и решили подстроиться под Европу. Когда почти нет сумерков переводить часы на час назад в середине сентября, как-то не очень умно и приятно.
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Studento
Studento@Studento·
@Predsedatel77 Так это был перенос. Менее критично, чем остаться на летнем. Их основная проблема в короткие дни, которые начинаются с ноября. Сентябрь не критично.
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Председатель🇮🇱🇺🇦
@Studento Может и лягут, а толку? Оппозиция поддержит. Всё это мы проходили уже, когда переход на зимнее время у нас был сразу после Рош Ашана обычно в сентябре
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Studento
Studento@Studento·
@Predsedatel77 У харедим большое лобби за зимнее время. Они трупом лягут, но не дадут остаться на летнем. Ими это очень важно по религиозным причинам.
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@MehekCooke This means nothing to Israel. These countries are not allies or even partners. They are open enemies. Whatever they sign, they have no intention of going to war with Iran.
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Mehek Cooke🇺🇸
Mehek Cooke🇺🇸@MehekCooke·
Trump just turned the Abraham Accords into an accountability trap for the Gulf states and Iran walked right into it. Gulf states like Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Turkey have never held Iran accountable is due to exposure. They share a neighborhood. They can't sanction, shame, or confront Iran while having zero security architecture binding them to the West or to each other. The Abraham Accords change that math entirely. Once Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Pakistan, Egypt, and Turkey are signatories, they aren't just recognizing Israel they are locking themselves into a collective security posture. A breach of the Iran deal becomes their problem to call out, not just America's or Israel's. You can't sign a normalization framework and then look the other way when your new partner Israel is threatened by a nuclear Iran. The accords create skin in the game. If Iran violates the deal, the Gulf states aren't just silent bystanders anymore. They're co-signatories of the broader peace architecture. The political cost of looking away just went from zero to enormous. That's why markets are surging and oil is dropping. The world is pricing in something it hasn't seen in decades, a Middle East where the neighbors themselves have a structural reason to enforce the peace. Genius.
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Leading Report
Leading Report@LeadingReport·
George Floyd passed six years ago today.
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Studento
Studento@Studento·
@Predsedatel77 По известной причине, этого не произойдет. Слишком много мандатов.
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Председатель🇮🇱🇺🇦
🇺🇸🇦🇲 Рубио 26 мая посетит Ереван. Это явная поддержка Пашиняна перед выборами. Ждите истерику российских пропагандонов. США забирают весь Южный Кавказ под себя.
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Председатель🇮🇱🇺🇦 retweetledi
Hussain Abdul-Hussain
Hussain Abdul-Hussain@hahussain·
NYT and W Post reports that Saudi was instigating Trump against Iran were likely Iranian info ops to justify Iranian strikes on Saudi civilian targets. The Saudis had gone into reverse, back to the Islamist fold and against Israel, starting at least in October 2025. Nothing in their diplomacy, secret or public, suggested they’d say a word against Iran even when Iran was pounding them. Trump asking Saudis to normalize with Israel first came in his visit to the Gulf in May 2025. His request yesterday was not necessarily part of his Iran calculus, but perhaps he thought it was another opportunity that presented itself and he took it. The Saudis will not normalize. The odds that Iran gives Trump a whiff of victory are extremely low. Trump has to either swallow his pride and spin his concession as a historic win, or turn Tehran into a hole. Alternatively, he can continue to play the game of chicken with Iran by maintaining the current standoff and see whose economy blinks first. Strategically, Trump has a stronger hand. First, his allies, especially the UAE, can render Hormuz useless by shunting oil exports overland. Second, Asia will need Gulf oil very soon, especially as summer heats up. Let China and rest of Asia (and Iran’s ally Qatar) force Tehran to let through their ships. The only loser here will be Kuwait, but Kuwait never plays big. It’ll likely be happy to register with Iranian toll to export its oil.
Amit Segal@AmitSegal

The bill for American action has arrived at the Saudi door. Last night, Donald Trump reportedly demanded that in exchange for finalizing the current ceasefire deal with Iran—the one desperately needed to reopen the Strait of Hormuz—the Gulf states would have to pay a massive premium: immediate normalization with Israel. According to my sources, the ultimatum was met with literal silence. The Arab leaders were so thoroughly stunned by the audacity of the request that Trump actually had to break the silence with a follow-up: “Are you still there?” For months, we have watched a narrative form: Israel deceived the United States into a disastrous war that only empowered Iran. This narrative ignores multiple factors, including but not limited to the fact that it was Trump’s choice, Trump did not follow the Israeli plan, and—perhaps most of all—the presence of another major player calling for war: Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. In late February, The Washington Post reported that the decision to go to war had been reached after encouragement from two key allies: Israel and Saudi Arabia. Throughout the war, they reinforced this support. A few weeks later, when Trump was claiming that the war would be over in a few days, The New York Times reported that both nations heavily encouraged a continuation of the conflict. Prince Mohammed reportedly argued that the United States should consider putting troops in Iran to seize energy infrastructure and force the government out of power. But things have changed. The Saudis never expected to put their core energy infrastructure on the line for this conflict, assuming a covert nod to Washington would yield a painless destruction of the Iranian threat. Instead, the smoking ruins of the Ras Tanura refinery, a staggering $33.5 billion first-quarter deficit, and a hull-to-hull backup in the Strait of Hormuz served as a brutal awakening. With the United Arab Emirates stepping aggressively into the vacuum—gladly absorbing the role of America’s primary, hardline Gulf ally—Riyadh is executing a frantic tactical retreat. For the past month and a half, MBS has been beating a different drum: diplomacy. “Okay,” said Trump last night, but constantly shifting positions comes with a cost: normalization. This is about far more than Trump extracting a quick return on investment. By demanding normalization as the price for a ceasefire, he is forcing the Saudis to grab Israel’s other arm to physically restrain Jerusalem from striking Iran alone. It underscores a truth that Trump understood and Obama never did: the most effective way to control Israel isn’t to push them away, but to wrap them in a bear hug. By locking Jerusalem into a close alliance, Washington doesn’t just protect them—it places its hand directly over the Israeli trigger finger. Washington needs its hand over that trigger because Israel has little incentive to hold back when the current deal appears to leave Iran in a stronger position than before. That is the Iranian impression as well. In The Art of the Deal, Trump writes: “The worst thing you can possibly do in a deal is seem desperate to make it. That makes the other guy smell blood, and then you’re dead.” Sensing American eagerness for a diplomatic off-ramp, Tehran has smelled exactly that, aggressively upping its demands before any Memorandum of Understanding can be printed. Despite draft stipulations requiring a return to free transit, the IRGC is leveraging its tactical position to normalize a permanent, permission-based transit regime in the Strait of Hormuz—boasting that 33 commercial vessels were forced to register and coordinate with the IRGC Navy in a single 24-hour window. Meanwhile, Iran has flatly rejected a Pakistani compromise to defer unresolved issues, flipping the entire sequencing of the talks by refusing any nuclear-related commitments or stockpiling concessions at this stage. Instead, an emboldened Tehran is demanding immediate economic rewards, including the unfreezing of blocked assets, while conditioning the entire agreement on an “all fronts” ceasefire that would effectively force Washington to strip Israel of its freedom of action against Hezbollah in Lebanon. At the end of the devastating Iran-Iraq War, Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini famously declared that accepting peace was like “drinking a poison chalice.” Today, his successor’s successor, Mojtaba Khamenei, is facing no such bitter brew. Instead, Benjamin Netanyahu is being asked to swallow the fatal mixture this time around. Much to his relief, Donald Trump is trying to mix in a Saudi sweetener to help the medicine go down.

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