Nick Kramer
683 posts


@n_kramer The stock has been on the nasdaq threshold list for 11 consecutive days. There were material failure to delivers.
I’m not so much concerned about selling the position. Company can spin off certain assets where the contractual backlog is more than current market cap.
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@EricLDaugh @GuntherEagleman 1. if another leader said this about the US you’d call them deranged. 2. he will TACO like he always does, claim some fake ongoing negotiations, and move the goalposts further out yet again. And Iran will continue to strike us and others in the region. You have shit for brains.
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@PeteHegseth You’re a clown, can’t wait til you’re tried for war crimes
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@SheriffStrategy Hey credit where it’s due. Decent recovery off lows today
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@n_kramer I haven’t called any bottoms until now, I usually don’t miss either. This is different because its tested- Ive traded Ondas for 10 months and have happened to call most bottoms perfectly. Everyone has their own TA methodologies, I just know which one the algos follow.
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@SheriffStrategy fair enough, glta, I personally will not be fighting the trend, also not selling as this was never a 2026 story to me.
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@SheriffStrategy Im long and not changing anything but im also prepared for more pain until there is more certainty in market, high beta is just getting smoked endlessly
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@SheriffStrategy W/ all due respect, you and others have called for bounces over past couple of weeks to no avail. What makes this different? There is no bottom in this market with lots of macro tailwinds to a name that is pretty overvalued and is trading off yet unproven growth targets.
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@bdfish24 @YoYInvestor Mostly I’m tired of people spreading incorrect info about this raise, and then other people complaining about the SP performance. Finally, we all know who the buyer of the raise was, it’s no secret it’s capital heights/susquehanna
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@bdfish24 @YoYInvestor Paid 16.45 for commons + warrants. At time of deal stock was 14.01, so the most you can claim they paid is that. But warrants were way under value at just 2.44 and they’ve made money via hedge.
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The institutional investor behind the $1B $ONDS raise from January is sitting on a gross paper loss of ~$465M on their common stock position alone.
60,790,274 shares with a cost basis of $16.45.
The delta hedge on their 121M warrants certainly offsets some of that, but with the stock trading under $9, those warrants are deep OTM.
No amount of hedging can make up for that.
Remember, they need the stock higher more than just about anyone.
No crying in the casino!
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@bdfish24 @YoYInvestor And I’m not saying the buyer is trying to destroy the company, but its a major overhang on SP. Also SP needs to be way higher for them to be interested to be fully long. Sadly SP is so far from 20, or even 30, where Eric admitted they’d profit a lot more than current strategy
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@Brad_Shultz @YoYInvestor @bdfish24 Right, original poster blocked me already so couldn’t reply. Also they likely sold vast majority of shares at much higher than current prices. Eric confirmed last of pre funded warrants were converted mid Feb. look at price action from raise date to mid Feb
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@YoYInvestor @n_kramer @bdfish24 3/N It doesn’t mean that the fund who provided the money is nefarious or not bullish on the company. The difference here is that this money wasn’t raised as a last resort but to fund accretive revenue which will hopefully justify a substantially larger market cap.
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@YoYInvestor They sold that stock a long time ago. They just have the warrants to play with and likely use leverage.
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@Outofmiddleclas @ive_m5 they bought months ago likely, probably at higher price. It’s irrelevant price is down this week or today
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@ive_m5 Buying that much and price still collapses is not a good sign
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@P_Remarks Need to get their trades ready first so they can front run the market for the 500th time in year and change this buffoon has been president
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@LiebermanAustin Solid stuff here, most posts are either so bullish - next pltr, or bearish - total fraud
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@YoYInvestor @CeoOndas Yah no shit, problem is stock is 10, not close to 30, may never get there. 30 implies a 15B mc, long way to go to justify that
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$ONDS ERIC BROCK ON THE $1B CAPITAL RAISE: THE WARRANT HOLDER CAN HEDGE, BUT HE’S MUCH BETTER OFF WHEN THE STOCK IS IN THE $30s 👀💸🚨
@CeoOndas shared his insights on the $1B offering that Ondas closed in January, and specifically touched on the warrant holder’s position 🤔
We are all aware by now that the elevated short interest in $ONDS is at least partially tied to the $1B investor from January’s capital raise and their large warrant position.
Eric Brock subtly acknowledged this in @Zero_Hour_Group’s most recent interview.
“He can hedge, but fundamentally, he is much better off when we get the stock into the 30s. That's what I wake up every day focused on myself.”
Remember:
The investor came in at $16.45, 17.5% above market, and holds 121 million warrants at a $28 strike.
Shorting the underlying shares to manage that huge long position is textbook, but as catalysts accumulate and the probability of those warrants expiring in-the-money increases, the hedge becomes less necessary.
That's when it starts coming off.
Brock said this investor has been around a long time, knows the company well, and believes those warrants are going to be worth something.
That's not a fund taking a risky bet on a small-cap raise, it’s more like someone who has watched this company's trajectory long enough to underwrite a $28 strike with conviction.
He didn't negotiate the structure down, he took it because he's done the work (just like we have).
The 120% guidance raise, the core business growth, the M&A program, and the structural tailwinds… each one shifts the market's expectation of where this stock is going and reprices those warrants accordingly.
Brock isn't in a hurry because he doesn't need to be. The plan is already executing and the structure was built for the 30s.
Full exercise adds roughly $3.4B in potential gross proceeds, but that only happens if this stock stays well above $28 long enough for it to make sense.
That's the bar the structure was built around, and this investor signed up for it knowingly.
The short interest and the upside case are actually the same trade.
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