VicTree

Season 2 of @AxieInfinity introduced a new concept called "Eras". Now that we've entered the "Final Era" let's see how the marketplace reacted to these balance changes. Spoiler Alert: There are more balanced sales at 🟰 prices! 🚀😍

@pjones8300 @evenstevengg Correct. Not close, unless opponents availability allows you to go for the kill shot

@evenstevengg We both know Illinois is the obvious answer

didn’t think I’d made it this far…. have 5 days to make a choice🧐

@BuriedTreys The internet awaits.

Yes I’m doing breakdowns I’m on the West Coast so let me shove some coffee into my face hole first

@dankness3 Bluff of the century

I’ve been hearing that poker is going to die for as long as I can remember. Solvers will kill it. Or AI. Or the Big Beautiful Bill or whatever the fuck that even is. The truth is, poker can never die. And the reason is simple; It’s the best game that you can play for money.

@nickmeezy @jdibbsay6 @Colin7182005 @TheDegenWeekly Damn the dude deleted his posts 🫡

@jdibbsay6 @Colin7182005 @Smartalecc5 @TheDegenWeekly Wow, Purdue must be a lock

Arizona looks like the easiest button to press in the history of buttons

@DawgPound1218 @BuriedTreys Then you’re not for in depth write ups lol

@BuriedTreys Yeah…. I’m all for in depth write ups, and respect the grind, but I’m not reading ALL this bro, let’s keep these a bit more condensed & straight to the point, please & thank you!

