geldrausch
3.1K posts

geldrausch
@SimpleSwing
Freedom: To ask nothing. To expect nothing. To depend on nothing. Freedom is also the freedom to be stupid!
Beigetreten Ocak 2009
1.3K Folgt1.1K Follower

@web3nursexbt Maybe it’s because people chasing low supply and free ones only
We need more big collections of 10k supply where people weren’t sidelined and everyone had a chance to get in
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@SIPPNFTs You are missing the point. Everyone jeets because they “earn” 5 dollars and celebrate it.
And most of those that did not jeet end up at zero.
We need for the first time a project owner that has a project and is willing to share profits with those that hold a NFT equally.
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A lot of founders can’t wait for the mint
but I can’t wait for the reveal 😂😭
1 hour to mint
see you very soon 👋
opensea.io/collection/mar…
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Collection Name: Funkari Vol 2.0
Co-Founders: TMA, Ali & Safz
Ambassadors: NFTBoi, waleswoosh & icobeast
Dev: lokithebird
CM: Potter
Feet Pics = Whitelist.
T.M.A@Tma_420
Early Alpha Heard through the grape vine that @BR4ted is launching a pass for his community. Free mint and 1k supply is what I am hearing. Collab manager is @Potterplays1
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I like to be proven wrong, but I honestly do not see from where the new hype can come from.
Those that are here are looking at the blue chip NFTs, but already all the new fully onchain NFT projects on ETH are "ignored" to the point were a value of 50 US$ per NFT is considered great.
Now it is not (only) about the money. But if new and interesting projects cannot get a bid, then do not tell me that suddenly a newcomer or someone that is waiting for the turnaround is willing to pay 1k US$ or 10k US$ outside of the blue chips. Where would the money go to? Hundreds of new projects, barely interest. The only way we generate interest is by falling into the same old trap. KOLs that funnel views into some of the projects.
And to be also quite direct. Yes, I see a lot of new projects coming up, but almost none have anything to offer that was not offerd in 2021. I get it, it is all about the art. But then I buy a punk or a BAYC hand display it in my living room. The last really big NFT project that everybody was talking about was what? Wolf Game? Or maybe Opepen?
Maybe it is the timeline, but al the shows, podcasts that were giving a display to those projects are all gone.
How would any newcomer be drawn into the rabbit hole of NFTs.
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@exQUIZitely Just bought a Anbernic RG477V
All the old games in one device!
So much fun
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@TheOG_General @Pokemon I think the pysical aspect makes a lot of the difference still.
Check those art NFTs where ppl could chose NFT or physical painting. All pysical paintings have higher values than the NFT as far as I am aware.
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This is giving me serious NFT 2021 vibes…
@Pokemon Free promo from Pokémon and the Van Gogh Museum collab Mass printed.
Now selling for $2,300 PSA 10
Let that sink in.
Different asset, same psychology.
Call it addiction or conviction…
but I’m still ripping packs like a maniac 😅
So what is it?
📈 The next cycle
or
💣 a bubble about to explode?
How is Pokemon and Sports Cards different or it should not be compared to the NFT market ?


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@SearchDecoder @vangoyaa Check their website. They mint and show the new noun, that then is auctioned off.
I would imagine that some have more interest than others. But the floor price on OS will be a guidance I assume
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@SimpleSwing @vangoyaa True! Does rarity play any role in price action? Like do people mint to hope to get a very rare noun or rarity not as important?
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True but, they have 1864 nouns minted so far.
They mint one each day. To reach the 10k of for example CryptoPunks it will take them over 22 years.
CryptoPunks do nothing but look good and be history. Nouns still collect the mint price every day to be added to the treasury. But if we ignore this and just see it as art and coming from a historical important time of NFTs, then I think the 0.5 ETH floor is not that bad.
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@vangoyaa The thing is that the new ones also keep being generated if I’m
Not mistaken so the collection is being inflated indefinitely
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@adam3us @Deadpolaroidz @rodarmor But is blockspace really heavily used at the moment?
I mean the ordinals frenzy is over and we managed to survive the hype phase. Why now?
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@Deadpolaroidz @rodarmor most people don't graffiti art on other peoples walls though - you paid for the spray paint, and the wall is public property. also imperfect analogy, but again blockspace is necessarily and inherently scarce, and there are lots of other vastly cheaper places to store digital art.
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evergreen explainer about the spam problem fundamentals, from Andrew Poelstra (@blksresearch). read a few times, very carefully to adjust intuitions.

