Orion Engine

Introducing ORION, a search engine for market history. Enter any ticker. ORION finds the historical windows where price structure and macro conditions most closely resembled today, then shows you what happened next. Find out when the markets last looked like this at orionengine.xyz !

@CryptoLifer33 2018-2019 also very similar (more so than ‘22-‘23 if you add macro weight filter to match the economic conditions)

I found this fractal from the Dec 22-Jan 23. It is scarily similar. I am not saying it is a lock, but man this low looks just like the the bear market low in Jan 2023. I also have never seen the fear and greed hit 5 twice. Every time I saw we went below 9 we bottomed. I am buying BTC heavy spot here. You do what you feel. Are you buying. BTC USDT

@RoaringRagnar The Fifth Mountain by Paulo Coelho

If you could only recommend *one* book that everyone should read, which will fundamentally alter the way they see the world, what would it be?

@cantonmeow The curren range looks a lot like after covid before its massive rally…

$MSTR monthly Almost at the Ichimoku cloud again

@LifePartners0 What timeframe did you look back with? I did 1Y and selected the 3 analogs that looked best.

@TheOrionEngine mine says different with 5 analogues

#ETH due for a rally? Scores aren't the highest, but the last 1Y range looks similar to previous bottoms. Forward returns are positive for next 1/3/6 months... Time will tell!

Stopping by from the void...study the blue circle's role in the bottom formations of the past two $BTC bear markets. Trigger Warning: Circles and Squares on a chart can cause cognitive dissonance in simpletons and cause them to react with mockery.

$SQQQ (inverse QQQ) repeat of '22-'23? Does this chart look ready to roll over?

Seeing lots of charts overlay of $SPY year to date with 2025, showing how the year started off the same, and expecting the lower low. First off, the market in '25 had come off a big rally after Trump's election and was looking for any excuse to correct lower; while today we've been chopping in the same range for 7+ months. Also, most of the high accuracy analogs (price + macro) show little to no more downside from this point.

GM guys! Today we remember the cross. 🙏 The darkest Friday in history turned out to be the biggest victory, have an amazing day.

@Cantal_Capital I think much quicker

$MSTR “Why are you so bullish on MSTR?” Simple. Bitcoin is going to $150K+.

@ChifoiCristian Probably just a 10:1 split don’t get me excited please

Something serious, or seriously wrong, is happening behind the curtains with MSTR This is the 3x long ETF I'm watching and it did this after market close on LSE. What the fuck is happening. Please advise.

@cryptorand @TechDev_52 great chart!

I'm literally shaking Source: @TechDev_52

@Cantal_Capital Someone tell the stock everything else is green today

$MSTR Not April fools but MSTR will hit another all time high again.

@TheBigCycleGame Very good write up, and this is my thesis too. I'll always bet on the least expected & crowded scenario x.com/TheOrionEngine…

