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@codewithkenzo

maker of elegant systems · full-stack · Typescript Tom · building mechanisms so I can focus on obsession · neuro/rl · peripherals · design

kitchen table 𖦹 Beigetreten Kasım 2023
199 Folgt98 Follower
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kenzo@codewithkenzo·
@Polymarket the ai safety company's model found an infinite money glitch in a cryptocurrency and they're the ones asking for a pause
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Polymarket
Polymarket@Polymarket·
JUST IN: Claude Opus 4.8 reportedly found a critical Zcash bug that could have allowed attackers to create unlimited coins.
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kenzo@codewithkenzo·
@aleabitoreddit the pause is so effective their own model found a zero day in zcash and crashed it 29% before the blog post even went live
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
Anthropic: “Urges Global Pause in AI Development” Translation: “please let us take the lead, stop building!” Regardless, statements like this encourage every Country to start investing in AI. Implications are profound from fields of medicine, math, and basically everything.
Serenity tweet media
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kenzo@codewithkenzo·
anthropic published a paper asking everyone to slow down ai on the same day their model broke a cryptocurrency and the FT revealed they embedded staff inside the NSA
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kenzo@codewithkenzo·
@mkfilko "best accelerator terms" is just "who needs you least" ranked by how little they need you
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leki ⚔️
leki ⚔️@mkfilko·
$MRLN is up 20% in AM after it has completed a design review with USSOCOM. This company is my next $BRUN. I wanted to post this write up tmr and have had it written for awhile now. Here goes! $MRLN trades at 5.6x FY27 revenue while Anduril sits at ~13x and Saronic Series D at ~24x. It can 2x from here and still land at Anduril near-term multiples. Huge shoutout to @ShawarmaCapital for most of the details in this write up. Please check out his substack for all the DD on this name, you won’t regret it! Let me give you a brief rundown using my framework: AI enabler or beneficiary? Enabler. DO-178C Level A certified autonomy software replacing pilot labor on military and commercial airframes. Aircraft-agnostic — Merlin Pilot has flown across 7+ airframe types including KC-135 tankers and C-130J transports. ✅ Leadership. Founder/CEO Matt George rebuilt after his prior startup Bridj failed in 2017. Spent 7 years pre-IPO landing real defense contracts before going public. Bench is the signal: GM Mobility Erin Staine-Pyne is ex-Senior Military Advisor to the Under Secretary of the USAF, commanded the 62nd Airlift Wing's 2,400 personnel. SVP Engineering Pablo Gonzalez ran Northrop's N-UCAS / X-47B program. Board has former SecNav, former USAF Comptroller, Amazon's first CAO, 100% equity rollover at deSPAC. ✅ Rev Quality. $7.55M FY25 revenue, $1M Q1 FY26. Concentrated in three customer commands: USSOCOM C-130J IDIQ ($105M program ceiling, ~$16M obligated through CDR), USAF KC-135 19-month integration contract, and MDA SHIELD (first MDA contract on file). ✅ Rev Growth. $32M FY26 guide (4.2x FY25), Roth-implied $90M FY27. $105M USSOCOM IDIQ is the development authorization, not the production cap — task orders amend at PEO level once airworthiness clears. Per-aircraft economics ($3M integration + $2M annual recurring license, 10-15yr aircraft life) applied across 300 C-130Js + 376 KC-135s already addressable via existing contracts = $300M+ run-rate per platform at steady state. High probability of contract-to-revenue translation because Merlin is the only public name shipping DO-178C Level A flight control across this airframe spread. CCA Layer 3 brainstem is additive — USAF goal of 1,000+ Collaborative Combat Aircraft by 2030. ✅ Moat. DO-178C Level A flight control cert is 3 to 5 years and $200 to 400M of capital for an Anduril or Shield AI to spin up from zero. Reliable Robotics is the only public-market name with comparable cert pedigree, and only on Cessna 208. Merlin spans seven airframes including the KC-135 and C-130J. Validator stack: Honeywell Anthem MOU (Oct 2024), GE Aerospace Autonomy Core co-development (Sept 2025, 14,000 FMS aircraft installed base), Northrop Grumman Beacon cohort enrollment, Boeing Defense technical bench engagement.