Tyler Robert

44 posts

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Tyler Robert

Tyler Robert

@TylerWRobert

St Louis, MO Beigetreten Ekim 2016
145 Folgt63 Follower
Cam
Cam@CamNeverWins·
Lmao this is PART 1 , part 2 will be up shortly! Sorry the time limit on videos forced me to break it up!
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Cam
Cam@CamNeverWins·
Day 37 of doing a $1000 random bonus buy on Rainbet everyday! Wild buccaneers megaway 🏴‍☠️ 💣 might be the best game I’ve ever played… 🏆$30,000 LEADERBOARD + BONUSES🏆 - giveaways & contests EVERYNIGHT - On kick & twitch CamNeverWins.com
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Tyler Robert
Tyler Robert@TylerWRobert·
@jtsla4 You said you predict a dip down to 500, that would be a 28% decline from current levels
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j@jtsla4·
Head and shoulders pattern on the 2 min, $SPY has officially topped after getting everyone bullish. Dip prediction: pullback to $560 before $500
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j@jtsla4·
Tomorrow will go down as the worst day ever in stock market history.
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Ben Alke for MT AG
Ben Alke for MT AG@alkeformt·
The kids are back in school! Hope everyone's school year is off to a great start!
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Dan Niles
Dan Niles@DanielTNiles·
I enjoyed my discussion early today with @JoeSquawk on @SquawkCNBC around the Magnificent 7 results so far and my thoughts going forward. Below are some details: Be Careful What You Wish For On July 11th, I wrote “Be careful what you wish for.” CPI for June had come down 0.1% from May which was the first decline since May 2020 spurring hopes of earlier and more Fed cuts. Unfortunately, this also resulted in a violent rotation within the market on that day. This was best illustrated by $NVDA down -5.6%. Additionally, the Magnificent7/Nasdaq fell (-4.0%/-2.0%) while the Russell 2000 rose (+3.6%). In hindsight, July 10th was the all-time record high for Nasdaq (down 7.8% since then through August 1st) and a few days later on July 16th for the S&P (down 3.9% since then). I also wrote on July 11th, “I continue to believe there is a rising mismatch between the amount of capex spent on AI and the resulting revenues being generated… my plan is to be very conservative in my positioning the day the members of the Mag7 report while looking to add to my positions on corrections.” I think the crux of the problem in the stock market today is investors finally want to see a return on all this AI spending. Unfortunately, AI spending guidance has gone up during earnings season while revenue expectations & margin guidance have gone down for many of the tech companies including Mag7 components $MSFT and $GOOGL. Only $META and $AAPL beat revenue/EPS expectations for their June quarterly results and had forward revenue/EPS expectations go up. In Q1, six of the seven Mag7 stocks went up the day after reporting results (Meta was down 11%) and on average the Mag7 were up 4%. So far in Q2 only $META and hopefully $AAPL today are likely to be up on their results. Based on the pre-market prices of both $AAPL and $AMZN, the six that have reported so far are down about 4% the day after results. On a positive note, I think the Fed will cut 2-3 times before year-end to try and ensure the first soft landing following a hiking cycle since the mid-1990s. With unemployment still near 4%, more job openings than people unemployed and multiple Fed rate cuts coming, a soft landing seems likely even as the economic data continues to soften. Current Magnificent 7 Thoughts: $AAPL: This is my favorite of the Mag7 given revenues have grown between 0-3% for the past three years and I believe they can now grow in the double digits in 2025 driven by a multi-year iPhone upgrade cycle due to AI. This is the only name of the Mag7 where I feel confident revenue growth should accelerate in 2025 versus 2024. They beat revs/EPS for the June quarter driven by iPhone & guided above expectations for the September quarter. $META: Meta did not have any advertising issues (unlike $GOOGL) & beat revs/EPS for the June quarter and forward revs/EPS forecasts went up following results despite increasing their spending on AI. Their massive spend on AI is helping them to increase engagement on their services and monetize them better. They should also benefit from massive political ad spend for the upcoming elections. This is my second favorite of the Mag7. $NVDA: During the internet infrastructure buildout, $CSCO revs increased ~15.5x over 5+ years from the end of 1994 to its peak and the stock rose ~4000%. Nvidia, since the end of 2022 when ChatGPT was introduced has seen revenues go up “only” ~4.5x with the stock up over 600% over the past 1 ½ years. I believe the ultimate peak is still several years in the future. However Cisco’s stock had intra-year