Cate Long

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Cate Long

Cate Long

@cate_long

I lead a research service for Puerto Rico bondholders. Former contributor to Reuters.

Tulsa, Oklahoma Beigetreten Temmuz 2008
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Stephen Stapczynski
Stephen Stapczynski@SStapczynski·
QatarEnergy says that two of its 14 trains were damaged — with 17% of supply to be offline for 3-5 years That’s the equivalent of a normal LNG export project. Thats big, and further pushes back the LNG glut
QatarEnergy@qatarenergy

Providing an update on the damage from the missile attacks on Ras Laffan Industrial City H.E. Minister Saad Sherida Al-Kaabi: The missile attacks reduced Qatar’s LNG export capacity by 17% and caused an estimated loss of $20 billion in annual revenue - Extensive damage to our production facilities will take up to five years to repair and will compel us to declare long-term force majeure QatarEnergy expects the damage to its Ras Laffan Industrial City caused by missile strikes, which occurred on Wednesday 18 March 2026, and in the early hours of Thursday 19 March 2026, to cost about $20 billion a year in lost revenue and to take up to five years to repair, impacting supply to markets in Europe and Asia. Providing an update on the damage to the facilities at Ras Laffan Industrial City, His Excellency Mr. Saad Sherida Al-Kaabi, the Minister of State for Energy Affairs, the President and CEO of QatarEnergy, said “I am relieved to confirm that no one was injured by these unjustified and senseless attacks, which weren’t just an attack on the State of Qatar but attacks on global energy security and stability. This was an attack on all of us who stand for development and human progress that is sustained by a fair, reliable, and secure access to energy.” The attacks damaged two liquefied natural gas (LNG) producing Trains 4 and 6 totaling 12.8 million tons per annum (MTPA) of production, representing approximately 17% of Qatar’s exports. Train 4 is a joint venture between QatarEnergy (66%) and ExxonMobil (34%), and Train 6 is a joint venture between QatarEnergy (70%) and ExxonMobil (30%). His Excellency Minister Al-Kaabi said: “The damage sustained by the LNG facilities will take between three to five years to repair. The impact is on China, South Korea, Italy and Belgium. This means that we will be compelled to declare force majeure for up to five years on some long-term LNG contracts.” The attacks also targeted the Pearl GTL (Gas-to-Liquids) facility, a production sharing agreement operated by Shell, that converts natural gas into high-quality cleaner burning drop-in fuels and produces base oils used to make premium engine oils and lubricants, and paraffins and waxes. “The damage caused to one of the two trains at Pearl GTL is being assessed and is expected to be offline for a minimum of one year” His Excellency Minister Al-Kaabi added. It should be noted that there will be a loss of associated product production due to this outage as follows: · Condensates: 18.6 million barrels which is around 24% of Qatar’s exports · LPG: 1.281 MT which is around 13% of Qatar’s exports · Naphtha: 0.594 MT which is around 6% of Qatar’s exports · Sulfur: 0.18 MT which is around 6% of Qatar’s exports · Helium: 309.54 MCFA which is around 14% of Qatar’s exports His Excellency the Minister of State for Energy Affairs, the President and CEO of QatarEnergy paid tribute to the Qatari military and security forces and to the energy sector emergency response teams whose courage and extraordinary professionalism ensured the situation was contained quickly and safely. #Qatar

