DK
2.2K posts
⚠️ Thank you all for your concern and messages of support.
Yesterday, based on indirect signals about how the situation could develop, I decided to leave Abu Dhabi with my children and my team. For the same reason, I closed part of my portfolio positions.
We are safe now.
I have a clear, non-emotional view on what is happening, but due to my employment agreement, I cannot comment on geopolitics and will leave it at that.
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DK retweetet
ALL YOU NEED TO KNOW ABOUT WALL STREET HEDGE FUNDS. Q4 2025
Right now, while everyone on @X, as usual, is running around debating who bought and who sold $RKT, $CRWV, $CVNA, $NBIS, $OMC, $IREN, $IONQ, $OKLO, $JOBY, $APLD, $SYM, $RGTI, $OPEN or any other stock that won’t change your outcome – I’ll show you three tables.
These cover hedge fund performance over 13 quarters, from October 1, 2022 to December 31, 2025: the first one highlights those who outperformed the S&P 500 by 2× or more, and the next two show the eternal dead weight – the ones who can’t even match the benchmark, the ones who would’ve done better if they’d simply had the courage to buy $SPY and stop pretending they understand markets. But that would require courage.
For context, $SPX returned 90.92% over the same period.
On the stock market, it doesn’t matter what books you’ve written, who your friends were, or what your results looked like ages ago. These numbers are a mirror… and for some, it’s painful to look.
Let it plant a seed of doubt about who the real heroes are and who’s just noise.
Be honest.
Who do you look up to?
Whose quotes do you post or like?
Whose ideas do you admire and whose “market principles” shape your trading?
And what are your results over the last 3/5/7 years?
Don’t answer me. Be honest with yourself.
Remember:
we are what we eat,
we are what we drink,
we are what we read,
we are what we watch,
we are who we surround ourselves with,
we are who we imitate,
we are who we idolize.
Stuck in the red and calling it “conviction”?
Selling winners to finance losers?
Gambling on earnings, hoping for a miracle?
Hoping “long-term investing” will fix bad entries?
If this sounds familiar, you’re playing the wrong game.
That’s not strategy.
You don’t control your positions.
Your positions control you.
The market doesn’t trap anyone.
People trap themselves.
Start with the pinned post below.
The rest is your decision.
And no @WarrenBuffett, no @BillAckman, no @RayDalio will save you – they haven’t helped themselves in years.
Words mean nothing. Numbers always speak for themselves.
If this was useful – support it. Like. Comment. Repost.
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Top Performers:
Stanley #Druckenmiller & #Duquesne Family Office, NWI Management, #Coatue Management, #Peconic Partners, #Tiger Global Management, #Point72 Asset Management, #Kensico Capital Management, #Renaissance Technologies and DE Show
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Eternal Dead Weight:
@Carl_C_Icahn Enterprises $IEP, @HowardMarksBook @Oaktree Capital Management, #Baupost Group, Cantor Fitzgerald LP (@howardlutnick U.S. Secretary of Commerce), #Horizon Kinetics Asset Management, @ptj_official Tudor Investment Corporation, #Fundsmith, @georgesoros Fund Management, RR Advisors, #Steinberg Asset Management, @DanielSLoeb1 Third Point, Bridgewater Associates, @BillGates Foundation, #Berkshire Hathaway $BRK, Pershing Square Capital, #Robotti Robert, #Elliott Investment Management, TCI Fund Management, #Discovery Capital Management, #Grantham Mayo Van Otterloo, @MohnishPabrai Dalal Street, @michaeljburry Scion Asset Management and many others.