Purdue / Arizona (San Jose) Purdue continues the momentum as they ultimately edged out a more athletic Texas team that surely gave them a HELL of a scare. Tramon Mark was limping on one leg, and still played like he had 3 legs, if ya catch my drift. While the Boilermakers actually contained Swain to an extent, I did have concern around their ability to guard wings & bigger (especially on-ball) guards in general, and they just let another big-guard-nearing-wing-size run absolutely wild on them (Mark). On the other side, what is there left to say about Arizona? That they lost a close game at Phog Allen on Big Monday (pretty sure Self is 946-0 in that spot) in a game they led by double digits early in the 2H? That they lose to Tech with Toppin when Tech trailed by 7 with 3.5 minutes left? That’s what you’re nitpicking with this team. Have shown the highest floor of anyone in the country and probably the 2ndbest ceiling behind Michigan’s ABSURD month-plus run late in noncon play stretching into early conference play Cats want to run in transition, assault the rim, and force opponents to make contested shots over their positional length. Purdue is 95th percentile in fastbreak points allowed per 100 per CBB Analytics. Check. Purdue is also 10th in Defensive Near Proximity Frequency per Haslam. Check. Purdue has also hung onto some of the no-middle principles they implemented last year without a real rim protector (TKR playing center full-time). Again. Make Zona play in the half court. Keep them away from the cup. And be capable of outshooting them b/c you’re almost certainly DOA in the shot volume department On the surface? Sounds completely viable for Purdue matchup-wise. They’re already used to not being great in shot volume. Boilermakers have run hot 3P% delta splits all year…because they can, especially when Fletch isn’t shooting like Dylan Darling. They’ve crushed during this mega late season run almost solely on the back of their offense as their defense ranks 133rd over the past month (11 games). Maybe their Senior Core edges it out late in a slow half-court game with their careers on the line. Still comes with a massive ‘MAYBE’. They are certainly more than capable of winning this game as this was the preseason #1 team in the country to start the year fwiw. There is also one thing staring at me DEAD in the face that is difficult to shake And that brings us to the Purdue defense that, bear with me, has packline principles, but technically isn’t a packline, but also plays somewhat like a packline in many regards. They’re a gnarly rim denial defense, but that’s also due in part slightly because they just…don’t have rim protection, as simple as that is to say. Can’t protect the bucket? Stop teams from getting there. They probably should drop their big more frequently, but Purdue will hedge plenty in this matchup to flatten out Burries & Bradley's ball screens. What’s the easiest way to beat that? 1.) You get into the paint to essentially bait the defense to send help on the driver, inevitably opening up much less contest on Catch & Shoot 3P opportunities. OR 2.) You possess a guard with such elite burst & handle that you can just flat-out split defenders. Certainly the path of most resistance, but if you want the best example of this? Go back and watch Braden Smith in the 2H of that Houston tourney game last year. He’s not even an elite stop-start or burst guy, but he abbbbbsolutely carved into that Houston defense as you create man advantages literally every time you split a double (sometimes 2-man depending on roll action). Houston is also another team with no-middle principles defensively fwiw And that brings us back to the Zona offense. Can they split double teams? Yes but it's not easy and comes with added risk of turnovers. Shot rollers? Actually relatively mediocre for such an elite team. It’s a short list of teams/players who can carve through even a ‘show hedge’, much less a hard hedge or an ice. But Zona actually has 2 capable dudes in that regard, and the big men showing will be Cluff/TKR compared to, for example, the mobility of a Mitchell/Zuby or Cenac/Tugler. Although, that has more to do with the way they use their stocky frames downhill rather than being pure first-step guys. **If** Zona can generate consistent downhill looks, that automatically insinuates they’ve had success cutting through the Purdue quasi-packline, who has had enormous problems this year containing bigger, athletic slashers who excel off the bounce. I think it's interesting that when Zona plays these defenses who push teams away from the rim, are you actually forcing Zona into more math-driven offense given the elevated 3PRate? While they can typically get whatever they want at the rim, it's a scary proposition if that team started shooting more 3s as they're plenty capable outside of their bigs Pretty confident in saying that Zona will just play their bigs straight up defensively against the Purdue post touches. When Purdue took off offensively, you saw a lot of the role guards knocking down their perimeter shots. That's really the extra gear of the offense. Aside from the points you gain from those guys hitting 3's, it also softens up the matchup inside for TKR and Cluff. Cats defending 1-on-1 in the post should allow them to stay home on shooters Last major note I'll make. I still feel pretty strongly that this Purdue defense still has some uncurable issues on that side of the ball, but they have played at such a high level offensively that the defensive shortcomings haven't been as under the microscope as they probably should be. Frankly, they don't have a single defender worth a shit unless you're getting good Cluff who isn't fouling. Purdue is not only really small on the perimeter, but then they also have 2 stone-footed bigs. Just a bad recipe when you're talking about having to contain multiple NBA guys basically at all times on the floor. We saw Purdue dice up a similarly sized Michigan team in the B10 tourney, but Zona is a much more passive drop coverage compared to some of the hedging Michigan does with their athletic bigs. Not quite the same matchup, but the crazy part of that Michigan game was that Purdue didn't even shoot it all that well. 28.6% on 14 attempts is really weak for that group. It was actually Cluff & TKR who combined for more than half of Purdue's points going right into the teeth of the Wolverine defense. Pretty eye-opening and something I think they at least TRY to replicate here Purdue's outs include hot 3P shooting, Cluff & TKR post touch success, surviving on the glass, and keeping the Zona guards out of the paint. The first is totally viable. The second is doable but difficult, third is attainable, but it's the fourth part of that which scares me the most. I just REALLY worry about these Purdue guards holding up against the size and dribble penetration ability of the Zona backcourt. Tend to lean Zona but I think this game stays pretty close most of the time. Feels like one where Zona kind of holds them at bay and leads by 6 to 16ish points for most of the game. Purdue will have some runs where they hit 3's to shrink the margin, but ultimately, it's tough to envision them getting over the hump given their win condition is heavily tied to their post offense & defense. I understand if you want to take TKR unders in this spot, but I just can't get there with the way he's been unleashed the last couple weeks since Purdue started this hot run. If forced to choose, I think the Cluff unders would be my preference as he should see more of Krivas and has more foul risk than TKR. Also think he is somewhat of a midmajor bully and hasn't Per the 'Zona will play 1-on-1 in the post', that also means really tough spots for the Loyers & Coxs of the world. Also pretty scary when both of those guys have shown the ability to hit a couple 3Pointers in quick succession if you do play their unders Interesting Koa Peat spot. Should draw more TKR in the post, and for everything that dude does well offensively, we saw what Purdue looked like when he was protecting the rim last year. They were...332nd in 2PD%. We've also seen him put up some big scoring tallies so think alts also in play to an extent. You're just going to have to run decently on the usage with how flat the shot distribution is on Zona. Probably will have some action on him one way or the other