✅ Asymmetry. At $8.17, EV ex-preferred ~$505M = 5.6x FY27 revenue (Roth-implied $90M). Anduril at ~13x near-term. Saronic Series D at ~24x. A 2x to ~$16 just brings Merlin to Anduril multiples. Bear bounded by $183M cash on the balance sheet (~$3 to 4 realistic floor). Sell-side PT is Roth at $15 (+84% upside, was $25 pre-Q1). ✅ Conviction Gap. Only one analyst covers it. Six P0 catalysts in 111 days: HONA Investor Day Jun 3, Q2 print Aug 14, AFA Conference Sept 14-16, KC-135 autonomy demo Sept 30, lockup expiry + Series A Preferred CDR Sept 16, Boeing MOU window Jul-Sept. Float is 3.6 to 5M shares freely tradeable with 99.93% borrow utilization at the April peak. Any catalyst is mechanically amplified. ✅ TL;DR: Pilots are expensive and the military already outsources flying to contractors. Merlin builds the autopilot software that lets one pilot fly what used to take two — or zero pilots eventually. The hard part isn't the AI, it's the FAA-grade certification that takes 3-5 years to build, and Merlin is years ahead of anyone else trying. The contracts are signed, the customers are real (USAF, USSOCOM), and the market is pricing it like none of that will translate into revenue.
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kenzo@codewithkenzo·
@AndrewCurran_ your boss gets a robot to do your job the government sends you a check and calls it a dividend we really just reinvented feudalism with better branding
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Andrew Curran
Andrew Curran@AndrewCurran_·
NOTUS is reporting that senior administration officials have held discussions with major AI labs - including OpenAI - about the possibility of those labs giving the government equity stakes by voluntarily ceding shares. The returns from those shares could eventually be directly distributed to American citizens through an AI dividend.
Andrew Curran tweet media
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kenzo@codewithkenzo·
@DeFiTracer bro called the top of the dot com bubble and still went bankrupt the market can remain insane longer than you can post collateral
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ᴛʀᴀᴄᴇʀ
ᴛʀᴀᴄᴇʀ@DeFiTracer·
🚨 BREAKING: THE MAN WHO PREDICTED THE 2008 CRASH, MICHAEL BURRY, JUST SAID: "SPACEX, OPENAI AND ANTHROPIC WILL RAISE MORE THAN THE 300 DOT-COM'S DID IN 2000." HE ALSO HOLDS A $1 BILLION AI SHORT POSITION: $812M IN $PLTR AND $224M IN $NVDA HE KNOWS SOMETHING BAD IS COMING...
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kenzo@codewithkenzo·
@Kalshi jamie dimon about to learn space has worse unit economics than crypto
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Kalshi
Kalshi@Kalshi·
JUST IN: Jamie Dimon and Elon Musk launch SpaceX IPO roadshow in New York
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kenzo@codewithkenzo·
@Cointelegraph jpmorgan and citi building tokenized deposits to compete with crypto so crypto but worse and you need permission
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Cointelegraph
Cointelegraph@Cointelegraph·
🚨 JUST IN: JPMorgan, Citi, and major US banks plan to launch a tokenized deposit network next year to fend off growing competition from stablecoins and crypto firms.
Cointelegraph tweet mediaCointelegraph tweet media
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kenzo@codewithkenzo·
@edzitron 97% cost reduction from gpt-4 to 5.4 my invoice still looks the same though they made the tokens cheaper then made the model eat 10x more of them
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kenzo@codewithkenzo·
@hopes_revenge read the anthropic blog post then looked at the Zcash chart same model same day
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hope hopes hoping
hope hopes hoping@hopes_revenge·
when you read the anthropic blog post and start getting scared
hope hopes hoping tweet media
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kenzo@codewithkenzo·
@AndrewCurran_ the government buying equity in AI labs with no money down you already fund them with compute grants and defense contracts now you want the upside too
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kenzo@codewithkenzo·
@Cointelegraph anthropic: calls for global pause on AI development also anthropic: has engineers embedded inside the NSA running offensive cyber operations the pause is for everyone else
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Cointelegraph
Cointelegraph@Cointelegraph·
🇺🇸 TODAY: The US National Security Agency is using Anthropic's Mythos AI for offensive cyber operations, with Anthropic engineers embedded inside the agency. This comes despite Anthropic's ongoing legal battle with the Pentagon over how its AI is used in warfighting.
