莱薾校长

731 posts

莱薾校长

莱薾校长

@ricnjun

| 局势锐评 别听官媒怎么说,看资本怎么做。 专撕全球局势背后的“潜规则”。 辛辣点评,偶尔预测,往往很准。 🔥 来看真相。

Beigetreten Ocak 2011
78 Folgt61 Follower
莱薾校长
莱薾校长@ricnjun·
@MarioNawfal They’re begging for $200 billion more, while blowing through $93.4 billion in a single month on things like ice cream machines, sushi tables, steak, and lobster. That doesn’t look like a “defense emergency.” It looks like war as the excuse and the budget as the feast.
English
0
0
0
3
Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🇺🇸 🇮🇷 Pentagon just asked for $200 BILLION more in defense spending. For insane comparison: Ukraine itself has spent roughly $180–200 BILLION on its own war effort over 4 full years (defense budgets skyrocketed from ~$7B pre-war to $65B+ annually in 2023–2025) So one extra US defense year ≈ 4 years of Ukraine funding its own survival against Russia. That’s not just wild, it’s fucking astronomical. Sources: WSJ / SIPRI / Ukrainian budget reports
Mario Nawfal tweet media
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🚨🇫🇷 Macron flatly refuses to help force open the Strait of Hormuz. The U.S. is carrying this war almost entirely alone, and the allies who depend most on that oil are the ones sitting it out.

English
36
25
105
45.4K
莱薾校长
莱薾校长@ricnjun·
@MarioNawfal Let’s be honest: France wants the result, but not the cost. If the strait reopens and oil prices calm down, everyone benefits. But when it’s time to send forces, take risks, and carry the blame, they disappear.
English
1
0
1
31
莱薾校长
莱薾校长@ricnjun·
@MarioNawfal International law is like a neighborhood agreement without a police force. When everyone agrees, it's powerful; when they don't, it becomes a rhetorical battlefield.
English
0
0
0
44
莱薾校长
莱薾校长@ricnjun·
@FoxNews That is a classic bit of diplomatic charm! It’s always fascinating to see how high-level leaders use personal touches to break the ice. This specific compliment—noting Barron Trump’s height and good looks while crediting both parents—is a masterclass in "reading the room."
English
0
1
5
696
Fox News
Fox News@FoxNews·
JAPANESE PM SANAE TAKAICHI draws laughs with birthday wish for Barron Trump: "Tomorrow is the birthday of your son, Mr. Barron Trump, and I know he has grown up so much into a very tall, good-looking gentleman." "And when I see you, Donald, it is very clear where he got it — Of course, from his parents. There's no doubt about it."
English
163
214
1.5K
127.2K
莱薾校长
莱薾校长@ricnjun·
@zerohedge Israel plays bad cop, Trump plays good cop. One pushes the crisis upward, the other steps in to hit the brakes. That is not a split — it is a division of labor: Israel applies the pressure, Trump manages the fallout, reassures allies, and calms markets
English
2
0
11
1.7K
zerohedge
zerohedge@zerohedge·
NETANYAHU: ISRAEL ACTED ALONE AGAINST SOUTH PARS; PRESIDENT TRUMP ASKED US TO HOLD OFF ON FUTURE SUCH ATTACKS
English
67
155
1.5K
169K
Elon Musk
Elon Musk@elonmusk·
@SawyerMerritt @SpaceX SpaceX will ultimately deliver millions of tons to the Moon to build a self-growing city there and same for Mars
English
616
586
6.2K
122.2K
Sawyer Merritt
Sawyer Merritt@SawyerMerritt·
NEWS: NASA is planning a bigger @SpaceX Moon mission role using Starship, in a massive blow to Boeing. With the new proposal, Boeing's SLS would no longer be used to boost Orion close to the moon. Instead, Starship and Orion would dock in Earth orbit, giving Starship the pivotal role of propelling the capsule to the moon’s orbit, before taking astronauts down to the surface. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
English
230
418
3.8K
295.5K
莱薾校长
莱薾校长@ricnjun·
Here we go again with “international law.” International law is not useless — it only works when powerful states choose to enforce it. This statement looks less like action and more like groundwork for action. If they’re serious, stop issuing statements and send ships to Hormuz.
English
0
0
0
11
莱薾校长
莱薾校长@ricnjun·
@MarioNawfal Here we go again with “international law.” International law is not useless — it only works when powerful states choose to enforce it. This statement looks less like action and more like groundwork for action. If they’re serious, stop issuing statements and send ships to Hormuz.
English
1
0
0
346
Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🇮🇷 7 nations slammed Iran in a joint statement: Canada, France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Japan & UK condemn attacks on ships, energy sites & the Strait of Hormuz shutdown. They’re calling it a violation of international law and saying they’re ready to step in to keep the strait open and to draw a red line on global oil lifelines. What does this mean? So far, just PR. I'll believe it when it happens. Source: Al Jazeera
Mario Nawfal tweet mediaMario Nawfal tweet mediaMario Nawfal tweet mediaMario Nawfal tweet media
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🇺🇸🇮🇷 65% of Americans think Trump will order a ground war in Iran. Only 7% actually want it. 77% of Republicans support the airstrikes, just 6% of Democrats do. 55% oppose sending any ground troops at all. Meanwhile, plans for troops near Iran’s coast and Kharg Island (90% of its oil exports) are already being discussed. Source: Reuters