@ccmembersonly When in doubt, Moana it out

@DFSbyNoah I can’t even withdraw. App always glitches in the withdraw flow. I also got charged $15-10 a month for inactivity fee I found out. $50+ lost for not wagering and holding a balance. Crazy

Just coming to remind you guys to never use ParlayPlay. I ran up a 12.5K balance before getting limited to $1 per slip (lmao). ParlayPlay only allows you to withdraw $1,000 at a time, once every 24 hours with a max of 3 times a week and 5 times a month. I’ll be lucky to get this money by the end of August. ParlayPlay withdrawals used to be instant to my bank account and now they are issuing “refunds” back to my original deposit method (credit card). I have been waiting 4 days for the first refund and when I sent in another withdrawal request it has been “pending” for over 24 hours. This app will do whatever they can to make sure you don’t win and if you do win they’ll take their sweet time getting you your money (if you even get it). Never use this app @parlay_play

@majcovers @BuriedTreys Why don’t you write up a winner then? Seems a pretty simple fix

@BuriedTreys You typed 3 essays to give out a loser lmfao

Had the correct read on Iowa/Nebraska. Thought Corn was the slightly better team, but Hawkeyes were a tough schematic matchup & I worried what McCollum had late. And that's nothing against Hoiberg. BMC is a Top 5 schematic mind in the sport Drilled Purdue/UT cap

@sean_incredible This is hilarious. Why not just place a bet on every possible outcome?

- Baseball is back, PLEASE COPY THIS IN YOUR NOTES!!!⬇️ Remember, whoever you take for a hit, double, 2+ total bases, 4+ total bases or stolen base — also take them for a HR. You just never know. Even if it’s a 2, 3, 4 or 5 leg parlay. You’d be surprised that one day 3 guys you take for a stolen base hit HRs instead. The SAME with whoever you take for a HR, take them for a DOUBLE as well on another play. You’d be surprised 4 guys you take for a HR one day hit a double instead. Double odds be higher than HR odds. You just never know. Baseball is every day, do you know how many days you can be great? Even 5 days of being great out of a summer can change your life. It’s gambling smarter, not harder. People be missing out on hitting ridiculous lottos just betting one way. And last thing, remember…ALWAYS ROUND ROBIN!!! If it’s a 3 leg parlay, RR 2x3 If it’s 4 legs, RR 3x4 If it’s 5 legs, RR 4x5 Etc You get the point. I walk away with more good and great days than bad days. 100% Great luck to everyone. #TheGreeneWay 🤝🏾

@EV_Dingers I think you missed Ryan Ufko +900 (99.99%)

🏒 Anytime Goalscorer Odds: Circa/ESPN/Pinny's top 10 Implied (3/24) 1. Nathan Mackinnon: +101 (50%) 2. David Pastrnak: +127 (44%) 3. Nikita Kucherov: +129 (44%) 4. Jason Robertson: +132 (43%) 5. Bo Horvat: +140 (42%) 6. Connor Mcdavid: +140 (42%) 7. Macklin Celebrini: +148 (40%) 8. Alex Debrincat: +150 (40%) 9. Martin Necas: +151 (40%) 10. Filip Forsberg: +157 (39%)

@TestMcGee2023 @BoredSportsBets Duke -1100 race to 15 vs Siena hosed me lol

@BoredSportsBets Race to points were great for the 1st round for the power schools and team total points on those same teams that went over 100 😁

Remind me next March that we’re betting every favorite highest alt line

@shadybiev Who is it

We have another game that is really easy if you watch an ounce of basketball

@Mustacchione @jeremyausmus Is isildur still playing high stakes?!

