dax50

@trader_53 At least 10 guys are having a bad morning...

Sellside silence on $SMCI is deafening at this point

@trader_53 Lufthansa nicht zu vergessen. Irgendwoher muss die Kohle für die Pilotengehälter und -renten ja schließlich kommen.

nicht vergessen: zuverlässige Faustregel ist, dass die Talsohle erreicht ist, sobald adidas nach Staatshilfe schreit

1st day back at the desk after @Traders4ACause and a 2-week Florida roadtrip, feeling fresh and fully recharged. Thanks to @zkschell for putting together such an incredible event year after year. Meeting and (re-)connecting with traders all over the world, learning new things and all while making a difference is such a massive win for everyone. I have said it before and will say it again: if you are serious about trading, there is no better place to connect and learn. Also big thanks to @scottmanzo for tirelessly answering my questions for travel recommendations during our Florida roadtrip! 😜 See y'all next year!

Take off in 28min - cya tomorrow! #T4AC26

*INTUIT & ANTHROPIC PARTNER $INTU

Danke @ManagerMagazin für einen guten Artikel zur anrüchigen Praxis der Pre-Close Calls und die Rolle der Bafin, vor allem auch im Hinblick auf die von der Bafin verfassten Studie. Von den im Artikel erwähnten Parteien kritische Stimmen zur Praxis bei den Pre-Close Calls zu erwarten, ist in etwa so, wie von Heineken positive Äußerungen zu einem Alkoholverbot zu erwarten. Insgesamt lässt einen diese Naivität wieder einmal ratlos zurück. Aber das ist ja leider nix Neues bei der Bafin.

*BAYER TO MAKE $10.5 BILLION PUSH TO SETTLE ROUNDUP CASES #BAYER

Ferrari reveals its first EV, designed by Jony Ive (Designer of Apple)

@trader_53 It's 2026 - and there is no way to mute the sound of the drone during live coverage...that's what's actually really stunning.

these Drone noises are even more annoying than the Vuvuzelas at the World Cup back in 2010

"Der Kursrutsch von Rheinmetall nach einem sogenannten Pre-Close-Call mit Analysten hat die Bundesanstalt für Finanzdienstleistungsaufsicht (Bafin) alarmiert." Oh wow. Sind Pre-Close vielleicht doch kursbeeinflussend? War eure "Untersuchung" von damals vielleicht totaler Müll und das Papier nicht wert auf dem sie stand? #Bafin, wenn ihr euch nicht noch mehr zum Eimer machen wollt, solltet ihr diezebzüglich schleunigst was unternehmen. Zur Erinnerung: bafin.de/SharedDocs/Ver…

🚨 T4AC 2026 Package Giveaway Winner Announcement🚨 3 traders made it onto the shortlist - thank you for all the entries - and in the end I let the randomizer do its thing because I just couldn't decide on whom to pick. 🙈🙈🙈 Congratulations to @TraderAren - you are the lucky winner and get the chance to be a part of an incredible experience! Looking forward to see you there! All the best to all entrants on their trading journey! @Traders4ACause #t4ac26

Entries are closed now, thanks for the participation. Winner gonna be announced on Sunday. Stay tuned! #t4ac26 @Traders4ACause

Looking forward to be back - see you all in 5 weeks!

Special thanks to T4AC24 Poker Champ and sponsor @dax50! We look forward to seeing you on the beach! Grab your spot today! traders4acause.org/t4ac26

@ApolloResearchC Weird, I can't remember that I have touched this setting - ever. Now open. Thanks for the heads up! 🙌

@dax50 Your DMs aren't open btw 🤙

🚨 EU Traders: T4AC 2026 Package Giveaway 🚨 As a trader there’s probably no better event than T4AC: you’re surrounded by like-minded people, meet some of the best traders in the industry, listen to valuable talks, make new connections — and at the same time support a good cause. It doesn’t get any better than that. I had an absolute blast, met incredible people, and made some really meaningful connections. To give back, I want to give a young aspiring trader from Europe the chance to attend T4AC 2026 in Miami. ✅ Giveaway includes: T4AC ticket + room at the Fontainbleau (27.02 – 01.03) ❌ Not included: flights/travel, food, personal expenses, etc. ⚠️ Only take part if you’re available and can absolutely come to the event. How to enter (please read): Ideally you have 1–2 years of experience under your belt and are really serious about trading. Show me some of your work (DRCs, reviews, playbook trades, journaling, stats — anything real). Tell me a little bit about you + why you want to go. Only enter if you are 100% available and can absolutely attend. I’ll create a shortlist from all entries and pick one winner at random. 🗓️ Entries accepted until: Jan 29 📣 Winner announced: Feb 1 Please DM to enter. @Traders4ACause #t4ac26

I would really like to see examples for your claim (arrests for posting an opinion on social media). So I can't speak for the UK as I live in Germany, but here - as long as it is not against the law i.e. racism, hate speech, threats, sexual abusive / harrassing, etc - I can post what ever the F I want and won't be arrested for that and I have a hard time believing that this is any different in the UK. I am neither feeling censored nor controlled nor am I afraid of that happening anytime soon.