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Denistratos@denistratos
2025 is behind us. So is my chapter on Wall Street. 3.5 years in New York, USA – closed. A new one begins – Abu Dhabi, UAE. For new followers – who’s behind this account: I’m Denistratos. Greek. @MIT grad. 44. 21 years in the markets. As of today – ex Chief Investment Officer & Portfolio Manager on Wall Street. I managed a portfolio with ten-figure AUM and delivered a 44.7% CAGR. My edge is a trading system inspired by Jim Simons’ Medallion & Renaissance approach. I’ve been operating it since 2019 – green every single year, consistent outperformance vs #SPX, with superior drawdown, recovery, Sharpe and Sortino ratios. Public portfolio. Facts only: • $873k in realized profits since June (screenshots in Highlights). • 70%+ YTD return in 2025. • Full transparency – every trade, every position change, daily P&L. Green days and red days alike. Why post this publicly? Because @X is full of “gurus” who talk a lot – but never show a terminal. In this industry, only daily, verifiable results matter. Everything else is just words. No subscriptions. No paid groups. No outside services. Below are the key posts I’ve written over the past 8 months on @X – they show how I think and trade. 🟢 Priority reads 🔵 Secondary reads THE BASIS OF MY STRATEGY AND WHY I TRACK TRADING ALGORITHMS 🟢 Deliberate Aggression → Absolute Control x.com/sojustfollowme… 🟢 How I differ from 99.99% of traders x.com/sojustfollowme… 🟢 How I structure my portfolio x.com/sojustfollowme… 🟢 Brokers in suits are out – AI runs Wall Street now x.com/sojustfollowme… 🟢 Answers to questions about my trading strategy. Part one x.com/sojustfollowme… 🟢 Answers to questions about my trading strategy. Part two x.com/sojustfollowme… 🟢 My actions and attitude during market stress (on the example of Oct 10, 2025) x.com/sojustfollowme… 🟢 My actions and attitude during market stress. Lessons from volatility x.com/sojustfollowme… 🟢 What to check before you buy – Common Sense x.com/sojustfollowme… 🟢 What to check before you buy – Greed & Stupidity x.com/sojustfollowme… 🔵 Dunning-Kruger effect 🆚 Socrates x.com/sojustfollowme… 🔵 Rituals vs Mechanics. Over Myths x.com/sojustfollowme… 🔵 Terminator 2: Judgment Day Lessons for Traders x.com/sojustfollowme… 🔵 Price pinning x.com/sojustfollowme… 🔵 Market Algorithms: Which Timeframes? x.com/sojustfollowme… WALL STREET: BRUTAL REALITY 🟢 Mutual & Hedge Funds: 2025 Disaster, Déjà Vu x.com/sojustfollowme… 🟢 All you need to know about Wall Street hedge funds. Q3 2025 x.com/sojustfollowme… 🟢 All you need to know about Wall Street hedge funds. Q2 2025 x.com/sojustfollowme… 🟢 Everything You Need to Know About U.S. Hedge Funds – in a Single Brutal Chart. Q1 2025 x.com/sojustfollowme… WHY I DON’T USE FA & TA 🟢 Make a Choice or Go with Chance x.com/sojustfollowme… 🟢 What you really need to know about FA if you follow me x.com/sojustfollowme… 🟢 Fibonacci, Elliott and Patterns: a beautiful lie that’s easy to believe In x.com/sojustfollowme… 🔵 Q&A. Part one x.com/sojustfollowme… 🔵 Q&A. Part two x.com/sojustfollowme… WHY I DON’T CONSIDER LONG-TERM INVESTMENTS 🔵 Investing in blue-chip stocks and long-term holding – what’s the catch x.com/sojustfollowme… 🔵 Long-term stock holding? x.com/sojustfollowme… 🔵 Long-term holding, e.g., Cisco & Porsche x.com/sojustfollowme… 🔵 Real Estate: Another Long-Term Investing Miracle x.com/sojustfollowme… 🔵 WHY I DON’T CONSIDER DAY TRADING x.com/sojustfollowme… 🔵 ABOUT STOCK MANIPULATION x.com/sojustfollowme… WHY I DON’T TRADE CHINESE STOCKS 🟢 Variable Interest Entities x.com/sojustfollowme… 🔵 Real GDP & Equity Index x.com/sojustfollowme… WHY MY CRYPTO ALLOCATION NEVER EXCEEDS 2% 🟢 Who invests in crypto and how much x.com/sojustfollowme… 🔵 Strategy Inc → Tragedy x.com/sojustfollowme… 🔵 Planned crypto crash? x.com/sojustfollowme… 🔵 Crypto selloff. What was that? x.com/sojustfollowme…
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I might have found the next $ATOM
Incredible volume coming in on this Falling Wedge
(200 EMA Support)
TJ@Volume_Stocks
$ATOM Shared 6 days ago ⦿ Up 85% since 📈 You don’t need more charts ⦿ You need a short list of stocks receiving VOLUME
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@SoJustFollowMe Thank you, what would be your preference stock or option call?
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My rule: buy #BTC only at weekly 200 SMA.
Sell? I’ll explain later.
Buy or not? Up to you.
I plan to open on weekly 200 SMA ($58k today) → long-term $IBIT:
• Position size – 5% AUM
• Stop-loss – 1 ATR (bottom-right chart)
• Risk/reward – 1/160❗️
$MSTR, $BMNR, $MARA, $RIOT, $CLSK, $CORZ, $COIN, $GLXY, $HOOD, $HUT (if they don’t go bankrupt first) → High probability: massive short squeeze.
