
صالـــح فلّاحی🇮🇷
391 posts

صالـــح فلّاحی🇮🇷
@saaleh_fallahi
بیوتک🔬🧪 الهم اجعل عاقبة امورنا خیرا |برای ایران🇮🇷|






@johnsmithofiran بسیار حرکت کسشریه بعد اصن که چی؟ مگه مبارزه تو گلاسکو و لندن داره اتفاق میوفته؟ همینا خایه ندارن یه چک برن به یه طرفدار آخوند بزنن که یوقت دیپورت نشن. یک مشت کار کسشر و بیاثر که فقط به یه عده کسخل فاز مبارز بودن میده.






















Structural Limits of Pressure on the Iranian Regime - The current Iranian regime is highly unlikely to capitulate under pressure that threatens its core ideological and security pillars. A. From Tehran’s perspective, U.S. demands meaning targeting the nuclear program, missile capabilities, regional proxies, and now freedom of action in the Strait of Hormuz, directly challenge the regime’s foundational principles. These are not bargaining chips; they are central to regime identity and survival. B. Iranian leadership may accept tactical or symbolic compromises, but only insofar as they do not undermine these core pillars. This pattern held prior to the war and is even more pronounced in its aftermath. C. Rather than increasing flexibility, the conflict has reinforced the current regime threat perceptions and ideological rigidity. This further reduces the likelihood of meaningful concessions under coercive pressure. D. Escalation Path is likely by Intensify military and economic pressure, potentially leading to broader confrontation.but short of regime change is unlikely to produce a fundamentally different outcome. As long as the current regime remains in power, it will continue to resist demands that undermine its core interests. The likely result is a return to the same strategic impasse, but with significantly higher costs, including severe disruption to the global economy. E. Expectations that a maritime blockade or sustained pressure will force Iranian capitulation reflect a persistent misunderstanding of the Islamic Republic’s strategic culture. Historically, the regime has demonstrated a willingness to absorb substantial costs rather than concede on core principles. Bottom Line is that Absent a shift in U.S. objectives or a change in the nature of the Iranian regime, continued pressure is unlikely to yield capitulating and will instead increase the risk and cost of renewed war. #iranwar




خبرگزاری تسنیم علنا شروط مقام معظم رهبری را مسخره میکند.





