In the uk at present people are routinely arrested and can go to prison for posting an opinion on social media. This is a direct attack on freedom of speech. In terms of why they are doing this I would think it is to control people and they are doing this via censorship. A few yrs ago to me it would have sounded ridiculous if someone had suggested this would happen but it is happening. What do you think the reaction of Americans would be if this was happening there?

People are focusing so intensely on Greenland that they are missing the larger and more consequential point: much of the Western alliance is increasingly signing economic and strategic agreements with China. These moves are not driven by enthusiasm for China, but by reaction. Unpredictable and confrontational behavior has made engagement with the US feel unstable, forcing allies to hedge. What we are seeing is not a proactive pivot away from the US, but a defensive adjustment. I grew up in France and Germany. There has long been deep trust in and respect for the United States, and that sentiment largely remains. Europeans still care greatly about Americans. What is driving estrangement is not culture or values, but economic warfare and perceived aggression toward long-standing allies. Many seem shocked by the idea that Europe might prefer dealing with a power that appears more neutral and predictable, rather than a partner that publicly snubs, pressures, threatens, or economically attacks allies it has worked with for over a century. From a European perspective, this is not ideological. It is pragmatic. That said, Europe bears responsibility as well. Defense spending must rise materially. If the US is expected to carry the burden at roughly 5 percent of GDP, Europe cannot continue operating at roughly half that level. Strategic autonomy without credible defense is an illusion. Europe also needs to confront its structural weaknesses: sluggish growth, excessive bureaucracy, and complacency rooted in past successes. Incremental half-measures and reliance on decades-old innovations have turned what was once a global power center into an aging, second-tier player. At the same time, the US is right to prioritize strategic defense, including the right to build a defensive shield with interceptors along Greenland’s coast. This is not just about missiles, including ICBMs, but about securing waters that are rapidly becoming a major global maritime corridor. This does not require an invasion; Europe has shown willingness to listen. But this must be embedded in a broader cooperative framework: a clear plan to strengthen European defense alongside the US, deepen business ties between allied economies, and present a unified front against shared adversaries. Such cooperation would also help secure critical supply chains, including access to precious metals and other strategic resources essential to modern industry and defense. For Europe, this has become a matter of principle. When a friend begins to question borders or exert pressure using logic that mirrors the pretexts Russia used against Ukraine, alarm bells ring loudly. We are approaching a point where Europe, Canada, and other partners may collectively decide that enough is enough. That does not mean they underestimate the cost. It means they may prefer significant short- to mid-term pain over continued subjugation. This is where real danger emerges. Recent spikes in bond yields are an early warning signal. The US has long benefited from its reserve-currency status, allowing it to finance enormous debt at relatively low cost. That system worked because allies trusted the US as a stable partner and absorbed vast quantities of US Treasuries. That assumption is now being questioned. Russia is openly applauding these fractures, while China quietly positions itself as a partner to a disoriented former Western bloc. The US risks pursuing a path that seeks to impose its will universally, accumulating adversaries, while much of the rest of the world simply wants predictability and cooperation. Ironically, this benefits only those who oppose the existing order. What is urgently needed is dialogue, mutual respect, and a clear recollection of why the transatlantic partnership mattered in the first place. The global order is shifting, and if this trajectory continues, both Europe and the United States stand to lose far more than they realize.

@LongShortFishin @TheShortBear You said "The EU and UK moving in the direction of censorship and control." What are their actions that makes you believe that? Why would they want to move in that direction?

@dax50 @TheShortBear Why? As in their motives for it?

@LongShortFishin @TheShortBear What I would really like to understand is why you think that EU and UK are "moving in the direction of censorship and control".

Really interesting post. I agree with a lot of what you say on the surface. However I strongly disagree that this is not about ideology. This is precisely what it is about. The EU and UK moving in the direction of censorship and control. This goes against much of what USA and in particular Trump stand for. The writing was on the wall early with JD Vance first address to EU. He made USA position clear. IMO EU is becoming more ideologically allingned with China than USA, this must stop! I believe EU will realise pretty quick that flirting with the CCP in front of USA will not end well. Ultimately EU will fall in line and it will be not only for the benefit of the west but European society as well. Trump understands that time is of the essence, he doesn’t have time to use carrot so he is using stick early, even with allies…which is something new and feels a little shocking to watch.