⚠️ NFA | General info only | Personal view
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Likes are in – well, almost. As promised – #BTC!
10 years. 4 touches of the weekly 200 SMA.
First chart – not obvious – happens with very strong growth. Below – each touch in approximation.
Three times growth:
• Jan 2015 – over 9,000%
• Dec 2018 – 350%
• Mar 2020 – 1,250%
Broken once, after 17-month consolidation:
• Jun 2022 – 475%
⚠️ Important to remember 2022 was a bear year. #Bitcoin algos powerless vs market algos: $SPY, $QQQ, $SMH, $MAGS.
Win rate – 75%. Returns – visible.
Continued below ↓
Denistratos@denistratos
Many have an opinion on #BTC. Most people have a take on every trending topic. On @X alone, there are thousands of groups with thousands of followers who are certain they know what happens next. In reality, most of it boils down to the same thing: crypto will change your life – and a stream of empty buzzwords. Real understanding of what this asset – #Bitcoin – actually is, and what’s truly happening to it, is limited to very few. Will I buy it or not? And if I do – when, at what price, and based on what logic. I’ll share not only what helps here and now. I’ll show a logic that can be applied consistently. This isn’t a fish for today. It’s learning how to fish – to be fed always. Want the key to that door? I’ll give it at 250 likes.
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Many have an opinion on #BTC.
Most people have a take on every trending topic.
On @X alone, there are thousands of groups with thousands of followers who are certain they know what happens next.
In reality, most of it boils down to the same thing: crypto will change your life – and a stream of empty buzzwords.
Real understanding of what this asset – #Bitcoin – actually is, and what’s truly happening to it, is limited to very few.
Will I buy it or not?
And if I do – when, at what price, and based on what logic.
I’ll share not only what helps here and now.
I’ll show a logic that can be applied consistently.
This isn’t a fish for today.
It’s learning how to fish – to be fed always.
Want the key to that door?
I’ll give it at 250 likes.
GIF
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⚠️ Do you know which section gets the fewest likes and, consequently, the least views?
Daily portfolio updates.
@X algos are simple: no likes = no interest → why show it to anyone else in the feed?
The purpose of this post isn’t for you to try to convince me that it matters to you.
The purpose is to set the boundaries. On the market, words mean nothing: results either exist – or they don’t.
No? Excess gets cut – as always.
Daily portfolio screenshots – cut two months ago.
Weekly Sunday market analysis – cut two weeks ago.
I will continue posting daily updates until the end of the quarter.
After that, I’ll decide whether to keep things as they are or switch to weekly/monthly updates, with the daily format moving to a subscription – here or on an external service – for those who truly need it.
This isn’t about money. It’s about common sense.
Special thanks to the followers whose likes I regularly see on my posts: I notice and I’m grateful to each of you.
You help @X algorithms show my posts to more people – and deliver the simple message: the market is simpler than it seems if you look at it coldly, through the lens of math analysis, without fantasies or wishes.
Each of you helps me – your support is mutual. I know my people by name and you’ll always get an answer in the comments.
Used to consuming without giving back? No reciprocity, no answers. Change your approach – or remain silent spectators.
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@PureChartian I don’t know what will happen tomorrow - no crystal ball here.
But I did open a big short in silver and platinum yesterday - up 25% today…
if it gives, take it!
Managed to flip to long on gold and silver, closed silver with a solid gain, holding gold into the weekend.
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$GLD and the power of the round $500 level for the most liquid precious metals ETF.
The short opened yesterday in $SLV and $PPLT is closed.
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DK retweetet
I’m no fan of @duolingo, but many of you bought it long ago and are now deep in a drawdown.
According to data from #Gemini, #GROK and #ChatGPT, $DUOL has long been recommended by:
@jimcramer, @Stocktwits, @SeekingAlpha, @JonahLupton, @TheLongInvest, @alc2022, @oguzerkan, @joecarlsonshow, @mvcinvesting, @BourbonCap, @patientinvestor, @FunOfInvesting, @MMatters22596, @qualtrim, @QualityInvest5, @Couch_Investor, @JKeynesAlpha, @CMDarnton0, @topsecretstocks, @StockChaser_ and many others.
It’s quite possible some are shareholders.
I don’t follow any of them and can’t judge their methods; apologies if anyone was included by mistake.
