obie trice

187 posts

obie trice

obie trice

@taft_greg

Oilman

Beigetreten Ocak 2020
35 Folgt9 Follower
obie trice
obie trice@taft_greg·
@DrewCohenMoney I think the answer they want to hear is to also look at debt and cash flow? Way too many questions to answer to figure out if it's accretive.
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obie trice
obie trice@taft_greg·
@DividendGrowth It isn't really that crowded. I think it's a big deal as not much happens in Omaha.
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Dividend Growth Investor
Dividend Growth Investor@DividendGrowth·
I received pushback for this tweet two years ago Many claimed they attend the meeting not for Buffett, but to connect with other like-minded investors It would be interesting to see the turnout in Omaha in May 2026 for the Berkshire Meeting
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Dividend Growth Investor
Dividend Growth Investor@DividendGrowth·
I've been a Berkshire Hathaway shareholder for 10 consecutive years This is also the 10th consecutive year in which I've avoided attending the Berkshire Hathaway meeting I don't see the point of paying a ton of money and spending a ton of time fighting the crowds, when I can experience it on my own schedule
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obie trice
obie trice@taft_greg·
@WillBiddy_ They have a baby moat here in that their breweries have economies of scale. Not sure about the long term trend, but it's not a bad run company
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Will Biddy
Will Biddy@WillBiddy_·
$TAP is a major brewery (Coors and Miller lite) They are currently trading at: -Market Cap of $8billion -FCF yield 13% They did: -$11 billion in revenue TTM -$1.07 billion FCF TTM -Repurchased 5.2% of the shares outstanding Is this a deep value play or is the downfall of alcohol really here?
Will Biddy tweet media
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obie trice
obie trice@taft_greg·
@DrewCohenMoney @borrowed_ideas $FND is so much further ahead of HD and Lowe's for tile and flooring. They have what is in style now, not 5 years ago. Also quality grout, lots of options, carry metal edging in stock, large format tile, etc. Plus it is old school with full built out displays
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Drew Cohen
Drew Cohen@DrewCohenMoney·
Interesting chart from @borrowed_ideas on how $FND has grown from 19% of Home Depot's and Lowe's flooring sales to now almost 38%. If you don't already, you should absolutely subscribe to and follow @borrowed_ideas He is a fantastic analyst and produces an incredible amount of insightful commentary. Enjoyed he's latest piece on $FND, that also even had an updated $CSU valuation at the end
Drew Cohen tweet media
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obie trice
obie trice@taft_greg·
@ScottBarrettDFB In the realm of short QBs is Pavia closer to Kyler or Dillon Gabriel?
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Scott Barrett
Scott Barrett@ScottBarrettDFB·
Every Power Conference QB w/ >75 rushing YPG and >270 passing YPG in a single season + per PFF, since 2014 Diego Pavia, 2025 [proj. UDFA] Jayden Daniels, 2023 [Round 1] Jalen Hurts, 2019 [Round 2] Kyler Murray, 2018 [Round 1] Lamar Jackson, 2017 [Round 1] Lamar Jackson, 2016 [Round 1] Deshaun Watson, 2015 [Round 1] /end of list
Scott Barrett tweet media
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obie trice
obie trice@taft_greg·
@WillBiddy_ ADBE due to ROIC far in excess of WACC. Uber is close though....just a younger company so I would argue they haven't had enough time to prove the moat yet.
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Will Biddy
Will Biddy@WillBiddy_·
Which company has a wider moat? $ADBE $HOOD $AMD $UBER This is obvious to me 🤷‍♂️
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obie trice
obie trice@taft_greg·
@DrewCohenMoney lol, I remember using all of them. Just keep trying different search engines until you find the answer
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Drew Cohen
Drew Cohen@DrewCohenMoney·
Google wasn't the first to offer search In fact, they competed with Yahoo!, Altavista, Excite, and a dozen more. They were 4 years late to the market and ultimately dominated. The ultimate AI winners, may not be the currently leaders today.
Drew Cohen tweet media
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obie trice
obie trice@taft_greg·
@WillBiddy_ Sales declines, but if they start to sniff a true turnaround then worth buying.
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Will Biddy
Will Biddy@WillBiddy_·
$LULU Lulu was once seen as a very high quality company by the market. In the past 5 years it has been destroyed while revenue growth has maintained at a solid 22% CAGR. Stock is now trading at an 11 P/E Five years ago it traded at a 66 P/E Opportunity or Value trap here?
Will Biddy tweet media
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obie trice
obie trice@taft_greg·
@elonmusk This is why you always take pictures next to statues...
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obie trice
obie trice@taft_greg·
@askjussi Not sure, the Vici leases will keep them isolated from issues short term, but if it's a structural downfall it eventually will impact them
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Jussi Askola, CFA
Jussi Askola, CFA@askjussi·
Interestingly, VICI Properties $VICI was widely trimmed by active REIT managers in Q4. Concerns included Las Vegas foot traffic and tenant worries. So far it looks more like a “sell the rumor” situation than a fundamental problem.
Jussi Askola, CFA tweet media
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obie trice
obie trice@taft_greg·
@TheRayMyers It really all comes down to one thing...firefly. Can they make firefly a great product to where enterprise clients don't see a need to switch. That's it, that is where the risk lies.
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Ray Myers
Ray Myers@TheRayMyers·
Adobe, the Creative SaaS Giant! $ADBE -44% 5Y 🔴 🔴 🔴 -29% 6M 🔴 🔴 🔴 - Really Strong Margins - Incredible 9.8% BuyBack - $26B ARR - Cheap Valuation - 30% Below Consensus Price Target Will $ADBE overcome this AI Disruption narrative? Or are the bears right, and AI will disrupt $ADBE?
Ray Myers tweet media
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Newcomer Investor
Newcomer Investor@NewcomerInvest·
Brookfield Corp ( $BN ) has finally been dethroned in my portfolio. No longer #1. $CSU has also entered the top 10!
Newcomer Investor tweet media
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obie trice
obie trice@taft_greg·
@Ihartitz Just saw a baby kick in the womb so hard...FG record broken in 2047...book it!
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Ian Hartitz
Ian Hartitz@Ihartitz·
If you guys think this 2027 QB draft class is good — just wait until you see the 2028 group
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obie trice
obie trice@taft_greg·
@DrewCohenMoney Haha, was a bit brutal, but I need to hold my bias back and think about it.
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Drew Cohen
Drew Cohen@DrewCohenMoney·
If you go to purchase an item on Mercado Libre, you can apply for a credit card at the same time and use that credit card in that purchase That is one way the ecommerce platform helps acquire customers for the Mercado Pago
Drew Cohen tweet media
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obie trice
obie trice@taft_greg·
@QualityInvest5 I would recommend you read up on insurance cycles. I agree this is concerning, but insurance is such a massive opportunity on sell offs especially if they are close to book value (which this one isn't). I have many 5+ baggers buying insurance on the cheap.
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Aria Radnia 🇮🇷
Aria Radnia 🇮🇷@ariaradnia·
Pro Tip: Don't buy declining companies $UNH
Aria Radnia 🇮🇷 tweet media
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obie trice
obie trice@taft_greg·
@QualityInvest5 The auto cycle: cool new idea-competitive advantage for 5 years - everyone catches up - price war - repeat with next cool idea
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Aria Radnia 🇮🇷
Aria Radnia 🇮🇷@ariaradnia·
Keep telling yourselves there's only going to be 1-2 AV winners Meanwhile $UBER will focus on signing the 10-20+ AV companies that are solving (or have solved) the technology 👇
Aria Radnia 🇮🇷 tweet media
dara khosrowshahi@dkhos

