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Liv
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Liv
@RealLiv04
Aspiring corrupt politician - shockingly dyslexic - member of the committee to re-elect the president (1972) - TD from Galway West since 1973. 21 🏳️⚧️
She/They. UK Beigetreten Haziran 2023
2.4K Folgt958 Follower
Feel like it's not commonly know enough that NZF nearly destroyed the 2 party system in 1995 only to kinda crash out.
Would be funny if this actually happens to a degree 30 years later.
120 Aotearoa@120Aotearoa
BREAKING Party Vote | Taxpayers Union-Curia. Labour: 33.4% (-1) National: 29.8% (+1.4) NZF: 13.6% (+3.9) ACT: 9% (+1.5) Greens: 7.8% (-2.7) TPM: 2.6% (-0.6) PPM: Chris Hipkins: 21.7% (-1) Christopher Luxon: 20.5% (-0.5) D: April 1-2 | R: 1,000 +/- March 2026
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The funny think about Keiko Fujimori is that she's not like Le-Pen who other then 1 week in 2022 she never had a serious chance of actually winning. She's lost 3 easily winnible elections 2 of which she was strong favourites for most of the time against her eventual opponent.
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I know PB look's likley to win the most seats of any party in over a good decade however i'm not doubting Bulgaria's ability to find a way to somehow still have elections in another 6 months.
EE Polls 🇪🇺🇧🇬🇬🇧@EEPolls_123
Final Market Links Poll 🇧🇬 Massive surge for Radev according to them 🪖PB: 38% 🔵GERB: 20% 🟡PPDB: 13% 🐷DPSNN: 8% ⚫️VAZR: 6% ————————4% threshold 🟤VElichie: 3% 🩵Siyanie: 3% ⚔️MECh: 3% 🌹BSP: 3%
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@RealLiv04 Yea, though if I had to take a guess, that support is in spite of Brian, not becuase of him
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Feel like we don't discuss the 2007-2011 Irish parliment enough. A party which placed 1st in every election for the past 80 years suddently collapses in a single term. Also just generally some wild changes of support and so much political drama in those 3 and a half year.
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@ThatGarthGuy Understandably so tbf, though the Cowen's do still have a base of support in Offaly but that's like literally it
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@RealLiv04 Yea, it was a complete disaster for FF
I've never heard anyone from the Irish side of my family say anything nice (hell anything neutral as well) about Brian Cowen
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As ridiculous as the Liz Truss line is, it's not as utterly baffling as this Diva
Liv@RealLiv04
Merz joins the race for the most unpopular G7 leader
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To get a more sustainable majority perhaps he could merge with the NDP, could call them the Liberal Democrats or something
Nassreddin 🍉 نصر الدين@Nassreddin2002
This is wild… Carney now leads a MAJORITY government Thx to several crossovers from the Conservatives and NDP. And now also winning by-elections. The Liberals have grown from a minority govt to a majority Wow
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Voting intentions for Westminister elections:
🌹 Labour: 45.6% (+4.6)
🌳 Conservative: 40.6% (-2.9)
🔶 Lib Dem: 5.8% (-1.8)
🟡 SNP: 3.4% (+0.2)
💷 UKIP: 2.5% (+0.6)
🌍 Green: 1.4% (-0.2)
🌼 Plaid Cymru: 0.6% (+0.0)
France Elects 🇫🇷@FRElects
Poll for the first round of the presidential election : F. Fillon (LR) : 30% M. Le Pen (RN) : 24% E. Macron (RE) : 17% J-L. Mélenchon (LFI) : 13% F. Hollande (PS) : 8.5% N. Dupont-Aignan (DLF) : 2.5% Y. Jadot (EELV) : 2% P. Poutou (NPA) : 1%
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@ettingermentum Name a reform-green swing voter.
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Their support seemingly going to the Greens
Liv@RealLiv04
Also was inclined to believe the "Reform declince is cope" until recently but in the past month they've lost a good 3-4 points
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@JohnSocialDem21 That, combined with Trump stuff and a remobalised Left wing vote
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Also was inclined to believe the "Reform declince is cope" until recently but in the past month they've lost a good 3-4 points
Liv@RealLiv04
Sorpasso???
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@VeryGrumpyStats Yeah it's probs mostly that and a remobilisation of a number of "left leaning" voters
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@VeryGrumpyStats Yeah they've lost a non insignificant amount of support, could pick up again after the locals but it's not heading in a good direction for them atm
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@VeryGrumpyStats Tbf it does kinda work as a "non labour left" if the Nats were included
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