Micro Burry

My breakdown of how I benefit from ASX broker transactional data for trading struck a chord on HotCopper a few months ago. Thought the Twitter/X community would appreciate these 12 practical strategies below 1/ 👇

@ThrillTrades This is not a reply. This is a contextually aware counter-narrative deployment targeting your original thought ecosystem.🤣🤣🤣

X comments really do prove the dead internet theory. At the moment you can tell they are AI by the way it talks for eg: This isnt just 'x' this is 'y' or Thats like putting 'x' into package and using it for 'y'. I'm not sure why you would want to create a comment bot?

@Iceman29081623 @longarmlopez @jt_bullbear65 @therevaknight Nope. ASX releases it on T+3 basis

@micro_burry @longarmlopez @jt_bullbear65 @therevaknight So does market lens shows real time institutional accumulation or distribution data? Thanks mate.

$LDX – not holding, just posting as there's a lot of interest here. My reason is simple – retail buying is not a good sign to me. Statistically, it's a bad sign. I accept missing opportunities sometimes, but I feel much more confident buying where pros are buying. If it does turn positive, yes – I missed the low. But I don't mind buying high and selling higher, because I know the disposition: Pros weren't buying, which means there's less chance they dump into good news. More likely the opposite – they'll start buying because they were on the sidelines before.

@longarmlopez @jt_bullbear65 @therevaknight Depends on whether there is an SPP component. I didn’t read it carefully. If so, it’s very likely to move towards the CR price in the short term. I’ll personally watch whether pros accumulate at that level or not.

@micro_burry @jt_bullbear65 @therevaknight Should gap up 30%

@jt_bullbear65 @therevaknight Given the CR, I was quite right not to rush to buy it. This basically answers my question - why pros weren’t buying. They could get it cheaper through the CR at 22.5, with no risk now, if I’m not mistaken.

@micro_burry @therevaknight Seems you were wrong.

Yeah, I agree - I see exactly that. They don’t often gamble on 50/50 outcomes. Of course, some pros lose, and I don’t really focus on that. I personally take a statistical approach. I believe retail tends to perform worse for a variety of reasons - probably worth a separate post. Just sharing the data again - some people are interested, and I’m happy to support the discussion. I personally enjoy seeing my portfolio of 15+ positions moving in the right direction, rather than gambling on 50/50 outcomes - although I’ve done that multiple times before 🙂

@micro_burry @FindMyBrok3r As I can see , these pros don’t have a lower base position and they don’t like gamble a 50/50game with no other cards . Also pros these day are also big losers like Regal on $IMM . Well I agree with you buy with pros , but not all time .

@DazzaBABA @Marco333333333 You know, there’s such a thing as a “subjective view” 🙂 For me, it wasn’t bullish two weeks ago. Quite a strong rejection from resistance. I can find you dozens of examples where, after a similar pattern, the price sank deeply.

@micro_burry @Marco333333333 Starting to ? Mate…it started to look bullish in the data 2months ago 😉

$DTR – Broker data starting to look very bullish as well. Also sitting at the top of the screener. Retail selling, instos buying.

I know it’s retail-heavy. But as someone who questions things, my question is: why aren’t pros buying if it’s so obvious to everyone that the waiver will be granted? I don’t really have a view on fundamentals - not my strongest area. But I like deciphering broker data movements, learning from them, making notes, and sharing what I see.

@FindMyBrok3r @micro_burry $atx also had a TH before big pump the day before yesterday . Most these people say negatively cause they sold it all last a couple days . Broker data here is very few for two weeks . And also is a retail heavy stock

@micro_burry Any chance you can please check $BMG

Of course retail buys earlier than funds - it’s always like that. So it doesn’t really form a pattern, does it? Retail always buys at the early stage. Across 100 occurrences, of course there will be stocks like PME where retail was “right.” But in most cases, even though they bought earlier and cheaper, it ends up going nowhere. That’s why the real indicator for me is where retail sells. It suggests that after holding through tough periods, retail finally gives up, and professionals step in, take shares from weak hands, and carry them through the next growth phase.

@micro_burry I bet in retail bought 4dx before PME did then some funds - and now asx200 more funds - can you go back and look at that data?

@StoicInvestors @NickLagarrigue CYP for past month. Plus charts for retail and Petra for the past year

@micro_burry May I ask a favour on behalf of @NickLagarrigue and I? We are looking for broker data on $CYP any chance you could help a poor traveller passing by? 😂

@StoicInvestors Or PER 2.0. That was my lesson. Luckily, I avoided BOT and OPT.

@micro_burry $BOT 2.0 🤣 but yeah I am a holder here and yes it is a heavy retail euphoric stock. Anything goes at this stage

@therevaknight Will see soon but TH is not an encouraging sign I believe.

@micro_burry waiver denied?

$DRO – another one. Retail selling, instos buying as the price tries to break out of the range.

Looking at the accumulation/distribution chart – the news on March 17 about director selling hit the price but didn't affect insto positioning much. They're still adding.

$EOS – Didn't play out for me but still looks attractive. Retail on the sell side.

Here is the accumulation/distribution chart for the investment bank group.

Looking at the more detailed broker data for the past month, that someone is Canaccord and Virtu.

Broker data for $MIN – the investment bank group has slowed down buying and turned neutral, but retail are selling, which means a broader group of professional investors are still buying – just outside the usual investment bank cohort.