Let me also state this right away: I’m not here to throw dirt at anyone or to lecture. These are bloggers on @X. And, by and large, they show and tell you exactly what you’re willing to accept by relying on them. If you want fairy stories about Wide Moat, Cash Cows, Counter-cyclicality, Margin of Safety, Pricing Power and Buybacks, Insider Buying and Selling – you’re welcome. If you want Fibonacci or other forms of chart wall art – that’s fine too.
If you hold $DUOL and are in the red, it’s not someone else’s fault. Responsibility is yours alone.
At the same time, at least two people I personally follow are holding a position in $DUOL. I deliberately won’t mention their names publicly.
Want to know where algos are most likely to reverse the price in $DUOL?
It’s simple. 250 likes under this post – and you’ll learn about another pattern embedded in the data by cold numerical methods, independent of anyone’s fantasies or emotions, one the algos will be forced to react to.
I’ll not only indicate the price range – position will be opened once the price hits it, in my public portfolio.
Think I’m wrong? A thousand arguments ready? Don’t. I don’t want to argue for the sake of arguing.
Likes in – entry point revealed.
Who’s right – me or those who spent months telling followers why these moments were good? Time will decide.
p.s. For the stubborn ones who will start giving me arguments about how nice it is to be right in hindsight: my portfolio is public and open. Each of you can see every position I added or closed over the past year.
After all, there’s search. You can also find everything I’ve ever written or commented on regarding $DUOL.
A repost would be appreciated – it helps reach the likes faster and speeds up the process.
Denistratos@denistratos
DUNNING-KRUGER EFFECT 🆚 SOCRATES After seven months on @X, one thing has become increasingly clear to me: this platform is a perfect illustration of the Dunning-Kruger effect. Most people drown in a stream of shallow facts that don’t add up to knowledge – they only create the feeling of being well-informed. Professor Faber captured this brilliantly in Ray Bradbury’s Fahrenheit 451. Explaining to Montag why people abandoned books, he said: “Cram people full of facts, fill them up to the brim with data they never digest, and they’ll feel brilliantly informed – without noticing how fast they’re heading toward the abyss.” Many here write just to write. Many read just to read. And both share the same trait – a deep conviction that they already know enough. Most minds are stuffed with so much scattered “noise” that there’s no time or energy left for actual thinking. And yet, as Faber also said: “We have plenty of time. The question is whether we have time to think.” When something goes wrong in life, career, or markets, the cause is rarely conspiracies, governments, geopolitics, or specific leaders. The real reason is much closer: the content we choose to consume. We shape it ourselves – with our attention, our likes, our replies, our comments, or by ignoring it. We are what we eat. We are what we drink. We are what we read. We are what we watch. What we give our time to – people or things – is our choice, and it shapes us either way. If you want a strong body – go to the gym every day. If you want good health – stop drinking, smoking, overeating and cut down on sugar. If you want to develop your mind – read. Here are my favorite authors: Asimov, Balzac, Bradbury, Belyaev, Boussenard, Bulgakov, Clarke, Dick, Dostoevsky, Dreiser, Dumas, Fitzgerald, Goethe, Huxley, Poe, Ritchie, Sacher-Masoch, Stevenson, Tolstoy, Twain, Verne, Wells, Nabokov, Orwell, Heinlein. They will gladly open their pages to you. And one last thing. Every watch I own carries an engraving of a line attributed to Socrates: Οὐδὲν οἶδα ὅτι οὐδὲν οἶδα “I know that I know nothing.” I see these words every morning when I put my watch on, and every evening when I take it off. They keep me grounded. If each of us tries – even a little – to be closer to Socrates, and not to the person who “knows everything” after reading two random posts, the world around us will start changing for the better. But not by magic. It starts with us.
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I turned 28 today.
Plan for this year: work hard, get fitter, learn fast, try new things, travel more, and have fun. Looking forward to it!
What advice would you give your 28-year-old self (life, trading, anything)?
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@PureChartian All positions, except $UPRO (3x $SPY), $TQQQ (3x $QQQ) and $NKE, are opened through options.
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Portfolio ended down $400 today.
How did your portfolio perform?
Trades:
• Bought $NKE
Open Positions:
• $MSFT, $AMZN, $META, $ORCL, $NFLX, $PLTR, $ANET, $HOOD, $CRWV, $NBIS, $SOFI – LEAPS calls exp Jan 15, 2027
• $UPRO (3x $SPY), $TQQQ (3x $QQQ)
• $IEF & $TLT (US Treasury 7-10 & 20+) – LEAPS calls exp Jan 15, 2027
• $NKE – Long-term position
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