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NerBTC
734 posts

NerBTC
@nerBTC
Been in Bitcoin since 2017—learned the hard way, still stacking sats.
Beigetreten Kasım 2023
445 Folgt88 Follower

@Abomination81 @Stefan_B10 Got it. Will try it as a filter. What metric would you recommend. Price momentum, order-book imbalance?
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Its only good as a filter for the most part. Ie, its going sideways, you can see whats ABOUT to happen in binance, and sell before it turns.
You can use it as a filter for dca to see which way things go so you dont buy into a reversion.
You can use it as a final check for an entry point. If I'm bidding strike minus 5c but see the price is going up, I know it wont fill. etc
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Lets fix your BOT!
You have problems, lets work on it.
To do it I need the following. What market and time youre on, and the basic outline of what youre doing. With what problems you have!
Lets get those things printing!
#polymarket

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@Abomination81 @Stefan_B10 Nice. Any tips on how to exploit the lag? Seems like polymarket has already priced it in by the time my bot reacts and I pretty much gave up on it as a signal.
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@nerBTC @Stefan_B10 Yes, its one of my cornerstones for most of my crypto bots
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@Abomination81 @Stefan_B10 Thanks for doing this. Is it possible to use the Binance / chainlink lag as signal?
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Edges are everywhere. I've listed a bunch. Its how you combine them.
Binance leads the chainlink by 1.05 seconds.
Binacne leads the clob by 3 ish seconds.
Up wins more than down
If up wins, down is more likely to win, and vice versa
Certain times of the day suck/rock
Certain days of the week suck/rock
Panic sell logic saves 20% of all your losers loss
DCA betting helps you bet more on winners less on losers.
Kelly betting does the same
It goes on and on.
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Thank you to everyone who spent time sending us feedback and reports. We've investigated and we're sorry this has been a bad experience.
Here's what we found:
Lydia Hallie ✨@lydiahallie
We're aware people are hitting usage limits in Claude Code way faster than expected. Actively investigating, will share more when we have an update!
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Our Codex dashboards are showing increased rate of users hitting rate limits and since we don't fully understand why I have made the cautious decision of resetting the usage limits for all plans. Enjoy.
I also wanted to celebrate us finding a pocket of fraudulent accounts that we banned and have helped us regain some compute. The fight against abuse never stops, but it's important to mark the moment and make it a little shared victory.
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Polymarket Redeem Tip
Did you know you can use your bot to redeem winning positions? You don't need to go into the polymarket app and click "redeem" with the wallet signing etc. You can do it all on chain.
docs.polymarket.com/trading/ctf/re…
Using redeemPositions() Basically puts it all in your wallet for a tiny amount of polygon gas, no muss no fuss.
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@lydiahallie Never hit 5hr limits before. Hit them in 2hrs of pretty light work today.
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NerBTC retweetet

Even more concerning news today on the Bitcoin tax front. We’re going to need the Cyber Hornets for this one. 👇
Today’s new draft **leaves the double taxation on bitcoin mining in place** and only provides relief to staking.
So now the proposal is:
- De minimis for stablecoins but not Bitcoin
- Fixing tax treatment for “passive validation” (I.e. staking) but not Bitcoin mining
This contradicts all prior proposals on this issue. This is not tech neutral and picks winners and losers for no reason.
Full statement from BPI coming soon about @RepHorsford and @RepMaxMiller’s draft.
We need strong community push back to show that this language sets America and Bitcoin back.



