SinglePayer

Things I think the next dem trifecta should have the political capital to do. 1. Abolish the filibuster 2. Abortion protections 3. Medicaid expansion 4. Prescription drug negotiation enhancement 5. Bare bones public option 6. Taxes on the rich to reduce the deficit

@cemjcemj @ChazNuttycombe It’s extremely unlikely they intervene. The court will go along with whatever the results are.

@ChazNuttycombe And then onto the VA Supreme Court?

The Virginia Early Vote will be ~Yes +10, if I had to guess. For No to win, they very likely need to instead keep the overall early vote to a mid-to-high single-digit loss at a bare minimum, coupled with skyrocketing turnout on EDay from their side, esp. in Hanover & Roanoke

@dark7eleme40971 As long as she controlled how much she produced it would be fine. The world produces thousands of tons of gold every year.

The first time Eve sold an apple (or whatever common object) she turned into gold it would, no exaggeration, cause a sweeping global economic crisis.

@GrantMa25066011 @JannTosh1 @ChicagosLoneCon Look at the results. What about say for example, the presidential results is inelastic?

@payer_single @JannTosh1 @ChicagosLoneCon GA is definitely inelastic, as is most of the deep south due to racial polarization. Again, Warnock BARELY won against a comically awful candidate, and the amount of people who voted Perdue-Walker-Trump but will magically break for Ossoff this time will be utterly negligible.

This user predicted that Jack Ciattarelli would win btw

@YELLOWFACEUSA Depends on the candidate. Some can, some can’t. You have to choose carefully which ones to nominate.

Do you think that progressives can win purple states/ districts?

@rep_favorite Eh, what kind of ward is this demographically? This one I could give benefit of the doubt.

Bringing this one back

@serenedoge11 @ath3na89 @BasedIllinoisan @anotheranzz @Bear_Moder There's lots of incumbents in deep blue easy races. They don't all perform like this. The other PA congresspeople in deep blue seats didn't perform like this.

@ath3na89 @BasedIllinoisan @anotheranzz @Bear_Moder I'm not comparing the states, I'm saying Summer Lee/Bernie didn't spend any time campaigning or fundraising for themselves because they were incumbents with easy races. So comparing those results to Kamala doesn't make sense, we would need to think about how they would campaign.

51% want to make sure Fetterman is replaced with an actual Republican LOL

@GrantMa25066011 @JannTosh1 @ChicagosLoneCon If you're right then I'll see you in November. The best predictor of future performance is past performance, environment, and lean of the seat. Even if I thought Ossoff was as strong as Mike Collins I'd still expect him to win by close to 8 points. GA isn't inelastic.

@payer_single @JannTosh1 @ChicagosLoneCon But please, I’d LOVE to hear your reasoning for why you think a generic white resistlib candidate who’s not even a Christian is gonna magically convert Evangelical farmers who haven’t voted blue for anything since like 2006, if not earlier. 🤡

@GrantMa25066011 @JannTosh1 @ChicagosLoneCon Here me now quote me later. Ossoff will win by close to double digits if not more. Bookmark it even. Predicting that the polls are currently overestimating Ossoff is a colossal mistake.

@JannTosh1 @ChicagosLoneCon Polls this early almost always overestimate incumbents and people with high name recognition, but a lot of people can never seem to grasp that VERY important rule of politics.

@YouTubeNerdNick @GrantMa25066011 @ChicagosLoneCon If you look at 2021, NJ swung about as much as VA. In 2025 the same thing happened. I think 1st year NJ and VA are becoming more like fundamentals elections. National environment now swamps most of the differences in candidate quality in these elections.

@GrantMa25066011 @ChicagosLoneCon I think for NJ, everyone just got too excited about the race after Ciaterreli dramatically overperformed in 2021 and naively assumed that that automatically meant it was gonna happen again.

@dothejackal @BasedIllinoisan @sonicfan75 @BarryMcOnHere Yeah if she beats them she's the nominee. The problem is she could blow the general and we can't really afford to lose Fetterman's seat.