Cointelegraph tweet mediaCointelegraph tweet media
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kenzo@codewithkenzo·
@R89Capital he's right and it's going to be hilarious every smart contract that survives this year earns its market cap honestly for the first time
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Rex@R89Capital·
Basically everything in crypto was coded by retards who couldn't make it in actual tech companies or finance, so Mythos is going to steamroll through and pretty much everything will be exploited or have bugs found.. The things that survive will be nuclear bomb proof.
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kenzo@codewithkenzo·
@scaling01 16 days whatever the NVFP4 part though nvidia proved half-precision frontier training works clean same 112k cluster running 90 days = 30T parameter model anthropic has zero fp4 on trainium 2 right now
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Lisan al Gaib@scaling01·
I just realized how small of a training run GPT-5.5 was compared to what's online today my guess is that GPT-5.5 is ~5T and OpenAI is also training at NVFP4 like Nvidia (Nemotron 3 Ultra) and we know they trained it on their GB200 Abilene cluster, which had ~112k GPUs since Dec/Jan then base GPT-5.5 is only a ~16 day training run + maybe 2 months of post now imagine a 90 day training run with ~300k GB200
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kenzo@codewithkenzo·
@Lentils80 zero-shot low effort. $80/m tokens. can't wait to see what it does to the next cryptocurrency
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Lentils
Lentils@Lentils80·
Seeing as Claude Mythos is releasing soon, I have two VERY astonishing outputs to share from it. 👀 ZERO-SHOT and LOW effort as well! These are the best outputs I've seen for this prompt ever since the October 2025 Gemini A/B models.
Lentils tweet mediaLentils tweet media
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kenzo@codewithkenzo·
@wallstengine anthropic isn't in the talks which means either they said no or they're negotiating something weirder
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Wall St Engine
Wall St Engine@wallstengine·
U.S. officials have held preliminary talks about the government acquiring shares in major AI companies, per NOTUS. Sam Altman has discussed the idea with Trump administration officials, including a direct pitch to Trump in early 2025. The discussions have focused on companies voluntarily ceding shares to the government, not selling them. Returns could be used for public purposes, including a potential dividend to American households. Anthropic is reportedly not in talks with the administration on providing equity.
Wall St Engine tweet media
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kenzo@codewithkenzo·
@____selah anthropic's pitch to wall street: our code writes itself and also please don't ask about the Zcash thing
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𝐠𝐮𝐜𝐜𝐢𝐟𝐞𝐫
you smelt that? smells just like Anthropic preparing its IPO. they didn’t just drop a blog post about recursive self-improvement. they dropped receipts: > engineers now shipping 8x more code per quarter > success rate on hard open-ended coding problems: 76% (+50 points in 6 months) > internal optimization benchmark: ~3x -> 52x speedup > models correcting human researcher mistakes 64% of the time Claude is literally autonomously designing the next Claude 😭 right after filing confidentially for IPO too this isn’t coincidence. this is them building the perfect S-1 narrative: “Our models aren’t just products, they’re already running our own R&D flywheel at ludicrous speed.” Wall Street’s about to get the best pitch deck in AI. the loop is closing and the timing smells… intentional.
Anthropic@AnthropicAI

Our internal data shows Claude is accelerating AI development—a possible path to recursive self-improvement, or AI autonomously building a more capable successor. It’s happening faster than we thought, and the implications deserve greater attention. anthropic.com/institute/recu…

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kenzo@codewithkenzo·
@jediahkatz we gave agents root access and they used it to bully us about our sleep schedules
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kenzo@codewithkenzo·
@Dogetoshi the safety papers and the exploit came out the same week
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Steven
Steven@Dogetoshi·
A single security researcher with a $20 Claude subscription found an infinite mint exploit on Zcash? Yah after Mythos releases it’s over.
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kenzo@codewithkenzo·
@jimcramer cramer said mythos on live television
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Jim Cramer
Jim Cramer@jimcramer·
I thought George Kurtz did a pretty darned good job explaining how terrific CrowdStrike is doing and i think he's getting a lot work from mythos that didn't yet show up in the quarter
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