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39 posts

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@annapych1

Beigetreten Ocak 2021
817 Folgt55 Follower
The Rock Trading Group
The Rock Trading Group@The_RockTrading·
Update on the reported F-15E incident: The U.S. pilots have been successfully evacuated by allied forces. Safe and accounted for.
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anancccc@annapych1·
@omshanti08 Please shed some light on this chaotic market. 🙏
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anancccc@annapych1·
@Panizachi I could not believe myself, is this even real?
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Paniz
Paniz@Panizachi·
قحطى آدم داشتن، مقوا شد رهبرشون🤣🤣
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Kalshi
Kalshi@Kalshi·
JUST IN: Jim Cramer says he "doesn’t see" a path to de-escalation in Iran
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Jim Cramer
Jim Cramer@jimcramer·
Did we win the war?
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Eyal Yakoby
Eyal Yakoby@EYakoby·
BREAKING: Mojtaba Khamenei was reportedly severely injured, one of his legs has been amputated, and he may not even be aware that he is the Supreme Leader.
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anancccc
anancccc@annapych1·
@WSTAnalystApe 真是好主意 , 讓白左女去找神棍要女權吧!🤣
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
Wow… 100K followers just now! Glad this many people find my thoughts about $AAOI to $EWY helpful. From reflection, I think it’s largely because I’ve been staying true to what I’ve done at the start: -> information synthesis -> finding new angles that people haven’t looked at -> publishing actionable trade ideas from small bottlenecks to megacap companies. -> celebrating if they turn out correct! And I think majority of them from last year: From $AXTI to $LITE ended up being right and doubling or tripling, hence the recent popularity. Not many people are as interested in the research process but when they see the fruition of it two months later, I guess they start paying more attention? Regardless, I’ll keep doing what I’ve been doing when I had 800 followers. When it was just me and some friends from Reddit. But it’s amazing X gave me this opportunity to share my thoughts to others. Hitting 100K followers is slight validation to me that my ideas I publish for free are at least worth reading (even if you don’t follow them). So, just wanted to say a thank you to all of you!
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Bloomberg
Bloomberg@business·
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney said “one can never categorically rule out” participation in military action resulting from the war in Iran, and the country will stand by its allies if necessary bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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雨后蘑菇
雨后蘑菇@Mushroom_HH·
沙特也下场了。好在伊朗还有两个坚定盟友:联合国和民主党。
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華爾街分析猿
華爾街分析猿@WSTAnalystApe·
德國總理撐川普:伊朗不應再被國際法「保護」。 「多年來,歐洲——包括德國——不斷呼籲、譴責伊朗違反國際法,甚至祭出廣泛制裁,但效果微乎其微。」 梅爾茨直言,歐洲的軟弱,本身就是問題的一部分。 在一個流氓國家公然破壞規則、而盟友卻無力或無意執行規則的世界裡, 這些規則本身,正在失去意義。 因此,當美國與以色列對伊朗採取行動時, 歐洲不該再對盟友「說教」。
華爾街分析猿 tweet media
華爾街分析猿@WSTAnalystApe

難怪澤連斯基一反常態, 暗捧川普,大罵歐洲 美國財長貝森特表示: 美國為了對付俄羅斯,付出的代價比歐洲大得多。 我們對「購買俄羅斯石油」的印度課了 25% 關稅。 結果你猜怎麼了?上週歐洲卻和印度簽了貿易協議。 俄羅斯原油進到印度, 印度煉成成品油再出口, 歐洲再把這些成品油買回來。 換句話說—— 他們一邊說要對抗俄羅斯, 一邊用自己的錢在資助這場戰爭。

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anancccc
anancccc@annapych1·
@aleabitoreddit Indeed a gold mine. really appreciate your willingness to share, I am very grateful. 🫡
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
I literally dropped a photonics goldmine last year. Did you listen anon? Everything either went up 2-3X in the past two months from $AXTI to $AAOI. $LITE ended up increasing 100%+. Even $COHR and $IQE is close to doubling. AAOI is on a mega-rally right now and is likely to keep going higher given their $4.5B projections. And now $NVDA investing these same photonics companies today from $LITE ( $IQE supplier and $AXTI suppliers to $LITE) to $COHR. Photonics is the next memory, with companies like $AAOI looking like the next $SNDK. Best of all, it's only just getting started for a lot of the upstream suppliers.
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Serenity@aleabitoreddit