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@DagfinnDybvig @0xC0DE6502 Which source code are you looking for?
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@0xC0DE6502 @DagfinnDybvig There is no published source code for what exactly?
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@Giovann35084111 @LeviteDaniel Given the launch date approaching, you should consider pinning this page to your bio.
Looking forward to reading the book.
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@LeviteDaniel New analysis. We will have a book companion online with new analysis and updates, visit:
thephysicsofbitcoin.com
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🧵 THREAD: We just proved Bitcoin's 4-year halving cycle is a fundamental eigenmode of the system
Using eigenvalue decomposition (SSA + DMD), we discovered something remarkable about Bitcoin's price dynamics. Let me explain what we did and why it matters...
1/ What are eigenvectors?
Think of Bitcoin price as a complex signal - like a symphony with multiple instruments playing at once. Eigenvectors are the "fundamental notes" that compose this symphony.
Each eigenvector captures a distinct pattern in the data, ranked by importance.
2/ How we found them: Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA)
We worked in LOG SPACE (critical!) because Bitcoin spans 6 orders of magnitude ($0.05 → $125k).
We created a "trajectory matrix" from the price history and decomposed it using SVD (Singular Value Decomposition).
Think of it as separating the signal into layers.
3/ What we discovered:
Eigenvector 1:
98.70% of variance→ This IS the power law: Price ∝ t^5.7 → The fundamental attractor of the system → Bitcoin's "base note"
Eigenvectors 2-6: 1.29% of variance→ Oscillations around the trend → This is where the magic happens...
4/ Then we applied Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD)
DMD extracts the "Koopman eigenvalues" - these tell us the frequencies and growth rates of oscillations.
We found:
Short cycles: 15-30 days (market microstructure)
MODES 5-6:
Period = 1,530 days = 4.19 YEARS
The halving cycle!
5/ Why this matters:
The 4-year cycle isn't just a coincidence or narrative - it's a fundamental eigenmode of Bitcoin's dynamics.
Eigenvalue |λ| = 0.9985 (slightly decaying, stable oscillation).
It exists as a persistent oscillation in log-space around the power law attractor.
6/ The physics:
This is exactly what renormalization group theory predicts for complex systems:
A power law fixed point (dominant eigenvalue)
Log-periodic oscillations (subdominant eigenvalues)
Stable, bounded dynamics (all |λ| ≈ 1)
Bitcoin behaves like a critical system near a phase transition.
7/ Why log space was critical:
In LINEAR space: 4-year cycle INVISIBLE (buried in noise) In LOG space: 4-year cycle CLEAR (eigenmode 5-6)
Why? Halvings affect price MULTIPLICATIVELY (% changes), not additively.
Log space reveals the true geometry of the dynamics.
8/ Reconstruction:
Blue line = Eigenvector 1 + Eigenvectors 2-6 Red line = Power law fit
R² = 0.9678 (better than raw data!)
We reconstructed Bitcoin's full price dynamics from just 6 eigenvectors. The math works. The physics checks out.
9/ Bottom line:
The Bitcoin power law isn't just a trend line. The 4-year cycle isn't just protocol mechanics.
They're fundamental eigenmodes of a complex dynamical system - proven through eigenvalue decomposition.
This is physics, not hopium.
TL;DR:
Decomposed BTC price into eigenvectors (SSA)
Found power law = dominant eigenmode (98.7%)
Found 4-year halving = oscillatory eigenmode (DMD)
Reconstructed full dynamics from 6 components
Log space was key
Math + physics confirm: Bitcoin is a critical system

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@vangoyaa Imagine if the 375 ETH were originally bought for a total of 3750 US$…
A lot of early high ETH price purchases were bought with old ETH
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@Schnuartz @freedomiacard @_einundzwanzig_ Ich wäre vorsichtig, es gibt kein "non-kyc" in Verbindung mit Debit-Karten.
Im schlimmsten Fall bezahlst du 60 Euro und in 2 Monaten ist das Ding dicht.
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Anonym mit Bitcoin bezahlen? @freedomiacard macht's möglich.
Heute zeige ich dir im neuen @_einundzwanzig_ Video wie die Freedomia Card - komplett ohne KYC, überall wo Visa akzeptiert wird.
Freedomia Card Website: freedomia.io/a/schnuartz
Google Pay / Google Wallet: wallet.google
Unterstützung des Videos: @21bitcoinApp
👀 21bitcoin.app
Timecodes:
00:00 – Einleitung
00:24 – Gebühren
01:33 – Gebührenvergleich
02:18 – Konto Erstellung
04:21 – Abo bezahlen
05:32 – Karte ausstellen
07:25 – Mit Handy verbinden
09:02 – Tipp bei Problemen
11:16 – BTC angekommen
12:08 – Schluss
Verlinkte Videos:
00:05:02 – Alby: youtube.com/watch?v=VV2h0L…
Creator des Videos: @schnuartz

YouTube
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@RealCyberMonk @pete_rizzo_ If he puts the money in STRC, he could even make more than 5% profit paying 6% APY
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@pete_rizzo_ If he keeps the 6% APY, he'll have 10 million new X money accounts in less than a month. 😅
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JUST IN: ELON MUSK'S X MONEY SOCIAL PAYMENTS ARE NOW OFFICIALLY LIVE IN BETA
A FIRST LOOK AT THE FUTURE OF FINANCE
LIKE, IF YOU WANT TO BUY AND SEND #BITCOIN ON X 🔥
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@Ludalll @LilithWittmann I honestly doubt it. Way easier to go via Curaçao.
There is no real advantage to enter Germany without a license but then be MGA restricted.
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@SimpleSwing @LilithWittmann MGA has probably been covering companies operating on the black market and get paid for that. I would not be surprise
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Game over if you look for the same action as in 2021.
Obviously over the time some collections turn into grails.
Like buying Lego from the 1970s
But to think that the majority of people that were in the NFT scene in the last years and got ripped off left and right would come back is too optimistic.
Even the big vocal X accounts stopped their podcasts and in general discussing the topic. Do you think they would come back?
And the retail that till now never touched NFTs will not be large enough numbers to reactivate the hype.
Same goes for memecoins or random crypto projects in general.
Next hype I can see is token based IPOs with real companies. Backed by real values but still risky enough for "gambling"
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