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Cate Long
Cate Long@cate_long·
The @federalreserve presents their reform measures which will reduce small bank capital requirements (<$100 billion of assets) the greatest amount (-7.8%). This is exactly the type of reform promised by @SecScottBessent and most the beneficial to growing the economy. ft.com/content/5282dc…
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Salman Al-Ansari | سلمان الأنصاري
#Breaking: Saudi Foreign Minister, Prince @FaisalbinFarhan 🇸🇦: "Iran’s calculations are wrong, and it believes that the Gulf states cannot respond." "We will not submit to blackmail, nor will we be intimidated." "Iran must immediately halt its attacks and abandon its hostile policies." "The Iranians did not understand the message and have overstepped against their neighbors." "Iran’s targeting of energy supplies impacts the entire world." "Iran’s conduct has long relied on backing militias and extremist groups." "Iran must understand that there are consequences for its behavior." "We will use every means necessary to stop Iranian aggression." "The Kingdom and its partners possess significant capabilities, and the patience we have shown is not unlimited. It could be a day, two days, or a week,I will not say."
Salman Al-Ansari | سلمان الأنصاري tweet media
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Cate Long
Cate Long@cate_long·
PR OBoard says no progress towards consensual deal on Prepa. Judge Swain says bondholders will continue to argue that there is more capacity and contigent value instrument (CVI) could bridge the gap. What's the OBoard's problem with that? #muniland OB's Bienenstock says initial reason was that because bhs have a secured claim has to be paid in full at confirmation (all bs). To confirm the plan bondholder claim has to be liquidated. [Bienenstock is full of crap and a big part of the reason this bankruptcy has gone on for 9 years]. Says agreeing on CVI terms very hard [endless bs]. Finally says a CVI is possible and could be on the table. Only one recent meeting of OBoard and mediation team. Another meeting possible in the future. Swain says not trying to structure a cramdown now. Says OBoard term ends next year and what are their goals before then. Bienenstock says a plan could be confirmed by then if the court valued the bondholder claim before then. OBoard says the board composition could change before then based on Lisa Cook SCOTUS case but OBoard was appointed under Territorial Clause (which means they intend to litigate against the president - SCOTUS wont agree). Swain says she doesn't have a good sense that any real progress was made in mediation and bondholder admin expense will be appealed and OBoard members leaving will leave PR without reliable electricity at affordable rates. Current plan has stale numbers and little support & unconfirmable. Since she dismissed the Prepa admin expense this is the moment to get real involvement. Says Promesa didn't come into being for endless litigation. ***************************************************************************************************************************************************FINALLY*************************************************************************************************************************************** says she needs to see real progress [she should have said this 5 years ago]. Have to accept that bondholders strongly believe their view on debt capacity and need to focus on discovery that really gets to agreement [BONDHOLDERS SAID AT PREVIOUS CONFIRMATION HEARINGS THAT CVIS WOULD WORK. THAT WAS IN MARCH 2024]. Glenn Kurtz for Goldentree and bondholders says committed to mediation. Asks the court to lift stay to allow bondholders 2022 motion to dismiss the case, bhs need adequate protection, vacate stay on accounting claim [1st Circuit validated accounting claim]. Swain says discovery needs specific procedural processes. Will wait for joint report (March 30) and tells parties to think creatively. Gibson Dunn's Estrada for Assured says willing to work towards agreement but wants to raise #5510 to protect bondholder rights. Wants lift stay. Omelveny for AFFAF willing to engage in mediation. AFFAF remains concerned by cost of mediation team. Bienenstock for OBoard. Putting Prepa case on hold for admin expense appeal is the worst result. Don't think bondholders have a right to appeal the admin exp [typical Bienenstock BS]. Says bondholder litigation could be constructive if turned into value of secured claim [Bienenstock knows that Swain despises bondholders and thinks this path would cram down bhs harder than a negotiated settlement]. Re motion to dismiss -- normally courts dont dismiss cases where a plan is on the table that is confirmable [Swain already says the 5th plan is not confirmable]. Swain verbally denies the motion to dismiss the Prepa case without prejudice.
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Compound248 💰
Compound248 💰@compound248·
X is about to ship a Dislike (👎) button to combat spam and junk content. Get ‘em, @nikitabier.
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عبدالعزيز المقبل
Total market capitalization of the top 25 global oil firms has risen ⁠about 20% so far this year to $5.3 trillion.
عبدالعزيز المقبل tweet media
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Benjamin S. Weiss
Benjamin S. Weiss@BenjaminSWeiss·
Paul demanding an apology or expression of remorse from Mullin. "I'm not apologizing," the DHS Secretary said. Tells the chairman that he did not say he "supported" the 2017 attack on Paul that left him gravely injured, "just that I completely understood it."
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Benjamin S. Weiss
Benjamin S. Weiss@BenjaminSWeiss·
🧵MARKWAYNE MULLIN DHS SECRETARY CONFIRMATION HEARING MEGATHREAD: I’m in the room this AM as @SenMullin arrives to testify before @HSGAC on his nomination to replace Kristi Noem. Follow along for updates:
Benjamin S. Weiss@BenjaminSWeiss

Good morning from the US Senate and a tightly packed @HSGAC hearing room, where @SenMullin is set to testify in just about 30 minutes on his nomination to replace Kristi Noem as DHS secretary. Follow here and @CourthouseNews for continuing coverage.