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NerBTC retweetet

This is central banking in a nutshell:
A group of rich guys go to the king and say: "Hey, you need money for your war. We'll give you all the money you want."
The king says: "Great, where's the money?"
They say: "We're going to make it up. We'll write numbers in a book and that's your money now."
The king says: "What do I owe you?"
They say: "You pay us back with interest."
The king says: "Where do I get that money?"
They say: "You tax your citizens."
The king says: "What if I can't pay it all back?"
They say: "That's fine. We'll lend you more. Same deal."
The king says: "And what do you do with the IOUs I gave you?"
They say: "We use them to prove we have money, so we can lend even more money to other people and charge them interest too."
The king says: "So you made up money, lent it to me, I tax my people to pay you back, and then you use my debt to make up even more money and lend it to everyone else?"
They say: "Yes."
The king says: "What did it cost you?"
They say: "Nothing."
That's literally how the Bank of England started in 1694. The Bank was formed to finance King William's war with France. The king gave the Bank a charter, granting it a monopoly on money.
The king could have as much money as he wanted. The bankers could always earn interest. Taxpayers covered the bill.
Now replace "king" with "United States Government" and you have the Federal Reserve in 1913. Same story, different country.
It doesn't end there.
185 central banks exist in the world today.
Across the globe, the governments get as much money as they want, the bankers load their pockets with interest, and the taxpayers pay for it all.
Oh, and if you don't pay your taxes, they'll fine you, penalize you, or throw you in jail.
The ONLY way out of this is to STOP USING THEIR MONEY.
As long as you're using the money that central banks control, the central banks will have control.
You have to stop giving them energy.
Use a different form of money that they can't control.
This is why Satoshi Nakamoto created Bitcoin.
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Want a MONSTER advantage in PolyMarket?
This is it in one nice little xlsv file for you
I've recorded all crypto in PolyMarket for 18 months. Id argue I have more data than anyone on earth, including PolyMarket themselves.
I took all of that, every single tic, every coin, every time frame.... and decoded one of the most powerful signals of all time.
This xls file, shows the average drawdown at every price point in every amount.
What this means
72c price means 63.3% of the time, it drops 11c
72c price means 45.7% of the time, it drops 24c
This is the cheat code for where to enter and where to hedge or exit for every bot i have that does so.
Honestly at this point, if youre not following me... you hate money
#tUUjjP7Ze1" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">limewire.com/d/6wecx#tUUjjP…

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NerBTC retweetet
NerBTC retweetet

I'm giving away my entire @openclaw architecture. Behind my $250k/month agency.
After weeks of building, I've dialled in the exact system that runs my business 24/7.
What's included:
• Memory folder structure (how to organize agent context)
• Cron job templates (daily briefs, meeting syncs, content automation)
• How to build a custom dashboard in @lovable
• API reference doc (so your agent never forgets its tools)
• Voice training method (85 posts to teach it your style)
• Supabase schema for dashboard connection
Comment "OS" and follow. I'll DM it to you.
P.S. This will probably blow up so give me some time to reply.

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@farrmacro @jtevelow Clueless
Bitcoin has:
- no issuer
- no cashflow promises
- open market price discovery
- voluntary participation
How is that a ponzi
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I’m very versed on BTC. Studied it for many years. The network is totally unprofitable. The miners bleeding cash even when BTC was $120k. The math gets worse every halving. Thus you’ll see increased consolidation of mining only to the few with the cheapest cost of capital and energy and the most advanced equipment. Meanwhile, 95% of all coins already mined and in the hands of the few. Those folks want us all fighting for the remaining 5% and driving the price up so that they can convert to fiat dollars (sorry …. “USD Reserves””). This looks very much like a Ponzi to me now. And the fact that it isn’t being used as money even in El Salvador really speaks volumes of its worth as a medium of exchange. This is exhausting. My valuation remains 0.0. Time for some football parties. Enjoy the grift
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Ok here’s your question for the Bitcoin evangelists. And it’s an incredibly important question.
You say Bitcoin is financial freedom and it’s going to $1,000,000, correct?
And there will be only 21,000,000 coins, correct?
Then how is BTC financial freedom for the 8 billion people who currently do not own any Bitcoin? How is providing epic life altering wealth to just 1.3% of the world’s population (only 100m people actually own any Bitcoin) the solution to wealth inequality?
They will give you their gibberish. And then ask them if they are willing to part with their coins immediately to ensure social cohesion.
There’s your answer folks. It’s a scam
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NerBTC retweetet

This is my 5th major crypto crash. If it's your first, I know it feels devastating. But nothing about Bitcoin's value proposition changed in the last 30 days. The infrastructure got better. The adoption grew. Real use cases have emerged—from payments with stablecoins to tokenized equities. Crypto will come back stronger.
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