declines of 26% in late 95, 38% in early 97; and 37% in late 98 during periods when growth slowed. I anticipate similar volatility for Nvidia over the next several years while both the revenues and stock more than double over that time as the AI buildout continues. Also unlike Cisco that had multiple competitors back then in Alcatel, Lucent and Nortel to name just a few, $NVDA is in a class of its own today. I expect them to beat revenue/EPS expectations in their July quarter and to guide above current expectations for the October quarter when they report in late August. $MSFT: Despite their pole position in AI due to their relationship with OpenAI, Azure revenues were less than expected and the rest of their customers grew slower than expected. PCs with AI capabilities could drive a small upgrade cycle next year and I do believe they will benefit from the OpenAI relationship going forward. Forward estimates were cut after results. $AMZN: While AWS turned out to be solid, their e-commerce business not surprisingly felt the same strains we are seeing at other retailers. This will be a balancing act between recession fears in their retail business versus solid growth in their AI business. Forward estimates went down after results. $GOOGL: They had a large miss in Youtube revenues but more importantly, it is hard for me to believe they maintain over 90% share in search if all this spending in AI by other companies sees a ROI. In that regard, SearchGPT from OpenAI comes to mind and their relationship with Microsoft. $GOOGL should see some help though over the near-term from political ad spend for the elections. This is the name within the Mag7 we have the most concerns about over a multi-year period around share loss. Forward estimates went lower after results. $TSLA: They reported an upside surprise to deliveries for the first time in a while, but I just cannot get comfortable with their valuation or the heavy price competition in the EV market right now which has led to lower than expected EV gross margins. Forward estimates went lower after results. In summary, my plan is to remain selective in my positioning within the Mag7 while continuing to look at other forgotten sectors now that this AI driven market seems to be finally broadening and the Fed is likely to cut rates.
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Tyler Robert
Tyler Robert@TylerWRobert·
@DJHunt This is great Jason! Would love to know your thoughts on using tools such as langchain, llamaindex,haystack, etc to make RAG an easier, repeatable process? And do you see any clear differentiators evolving in that space? I have played around mostly with langhain so far.
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Eris Discordia
Eris Discordia@oren_ai·
The fact that the police don’t have cheap rechargeable taser drones on every 10th light post in every city operating on a mesh network boggles my mind… seems way more effective and efficient at stopping crime than military surplus.
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Eris Discordia
Eris Discordia@oren_ai·
Some of y'all have about 24-48 hours before your friends understand how you were such a gift giving wizard by using HeyOllie.ai 😉
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Mckay Wrigley
Mckay Wrigley@mckaywrigley·
I created an iOS shortcut that allows you to replace Siri with ChatGPT. It’s super simple: - Install extension - Enter OpenAI API key - Add to home - Tell it what you want Here’s a video of Hey GPT in action. It blows Siri out of the water. Install: icloud.com/shortcuts/8bcc…
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Tyler Robert
Tyler Robert@TylerWRobert·
@umpjob He just did it again to Donovan in the 9th!
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Eris Discordia
Eris Discordia@oren_ai·
@SmokeAwayyy When every participant thinks they can out "OMG WILD TIMES AHEAD!!!" all the others, you know things are gonna get wild 😂 Imagine what April is going to be like. Oh, yeah... you can't.
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Smoke-away
Smoke-away@SmokeAwayyy·
Approaching the event horizon. Can you see what's coming? Me neither.
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The Drawing Dead
The Drawing Dead@killogram·
Wanna win a $12.4k package including $10k ticket to the Wynn Championship courtesy @wpt_global? Guess the combined score of the Bills/Lions football game Retweet Follow @killogram & @wpt_global Price is right Rules-Don't go over Random winner from ties Winner announced tomorrow
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Tyler Robert retweetet
David Letterman
David Letterman@Letterman·
Regis is in the same category as Carson. Superlative. He was on our show a million times, always the best guest we ever had, charming, lovable and could take a punch. When he retired I lost interest in television. I love him.
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