$AAOI is up 24% and $LITE is 5% since my thesis today. From BOM analysis, LITE ($27B) is levered toward TPU Ironwood due to OCS but benefits from NVDA + all ASICs. AAOI ($2.5B), is levered toward MSFT MAIA ramp and Amazon Trainium. InP like HBM, will be a bottleneck for 2026 as they’re the foundational materials used for lasers in these deployments. Similar to memory bottlenecks with Micron and SK Hynix, we’ll likely see attention drawn to InP fabs, such as $AAOI, which happens to be one of the sole ones in America (COHR,Macom) But compared to $LITE that is up 362% YTD due to the success of Google’s TPU (from Meta and Anthropic purchase orders), $AAOI is only up 7% YTD. We’re largely seeing this because there’s a lack of retail or media attention on the $AMZN Trainium or $MSFT Maia deployments, which are largely expected to ramp up in 2026-2027. However they’re all likely to succeed due to each hyperscaler wanting to lower costs of inference for their own cloud platform. If we see other hyperscalers adopt OCS for optimized performance that the TPU achieved, expect $LITE to re-rate more than they have now given their monopoly in that specific segment. However, if we see $MSFT Maia ramp up (given $AAOI is likely developing a new architecture for them), and $AMZN Trainium ramp up ($4B warrant + purchase orders), expect $AAOI to rerate. Photonics and InP will be the new bottleneck like memory. We’ll likely see investments pour down stream to players like $COHR, Innolight, $LITE, and hidden levered plays on specific hyperscaler ASICs like $AAOI as a theme in 2026. The market is currently rewarding the Google TPU supply chain but might be missing other hyperscaler ASIC ramps.

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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
$NVDA has just invested $2 billion into $COHR for advanced laser and optical networking products. This is an extremely bullish tailwind for $AXTI (substrate provider), other optical networking companies like $AAOI, and the entire photonics supply chain. And most of all the direct beneficiary is $COHR.
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Serenity@aleabitoreddit

$NVDA has just invested $2 billion to support Lumentum's R&D and a new U.S. fabrication facility. This is a massive tailwind for photonics stocks from: $LITE, $COHR, $AAOI, $AXTI, $IQE and others. $IQE's 28% rise today makes more sense as they're a known $LITE supplier. And $AXTI is a known $IQE supplier. The collaboration targets silicon photonics, optical interconnects, and package integration, which flows through the entire photonics supply chain.

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anancccc@annapych1·
@aleabitoreddit Really enjoy your analysis on IQE, even though its a high risk play. Thanks!
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
Apparently $IQE does not concern itself with the War in Iran either? My core photonics segment picks from $AXTI, $LITE, $COHR, and $AAOI have been just vertical green line up every day recently, despite any macro.
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Serenity@aleabitoreddit

$AAOI does not concern itself with a war in Iran. The photonics stock with surprise ~900% revenue growth blowout projections to: $4.53B ARR by mid-2027, off ~40% margins. Coupled with double digit directional SI stuck. Might not need to be.

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Taotao❤️🇦🇺🇺🇸🇮🇱🇯🇵❤️
以色列🇮🇱内塔尼亚胡,人狠话不多😎 美利坚🇺🇸唐纳德川普,人狠话很多🤩 两条硬汉是解放受苦受难人民的超级英雄 The world is much better and safer because of America and Israel.🙏🙏 Glory to God, Jesus Christ.✝️ Praise the Lord. Amen.✝️
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anancccc@annapych1·
@aleabitoreddit Such an upgrade from the previous administration and great analysis!
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QMAY
QMAY@Q_May_007·
川子曰:“兵者,诡道也。”😆
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George
George@BehizyTweets·
It took Obama and Bush over 9 years to find & eliminate Osama Bin Laden. It took Trump less than 12 hours to kill the literal Supreme Leader of Iran. There are levels to this.
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