Mehul

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Mehul

Mehul

@risk_return

Macro guy, interested in equities, finance, geopolitics. Astrology enthusiast and unapologetic Hindu! 🙏

United States Beigetreten Kasım 2018
1K Folgt369 Follower
Mehul
Mehul@risk_return·
@Ksidiii Confirmation and recency bias is too prevalent, which can really hurt investors!
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Kris Sidial🇺🇸
This is one of the best short clip segments I’ve heard all year. It’s a message I try to urge my friends and family to internalize. In today’s world, everyone is so conditioned to believe that all you do is “buy stocks on every small dip.” It’s almost a Pavlovian cultural response. But what many people don’t realize is that you can go decades with no real nominal return and that’s when sequence risk becomes very real. People don’t believe it because they haven’t experienced it. On the flip side, I’m not even entirely sure the economy could sustain a 3 year period where the market is down 40% and simply remains there. So many 401(k)s, savings accounts, and target-date programs would be absolutely obliterated, given the embedded leverage that is naturally baked into the overreliance on US equities. In addition to that, there are now money managers stepping into roles where they are responsible for real risk, yet haven’t actually traded through a true event in which market volatility is both sustained and recurring. I’m not trying to sound like a perma-bear, because that mindset can be just as flawed. But when you really dig into the data, you realize there are many periods where markets pull back and don’t just immediately recover. But everyone has become so used to the last 10 years, it’s not even a consideration that it can occur.
Basis Points@basispointpod

Josh Brown on the lost decade for the stock market: "You could've bought the SPY in 2000 and not seen a single dollar of gain until the end of 2009. Two of the worst recessions the country has ever seen happened back to back. And during that time, I just kept buying."

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Mehul
Mehul@risk_return·
@TailThatWagsDog Looks great. Is this data aggregated from signal sigma?
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The Tail That Wags The Dog
The Tail That Wags The Dog@TailThatWagsDog·
Tue Mar 24 | Bedtime SPX Options Analysis Limit Order Book, APR/MAY/JUN regulars, lot size > 10 This one line out of the report sums up institutional sentiment: "The net positioning is unambiguously bullish — institutions are simultaneously buying upside calls and selling downside puts across the entire term structure." Got it? For the full effect with hover circles full of detail - here's the Interactive Link: majestic-donut-053764.netlify.app
The Tail That Wags The Dog tweet media
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Mehul
Mehul@risk_return·
@sachya2002 @desi_bhayo88 Bhai, PKR aur INR mein bahut difference hai, so in INR this is close to 400K INr. Still expensive by stretch of any imagination, but again you cant compare India to Pak’s economy. They dont have one! 😂
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Sachya
Sachya@sachya2002·
'Bulbul ka baccha aa chuka hai' 😸 In Pakistan, they are asking 12 Lakhs for this DABBA 😭 Defender khareedne mai to Pakistan hi bik jayega 🤣
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Mehul
Mehul@risk_return·
The movie starts the same way as it ends! Jaskirat returns home in train, then auto and couldnt go back home! In the end, takes trains, auto and returns right from the doorstep! Peak detailing by @AdityaDharFilms #Dhurandhar2‌TheRevenge
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Mehul
Mehul@risk_return·
@Citrini7 Fewer people trust the Oranje man now. Not a good sign
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Citrini
Citrini@citrini·
I can’t be the only one noticing the seeming diminishing returns of a TACO
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Aksel Kibar, CMT
Aksel Kibar, CMT@TechCharts·
Always expect the unexpected. What is the unexpected right now?
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Mehul
Mehul@risk_return·
@VolSignals Great video. Can we draw similar skew for individual stocks?
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VolSignals
VolSignals@VolSignals·
Skew dropping before implied volatility falls is NOT a good sign for the bulls. Here's why... youtu.be/WYWVPNxbfDc
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Mehul
Mehul@risk_return·
@Citrini7 This is the TACO signal
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Mehul
Mehul@risk_return·
@KrisAbdelmessih Did you try to source data from perplexity finance?
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Kris
Kris@KrisAbdelmessih·
This is the guide Claude gave for getting the data but yea trying to not do all this if someone's infra can just snag it
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Kris
Kris@KrisAbdelmessih·
II could use some help. I'm prepping a game for class #3 of the Investment Beginnings Class I'm running locally for middle and HS kids. I need the trailing 4q data for the following metrics for about 20 stocks on January for each of the past 10 years Is there a fast source?
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Han MF Brolo
Han MF Brolo@bxlewi1·
@bdsams They’re not profitable with the expensive trims. It’s going to be a slog. I hope they don’t get totally consumed by VW along the way.
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Brad Sams
Brad Sams@bdsams·
I think they are going to sell a lot of these.
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Mehul retweetet
Gappy (Giuseppe Paleologo)
Gappy (Giuseppe Paleologo)@__paleologo·
Just got this and I am reading. It’s excellent. The 10 books of the integral edition are too much for me. $16. Still, 900pp. If you don’t want to read it, the “Mahabarata” by Peter Brook (a movie) is free on the Internet Archive. Great. Still, 5hrs of a movie. Ok: read the Bhagavad-Gita. Be Oppenheimer a bit… In sum: get some Mahabarata. Top Ten in universal literature ever, everywhere. Dramatically underrated by non-Indians.
Gappy (Giuseppe Paleologo) tweet media
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