Nobody is calling for a (final) rally in Q2 2026. Let that sink in for a moment. ─────────────── The bears see a bottom in Q3-Q4 2026. September. October. November. $40K-$45K Bitcoin. Maybe lower. Based on the 4-year cycle. Based on 365-396 days from the October ATH. The math is clean. The logic is sound. The bulls see a recovery in H2 2026. Or 2027. After the bottom forms. After the Fed pivots. After liquidity expands. Both camps agree on one thing: nothing significant happens now. ─────────────── That consensus could be a signal. The most asymmetric trade in markets is always the one nobody sees coming. Not because people are stupid. Because everyone is using the same models. Thinking linearly. Extrapolating the last move forward. Quantitative models are built on history. They need months to register structural shifts. They don't price in what hasn't happened yet. A Q2 2026 final rally is not in any model. Not in the bear model. Not in the bull model. There is a gap in the consensus. Nobody is standing there. That gap could be the setup. ─────────────── And the macro blind spot is hiding in plain sight. Today: ADP March 2026. Result: +62,000. Expected: +39,000. Headline: "Better than expected. Labor market resilient." Let's look at what that actually means. 62,000 total private sector jobs. 58,000 of those: education and health. 30,000: construction. These two sectors alone account for 88,000. Which means the rest of the economy lost a net 26,000 jobs. Education and health don't hire because the economy is strong. They hire because they have to. Structural demand. Non-discretionary. Not a signal of economic health. And the sector that actually measures real economic activity — trade, transportation, and utilities — lost 58,000 jobs in March. Logistics. Shipping. Commerce. The part of the economy that moves things. Going backwards. The headline beat was real. What it signals is not what most think. ─────────────── This is the pattern from 2008. Numbers that look "steady" at the surface. Non-cyclical sectors holding up the totals. Cyclical sectors quietly deteriorating. The Fed sees +62,000 and reads: stable. Most investors follow the Fed. Most models follow official data. Official data lags reality by 45-60 days. Meanwhile Truflation today: below 1.3%. The inflation narrative that is driving rate hike expectations is not showing up in real-time consumer price data. PPI pressure hitting a broken consumer doesn't create inflation. It creates margin compression. ─────────────── Back to the timeline. Pre-GFC 2007: S&P corrected -12%, then rallied +15% to a new ATH in approximately 3 months. Pre-Dotcom 2000: S&P corrected -13%, then rallied +20% — followed by another +17% into March 2000 ATH. Both times: maximum consensus that "the top is in." Both times: the final move was still ahead. Both times: it happened faster than the models suggested. ─────────────── Nobody sees Q2. That's a gap. A gap nobody is positioned for. A gap where, historically, the final move was hiding. This could be the setup. @TheBigCycleGame Not financial advice. DYOR. #Bitcoin #SPX #MacroAnalysis #ADP #EndCycle #Contrarian #Timeline #LCIF #Truflation #BlowoffTop #MarketPsychology

@cantonmeow Gold too. Metals consolidate after these big rallies for years

My best guess is that Silver will stay between 1.272 and 1.414 here for a while.

@realkenchigbo Good analysis!

Trump addresses the nation tonight. 9pm ET. Major networks live. Here's my trading playbook idea for 3 scenarios... CEASEFIRE / US WITHDRAWAL DECLARED - Oil: -$20 to -$25. - Indices: S&P +3-5%. Best day of the year. Dow claws back correction. - Gold: Initial dip as fear premium bleeds, then bounces as rate cut odds return. - Dollar: Sells off hard. Risk-on hits USD. VAGUE WINDING DOWN, NO SPECIFICS - Oil: -$5 spike then bouncing back within 24hrs. This is attempt #5. - Indices: Pop then fade. Same pattern as the last 4 peace headlines. - Gold: Brief dip, recovers. Higher real yields still the ceiling. - Dollar: Firms slightly then flat. No conviction either way. ESCALATION - KHARG ISLAND / GROUND TROOPS - Oil: +$15-120. Record monthly gain extends. - Indices: S&P -3%. Nasdaq deepens correction. - Gold: Safe haven bid. Sharp spike back toward $4,600+. - Dollar: Surges. Pure risk-off. USD dominates. The speech matters less than what the oil market does in the 5 minutes after he stops talking. That's your real signal. Not financial advice.

@cantonmeow Please send it

Welcome to April 2026. The #Bitcoin monthly Bollinger band is squeezing tighter than it has ever squeezed in its entire history. This implies that the recent volatility over the last few months is nothing compared to what is to come. With copper/gold ratio seemingly bottoming, this suggests the next move is up.

@ChifoiCristian Yeah I agree, it's just people getting impatient and wanting an explosive move in either direction that are the loudest. I found the 2015 one here too here. x.com/TheOrionEngine…

@TheOrionEngine Actually almost perfect rounding tops like this one on SPX, which took a lot of months, are very rare and result in shallow dips The most similar one is 2015-2016 Otherwise, a sharp dip +15% or more always came after sharp pumps🥂

$QQQ #NASDAQ not all rounded tops need to end in a big crash like everyone's saying. Here's a 1Y analog from 2010-2011 which lead to some more chop before resolving higher.

@ExitLiqCapital It's looking very good from a historical perspective. x.com/TheOrionEngine…

Any copy traders tail me on this?

@Cantal_Capital $MSTR looks like an asymmetrical bet here x.com/TheOrionEngine…

If I had to bet it all… it’s $SOFI and $MSTR. I’m not even thinking twice.