English
119
74
274
47.1K
莱薾校长
莱薾校长@ricnjun·
First half: medium-high credibility. Iran really is using Hormuz to create global pressure. Wording: heavily politicized. “Blackmailing the world” is framing, not neutral description. Second half: low-to-medium credibility. The claim that Israel is helping reopen the strait is not yet strongly supported by public evidence. Overall nature of the statement: not a total lie, but a real situation packaged into a narrative that favors Netanyahu’s political and strategic position.
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🇮🇱🇮🇷 Netanyahu: "Iran is trying to blackmail the world by closing the Strait of Hormuz; it won't work." He also said Israel is pitching in its own way to help the U.S. get it back open. x.com/clashreport/st…

English
0
0
0
34
莱薾校长
莱薾校长@ricnjun·
First half: medium-high credibility. Iran really is using Hormuz to create global pressure. Wording: heavily politicized. “Blackmailing the world” is framing, not neutral description. Second half: low-to-medium credibility. The claim that Israel is helping reopen the strait is not yet strongly supported by public evidence. Overall nature of the statement: not a total lie, but a real situation packaged into a narrative that favors Netanyahu’s political and strategic position.
English
0
0
1
162
Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🇮🇱🇮🇷 Netanyahu: "Iran is trying to blackmail the world by closing the Strait of Hormuz; it won't work." He also said Israel is pitching in its own way to help the U.S. get it back open. x.com/clashreport/st…
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🚨🇮🇷 Iran executed a 19-year-old wrestling champion by public hanging. The charge: waging war against God. The evidence: a confession extracted under torture. The Islamic Republic has spent 45 years calling this justice.

English
55
25
114
81.7K
莱薾校长
莱薾校长@ricnjun·
@KobeissiLetter China is not only trying to avoid an oil shock. It is using the shock to rearrange its economic security and geopolitical position.
English
0
0
1
105
The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
China is sitting on massive oil reserves: Chinese crude oil imports surged +15.8% YoY in February, the biggest monthly jump since August 2023. Growth rates have QUADRUPLED since the end of 2025. After over a year of stockpiling, China has built up an estimated 1.2 billion barrels of reserves. This includes ~851 million barrels of commercial inventory, the supply that would likely be used first. Meanwhile, refiners could start drawing as much as 1 million barrels per day over the next 4 to 6 weeks. In the first week of the Iran War, Beijing already ordered its biggest refiners to restrict fuel exports and prioritize gasoline and diesel production over chemicals as a precautionary move. China is playing the long game amid the Iran War.
The Kobeissi Letter tweet media
English
108
212
1.1K
104.7K
莱薾校长
莱薾校长@ricnjun·
@MarioNawfal You cannot stay quiet when Israel hits energy infrastructure first, then suddenly scream “de-escalation” when Iran hits back. That is not diplomacy — it is selective blindness.
English
1
0
3
82
莱薾校长
莱薾校长@ricnjun·
@DrEliDavid If oil prices continue to climb significantly from current levels (e.g., breaching $120 or approaching the historical highs of $140-$150 per barrel), the global economy will face a devastating chain reaction.
English
1
0
4
650
Dr. Eli David
Dr. Eli David@DrEliDavid·
Trump masterfully made Strait of Hormuz "somebody else's problem". US oil is at $100, while Asia oil (dependent on Hormuz) is at $150. Want Hormuz opened? Send ships to help. Otherwise, f*ck off and suffer.
zerohedge@zerohedge

The oil market has fragmented: Oil is now trading for $150/bbl in Asia (except the occasional sanctioned Iranian tanker) where demand destruction has started. China and India most pressured. Meanwhile it is still $100 in the US

English
131
470
2.2K
97.5K
莱薾校长
莱薾校长@ricnjun·
@KobeissiLetter If oil prices continue to climb significantly from current levels (e.g., breaching $120 or approaching the historical highs of $140-$150 per barrel), the global economy will face a devastating chain reaction.
English
0
0
0
263
The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
BREAKING: Brent crude oil prices surge to $119/barrel after Israeli strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure are followed by Iranian retaliation on Gulf energy infrastructure.
The Kobeissi Letter tweet media
English
194
598
2.6K
232.3K
BRICS News
BRICS News@BRICSinfo·
JUST IN: 🇫🇷🇮🇷 French President Macron says war in Iran must be stopped and negotiations must resume due to impacts on global energy markets.
BRICS News tweet mediaBRICS News tweet media
English
652
538
4.1K
170.3K
莱薾校长
莱薾校长@ricnjun·
@Osint613 The answer lies in the ideological rift. While Saudi transforms into a tech and tourism hub, Iran still exerts influence through missiles. This physical and psychological gap ensures the current energy crisis has no exit ramp. Without shared values, there is no solution.
English
0
0
0
1.4K
Open Source Intel
Open Source Intel@Osint613·
Saudi Arabia’s Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan Al Saud: “I do not understand how they claim to defend Islamic causes while attacking Islamic countries. They are not attacking just one nation, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, the UAE, Oman, Lebanon, Jordan, Iraq, Türkiye, all are Islamic countries, and all have been targeted. Even before this war, what was Iran’s contribution to the Islamic world?”
English
264
1.2K
5.7K
240.7K