@payer_single @BasedIllinoisan @sonicfan75 @BarryMcOnHere That’s my point? If she beats moderates in the primary then she is the nominee.

@dothejackal @BasedIllinoisan @sonicfan75 @BarryMcOnHere Primary voters are not equivalent to general election voters. Just ask the clown car of past GOP nominees in 2022 and 2024. Also with Lee she already has a track record of performance where we can base things off of. Maybe that changes in her 2026 run but right now it looks bad.

@BasedIllinoisan @sonicfan75 @BarryMcOnHere Isn’t that the point of a primary? Whose message resonates with voters? Also, Fetterman won as a relatively unknown apparent populist outsider. Lamb was straight from the party. Not sure any predictions for that state hold weight right now.

@AlexTheWonder9 @moonbeamer6 @scott_kernen He beat 2 opponents back to back actually. And one by 3 during a red leaning year when the GOP swept Georgia across the board. If you think he’s weak name one guy who’s not Kemp who’ll definitely beat him.

@payer_single @moonbeamer6 @scott_kernen “Past performances” and he only beat a horrible opponent by less than 1.

I don’t have much faith in the GOP to hold that Wisconsin senate seat in 2028 so the argument of having 50, 51, or 52 senate seats after this year is pretty substantial.

@AlexTheWonder9 @moonbeamer6 @scott_kernen Past performances predict strength and his past performances have been good. Nobody seems to think anyone but Brian Kemp has a chance to beat Warnock.

@moonbeamer6 @payer_single @scott_kernen Wife beater Warnock definitely could lose and you have no reason as to why he wouldn’t,

@BaileePolitics It’s a Kamala +19 district. Under running Kamala by over 6 points as an incumbent no less is not a good performance no matter how you slice it.

@payer_single It was a red year thanks to Kamala and Joe? Summer still almost won by what +13 your point?

This guy always seems to hate progressive women of color…hmmmm

@getKralled @BasedIllinoisan @Bear_Moder We had an election in 2024 where she under-ran Harris by 6 points in her own district.

@BasedIllinoisan @Bear_Moder Source: Trust me bro

@Zoomer_Doomer_ My personal pick would be Deluzio.

Who would you support in the Pennsylvania 2028 Democratic Primary for Senate?

@Kuomozelion @ZFlawles1s @Zoomer_Doomer_ Relying on a blue wave in a presidential year to bail out our candidates is a very bad strategy. We already went through this very assumption in 2020. You should start off with the assumption that 2028 will be a lot redder than 2026.

@ZFlawles1s @Zoomer_Doomer_ 2028 is going to be a blue wave too as long as the republicans are in office.

@CubanInReno @UtilityCalc Technically already do. Leftists are at best 1-5% of the American population. You need 51%.

@UtilityCalc The thing he helped bring about you mean. We might as well build coalition with Kamala and Hillary.

Because Obama is one of the most famous and beloved figures in US history Part of coalition building is tolerating people you dislike in order to achieve a goal

@ForCharlie47 @NathanG48232141 @bens_maps If Tom Tiffany lost in November by 10 you’d never see him in politics again. We would not be arguing over whether or not that was a blowout.

@payer_single @NathanG48232141 @bens_maps lol fag

I predict 2026 is going to be a reverse of 2022 for Republicans and here’s why: Democrats have been talking about a ‘blue wave,’ but that certainly does not seem to be the case. In 2018, during the first Trump midterm where Democrats had sort of a blue wave, voter registration was much better for Democrats in many states, (see table), they were making gains in some states such as Arizona. Now, the Republicans have the largest voter registration advantage in the state’s history. Democrats made gains in some states from 2016 to 2018. The party out of power should make gains in voter registration for a midterm election, and they are basically making none. Nearly every state is redder in voter registration compared to 2018, and even 2024. Arizona has gone from 🔴R +3.6 to 🔴 R+ 7.5. And Florida, has gone from 🔵D +2.6 to a whopping 🔴 R 11.2. @RealSKeshel