@jeremyausmus This generation has no clue how easy they got it do they? The mental strength and openness and obsession the generation before had was something else. Poker was defenetly a form of art and watching some guys playing was very similar to watch your favourite artist performing.

I really do miss pre-solver poker. Back then, everyone was in the streets trying things with no answer keys. It led to tons of pure exploits and incredibly interesting decisions. You actually had to figure out your opponent in real-time, which created so many distinct, unorthodox playing styles that you just don't see much in the modern game.

@taylorcaby I made it into your video one time 🫡

Had a fun time talking to these guys about my poker career!

@EV_Dingers @BallparkPal And betting props and lines found on ballpark as “+EV” are good for account health, bc they don’t always have to be best price in market or a line error.

Early season weather matters more than you think. We tracked HR/G over the last 10 seasons Low pressure + High temps =💣. Temper those expectations in April @BallparkPal the go-to resource for park factors. Invaluable data! evsharps.com/trends

@ameansy @HardRockBet Prematch +EV player props you can’t bet if you want your account to stay alive

@Smartalecc5 @HardRockBet Player props, it seems

I know I’m probably just shouting into an empty hallway about this (again), but sportsbooks being allowed to limit customers even when they violate no rules is just so absurd. After a whopping 9 days of action, @HardRockBet is the latest to say “take your chips and leave good sir…we actually just prefer degenerates and donkeys” Who is even our voice that can help amplify this issue? @SBAllianceUS?? This is probably the final straw that will just push me completely into prediction market platforms. And I will go out of my way to avoid the ones whose sportsbooks have already limited me in the past (that means you @DKSportsbook @BetMGM @bet365 @theScoreBet @BetRivers)

@JonAguiar They are prob the 20BB shortstacker poker players that would go for that.

You're in a march madness pool with ~300 entries, mostly reasonably smart game theory aware types dead last (has to submit a bracket) gets 2.5x the buyin back How many entries are going to attempt to punt for last?

@XJournalist111 @NoLimitGains AI slop

**Interesting observation on those Google searches for “can’t sell house” hitting all-time highs—definitely shows some real seller frustration out there.** But leaping straight from a search trend to “get ready for lower house prices” feels like classic alarmism that misses the bigger picture. Let’s look at the actual numbers instead of one graph. Inventory is rising (up roughly 8% year-over-year), which is true and healthy after years of chronic undersupply. Homes are taking longer to sell—median around 68 days now. But we’re still only at 3.8 months of supply nationally. That’s balanced territory, not a flooded market screaming crash. Sales actually ticked up 1.7% month-over-month in February to a 4.09 million annualized pace, per NAR. Median price? $398,000—up a modest 0.3% year-over-year. That’s the 32nd straight month of gains, even if growth has cooled. Zillow’s March forecast projects home values ending 2026 basically flat (+0.9%), with sales edging higher as mortgage rates ease a bit. The real culprit behind the “can’t sell” panic? The rate-lock effect. Millions of owners are sitting on 3% mortgages and simply won’t list unless they get top dollar. That keeps supply artificially tight and supports prices far better than any Google trend suggests. Add in solid homeowner equity, stricter lending standards, and steady demand from millennials and investors, and you’ve got a market that’s normalizing—not collapsing like 2008. Sellers who price realistically are still moving properties; overpriced listings sit. This feels more like a buyer-friendly spring adjustment than the big price rout some headlines want. Fundamentals point to stability, not a rout.

🚨 Google searches for “can’t sell house” have just hit a new all-time high. Get ready for lower house prices.