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Cate Long
Cate Long@cate_long·
More audio issues with the Puerto Rico bankruptcy hearing in San Juan. The court reporters in NYC are unable to comprehend to transcribe. Corrections being attempted #muniland.
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Cate Long
Cate Long@cate_long·
The audio for the Puerto Rico bankruptcy hearing said the host just left the meeting and it would end in five minutes. Does anyone know what is going on? #muniland
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Cate Long
Cate Long@cate_long·
The US govt said it had deemed the artificial intelligence company Anthropic an “unacceptable risk” to national security because the start-up could disable or alter its technology to suit its own interests, rather than the country’s priorities, in a time of war. Response here: courtlistener.com/docket/7237965…
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Cate Long
Cate Long@cate_long·
💣💣A group of banks led by JPMorgan Chase halted a $5.3 billion debt deal for software firm Qualtrics International after failing to win over investors amid deepening anxiety surrounding AI disruption bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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Cate Long
Cate Long@cate_long·
Whiting is huge. "View of the Amoco Refinery (now BP Whiting Refinery) located at 2815 Indianapolis Boulevard in Whiting, Indiana. This refinery, which processes crude oil, is currently the largest refinery in the Midwest region. The first petroleum products were processed at this site in 1890." explore.chicagocollections.org/image/uic/59/p…
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M@Chicagomike666·
@cate_long @FirstSquawk big facility! fun fact…designed to process heavy sour crude—one of the few.
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First Squawk
First Squawk@FirstSquawk·
BP ISSUES LOCKOUT NOTICE AT WHITING REFINERY AFTER REJECTING UNION PROPOSAL AND ENDING CONTRACT EXTENSION TALKS. UNITED STEELWORKERS-REPRESENTED WORKERS TOLD NOT TO REPORT AS COMPANY SEEKS SAFE HANDOVER AMID ESCALATING LABOR DISPUTE.
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Cate Long
Cate Long@cate_long·
@katiadoyl Tulsi will handle it fine but Warner will be looking for sound bites.
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Katherine Doyle
Katherine Doyle@katiadoyl·
NEW: When Tulsi Gabbard testifies before the Senate Intelligence Committee tomorrow, lawmakers will be asking her to defend President Donald Trump’s handling of the U.S.-Israeli aerial assault on Iran, which has entered its third week, and whether she agrees with the administration’s assertions that military action was necessary because of the nature of the threat presented by the regime in Tehran. For Gabbard, who ran for president in 2020 as a Democrat, her response to the war could define her political career and whether she can maintain her image as a veteran determined to keep America out of imperial quagmires. w/ @dandeluce nbcnews.com/politics/natio…
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Cate Long
Cate Long@cate_long·
Israel’s decapitation strategy wipes out two top Iranians. The attacks on Iran’s security chief and the head of the Basij militia could make leaders more cautious, complicating the communications needed to run the war wsj.com/world/middle-e… (no paywall)
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Cate Long@cate_long·
@academic_la These are very inflammatory assertions. Unclear why US intelligence would share any information of this sort with you.
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Shaiel Ben-Ephraim
Shaiel Ben-Ephraim@academic_la·
U.S. intelligence has been stunned by the accuracy of the Iranian attacks on Israel and the Gulf States. Now we know how they managed this. Russia shared far more intelligence and hardware in real time than previously believed: 1) Russia is providing modified Shahed drone components to improve communication, navigation, and targeting, drawing on lessons learned from using those same drones in Ukraine. 2) Beyond hardware, Russia is offering tactical advice on drone operations, how many to deploy and at what altitudes, which has made Iranian strike packages closely resemble Russian tactics. 3) Russia has reportedly been sharing high-quality satellite imagery with Iran to help identify and track the locations of U.S. warships, aircraft, and military personnel across the Middle East. This has enabled Iran to target specific U.S. command and control infrastructure and radar stations more effectively. 4) Russia providing Iran with Verba man-portable air-defense systems (MANPADS) and thousands of infrared homing missiles. These are being integrated into Iranian defenses and even reportedly mounted on modified Shahed drones to target enemy aircraft. 5) While Iran originally designed the Shahed, Russia is now mass-producing modified versions at its own facilities, such as the Yelabuga factory. These Russian-produced "Geran-2" models, which include Russian-made components and adaptations for increased firepower, are now being used by Iran in strikes against U.S. and Israeli targets. Russia benefits from the conflict. It drains U.S. air defense interceptors (needed by Ukraine), drives up oil prices due to Strait of Hormuz disruptions, and allows Moscow to effectively retaliate against U.S. support for Ukraine. In addition, Soaring oil prices, driven by disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, are significantly replenishing the Kremlin's coffers. Finally, a prolonged Middle East "quagmire" may grant Moscow greater leverage in future negotiations over Ukraine as Western allies become economically and politically overstretched.
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