Seth Randall
936 posts





NFL Week 13 Here’s What I’m Looking At - One thing I have to give Daniel Jones credit for is he will risk his personal well-being for his future. He’s on the cusp of another NFL team giving him a 9-figure contract, where if he sits and the Colts are still successful, good chance that goes away. So instead, he’s going to try to play on a broken leg, and I’d be trying to do the same thing in his position. Football players are gladiators in general, but you have to appreciate this guy doing this. - Macro game plan wise, Indy clearly has to do their best to keep Jones from taking contact. Think they throw one deep early and purposely move Jones to the right for a layup in the flat. Could see either of those two being their first offensive play call, if not a mix of the two (move him right, if the shot is one on one, take it). From there, good chance Indy leans into RPOs, quick passing game and Jonathan Taylor as much as they can to manage Houston’s rush and keep Jones upright. Given that, I could see Taylor seeing more checkdowns than he normally does. - If Houston can take an early lead in this game, that’s not good for Indy in this situation. - The interesting aspect of Steelers vs. Bills is Pittsburgh has had a mediocre non-QB roster for a few years, yet I actually think the Steelers non-QB roster is better than Buffalo’s. I had not thought of that before, and the irony here is that Aaron Rodgers endured this for most of his career in Green Bay. As fans of NFC North foes know, Rodgers single handedly won games all the time as a Packer, just as Allen is in Buffalo. This might actually be the most interesting game of the Sunday slate. - Panthers secondary is down multiple starters, including their best player. I would be pretty stunned if the Rams lost this game. - On opening day I never thought Seattle would be a -11.5 favorite over Minnesota in this matchup, but here Sam Darnold is in a great position to make his former team regret letting him walk, while JJ McCarthy is out with the third injury of his career that has cost him playing time. - It’s very rare when a quarterback starts an NFL game where I know next to nothing about them, but that’s what Vikings quarterback Max Brosmer is, a guy I’ve never watched on purpose until this week. - I would have loved to see this Vikings team, with this coaching staff, with Aaron Rodgers in a fuck you season. But instead, Max Brosmer. - I have never been a Geno Smith guy, because he’s bad in pressure management and that’s the silent killer for NFL quarterbacks. However, if Smith is going to have a surprising spike game, the Chargers have a mediocre roster and a below average pass rush. Smith has been atrocious as a Raider, but even I’d say he’s not as bad as he’s played. - Los Angeles is also down their two premium offensive tackles, which means they are going to throw a lot of different looks at Maxx Crosby. I’d expect to see at least three of a direct run right at him, a jet sweep to his side, a trap to his side and a screen to his side early in this contest in an effort to take him out of rhythm, as this is something Greg Roman used to do in Baltimore to T.J. Watt. - This is also a good spot for Justin Herbert, making this game a potential semi shootout if Smith does his part. - I have no faith in the Raiders and I actively mocked them for acquiring Geno Smith before the season started, but I haven’t had any idea what Chip Kelly is trying to accomplish on offense all year. I would imagine the Raiders new offensive coordinator is going to try to get Ashton Jeanty in space, given how often he’s been hit at or behind the line of scrimmage this season. The guy is legit a great player, and if I were getting another shot to call plays in the NFL, this would be the first thing I’d try to solve. - Two years ago the Browns beat the 49ers in Cleveland behind a stellar defensive performance. San Francisco’s offense is notably worse than that group, so it would not surprise me in the slightest if the Browns won a 13-10 type game here. - New England is overdue to drop a game to a sub .500 team, and the Giants’ pass rush is coming off their best game of the season in Detroit last week. The Patriots are down their LT and LG, which sets up even better for New York to push the Patriots in primetime. - Considering that New England is well coached, it would make a ton of sense to try and ride TreVeyon Henderson while trying to get him in space more than they have to date. Basically, Jahmyr Gibbs usage against the Giants the week before would make a lot of sense given the situation and opponent. - The softest part of the Giants schedule is the final quarter, so if they steal one in New England I think they finish the year at least 3-2. - Last week was the first time I’ve seen anything from Tennessee all year, which is an interesting twist for the guy that’s been betting on football for 25 years that wants to bet against teams like the Jaguars winning three in a row and on underachieving doormat Titans playing up behind their talented rookie quarterback. - I’ve never viewed Tampa as a contender, but they are very well positioned to finish the year strong with their schedule. - If Jacoby Brissett carves up this Buccaneers pass defense, ownership of this team really needs to ask themselves if this is who they want to be over the next few years. - The Saints were scrappy early in the year, but they’ve been bad for weeks now. I have no real confidence in Miami, but a strategist like Mike McDaniel, off a bye, I sincerely hope the Dolphins don’t lose this game. - I have no interest in Jets vs. Falcons nor the Marcus Mariota Commanders vs. Denver. I will try to do this every Saturday night of the NFL season, but to be clear I am doing this for the purpose of growing my following. That means engagement is my requirement so I reach new eyes, likes, comments, retweets, and bookmarks are all appreciated. You can follow me @RyanReynoldsNFL

















