Sheriff Capital

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Sheriff Capital

Sheriff Capital

@SheriffStrategy

Independent research focused on the defense sector. Current defense plays : $ONDS & $RCAT NFA

Toronto, Ontario Katılım Haziran 2023
16 Takip Edilen1.6K Takipçiler
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Sheriff Capital
Sheriff Capital@SheriffStrategy·
$ONDS 🎤 CEO Eric Brock says “And you see us working 24/7. We put everything into this and I couldn’t believe in it more. Theres never one day I wake up and say “how do I dilute our investors today” Its the opposite, how do we accrete and compound value- and thats 100% what I wake up everyday and try to do.” I personally trust the vision, do you?
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dJstra
dJstra@DJstra·
@SheriffStrategy Any opportunities for the $ONDS to go up 10x again this year? or even 5x ? Anything changed from 2025 to 2026?
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Sheriff Capital
Sheriff Capital@SheriffStrategy·
$ONDS Message to all bears: Over the last year ONDS is up 1,220%. If the dilution was “destroying value,” why is the stock even up? There are 6 analysts. Their average price target $19.83. Average rating: Strong Buy. The people getting paid to model the “Killer Dilution” still see 90%+ upside from here. Dilution is only "bad" if the money raised doesn't produce results. Ondas is using that cash to buy massive revenue growth and the results are there. - 2024 Revenue: ~$5.3 Million  - 2026 Revenue Target: ~$375 Million+ and will be over 500M. I love a good bear thesis but cherry picking dilution when the stock is up 1000%+ makes you look ignorant. We are golden.
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sil
sil@DonaldeuD·
@SheriffStrategy A shareholder letter right before May earnings? Huge red flag. They already know they’re going to miss, so they’re front-running the bad news to soften the blow. Expect a total bloodbath on ER day
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Sheriff Capital
Sheriff Capital@SheriffStrategy·
@WolfofRoundSt @Marvz_Said_It They’re currently guiding 375M also market cap is $5B, you inflated both stats- its currently properly valued in my opinion, it not an investor issue its a valuation issue
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Wolf of Round Street
Wolf of Round Street@WolfofRoundSt·
@SheriffStrategy @Marvz_Said_It You failed to post the January deal that killed the stock as it was ascending ($15). Personally I’d have liked us to earn the $$$ thru the $20 warrants than do another deal. Per his note, 25% of the current float is controlled by warrant hedges. Too much power to one party.
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FalseSlayer
FalseSlayer@Walsher448441·
@SheriffStrategy Come on man do better read level 2 dilution tracker. You want to see what happens look no futher then sofi. 5 years ago it was $16 today it’s $16 after heavy dilution despite high growth.
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Sheriff Capital
Sheriff Capital@SheriffStrategy·
@Walsher448441 Read below
Sheriff Capital@SheriffStrategy

@Marvz_Said_It Not true at all… Sep 2025 — Raised capital at $5.00/share (stock was at $6.06 that day) Oct 2025 — Raised $425M at $11.50/share, priced at a 16% premium to market Last I remember, stock ran up after $5 a share, also ran up after $11.5 a share…

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FalseSlayer
FalseSlayer@Walsher448441·
@SheriffStrategy Most of the dilution has come after that run up including the added warrants. The stock is actually down 4 percent for the year despite all the new deals. Dilution kills shareholder value pure in simple.
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Sheriff Capital
Sheriff Capital@SheriffStrategy·
@Marvz_Said_It Not true at all… Sep 2025 — Raised capital at $5.00/share (stock was at $6.06 that day) Oct 2025 — Raised $425M at $11.50/share, priced at a 16% premium to market Last I remember, stock ran up after $5 a share, also ran up after $11.5 a share…
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Marvz
Marvz@Marvz_Said_It·
@SheriffStrategy That massive run was prior to the dilution… you know this
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Sheriff Capital
Sheriff Capital@SheriffStrategy·
$ONDS 🎤 CEO comments : “We want to be clear: we are committed to using our authorized shares responsibly and with a focus on long-term value creation. Our strategy is centered on highly accretive investments that strengthen our platform, expand our market position, and support growth in stockholder value over time. We respectfully ask for your support in approving this proposal.”
Sheriff Capital tweet media
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A@DegenInvestor69·
@SheriffStrategy Anyone doubting this CEO after the monstrous YOY increases he has put up, is uneducated and not cut out for investing
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M5IVE
M5IVE@ive_m5·
Mood
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Chris Ray
Chris Ray@itschrisray·
🚨 $ONDS joins Washington Harbour Partners, NEA, In-Q-Tel, Lockheed Martin Ventures, Booz Allen Ventures, Geodesic, Motley Fool Ventures, and others in this $82 million Series B for Firestorm Labs. “This investment will accelerate the production of xCell, Firestorm's containerized manufacturing platform, which enables the rapid generation of combat-ready unmanned systems and parts directly at the tactical edge.” $ONDS has a great investment track record and I’m sure this one will be no different.
Firestorm@Firestorm_Labs

Firestorm is proud to announce an $82M Series B raise, led by @WashingHarbour. This funding will support our transition to scaled production and expanded fielding across operational theaters for the @DeptofWar. Press release: accessnewswire.com/newsroom/en/ae…

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Skuipu
Skuipu@skuipu·
@Cantal_Capital This is AI rubbish with loads of errors. Shame on you 👎
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Cantal Capital
Cantal Capital@Cantal_Capital·
$ONDS Fundamental Analysis Are you bullish or bearish?
Cantal Capital tweet media
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Sheriff Capital
Sheriff Capital@SheriffStrategy·
@JKacprzak97431 Forward PE is around 15 because its based off their guidance but Im sure we will get an increase on guidance soon.
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Sheriff Capital
Sheriff Capital@SheriffStrategy·
$ONDS 🎯 Back in March, I calculated around a $500M backlog for Ondas - people said I was insane, but the latest numbers prove the vision was spot on. In fact, we are now looking at $510M+ in hand. Heres the math : $457M Base (Pro Forma as of Mar 31) ✅ +$50M (New April Demining Tender) 🚀 Total: $507M+ (excluding FIFA & other undisclosed April wins) Assume FIFA to be around ~5M according to the PR, and there you have it.
Sheriff Capital@SheriffStrategy

$ONDS Calculations lead me to believe that backlog is around 500M. Thank you for your attention to this matter.

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Sleuth 🔎
Sleuth 🔎@YoYInvestor·
Please get your forward multiples right before anything else. Why is everyone still trying to use the $170M guidance that was raised to $375M+ as the revenue assumption for 2026? Please also research Kitron, Detroit Manufacturing, and W S Darley for American manufacturing capacity for Ondas. Please also understand how high of a risk Aevex’s dependence on the Ukrainian war is. There’s a reason institutional demand was weak for this IPO.
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Sleuth 🔎
Sleuth 🔎@YoYInvestor·
Basically all of $AVEX revenues come from programs supporting the war in Ukraine. What happens when that conflict ends or the U.S. scales back support? What kind of visibility does management actually have without that customer? Without that customer, revenue doesn’t just take a hit, it completely collapses. Does an 18-year-old defense company with massive reliance on a finite conflict in Ukraine deserve a Shield AI multiple? That’s up to the market to decide. Again, $AVEX is interesting, but be careful before you throw your hard-earned capital at something just because a guy with a lot of followers on social media is calling it a “Baby Anduril.”
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