It’s not a car! A few months ago, I took my first ride in a @Zoox robotaxi with co-founder and CTO Jesse Levinson. It was clear from the start that their commitment to safety and purpose-built AV tech would make them an incredible partner for @Uber. Coming to Vegas this summer, LA next year!

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obie trice
obie trice@taft_greg·
@DrewCohenMoney For me it's putting money into a business or venture with the expectation of earning more than you put in over the long term.
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Drew Cohen
Drew Cohen@DrewCohenMoney·
When I used to interview, I'd aways have one question: "What is investing?" I was surprised how unsatisfying ever answer I got was. So I came up with my own definition. "Investing is the PROCESS of estimating the PROBABILITIES of potential future PROFITS" Process, Probabilties, Profits (catchier than cash flows) In my opinion it needs to have those 3 elements to be considered investing, and not speculating or gambling. Disagree? What is your definition of investing?
Vivien | Alphabourse@AlphaBourse_

🔎 C'est quoi investir ? J'aime beaucoup les définitions proposées par @DrewCohenMoney "Investir, c'es être à l'aise avec les hypothèses qu'on fait" "Investir c'est juger les hypothèses avec lesquelles nous sommes à l'aise" "Investir, c'est le PROCESSUS d'estimer les PROBABILITÉS de potentiels PROFITS futurs" ▶️ Si vous n'êtes pas à l'aise avec vos hypothèses : vous pouvez être encore plus conservateur ▶️ Si vous n'êtes toujours pas à l'aise : vous n'êtes pas OBLIGÉ d'investir !

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obie trice
obie trice@taft_greg·
@QualityInvest5 Have you used Reddit much? It is a lot of the same stuff over and over again.
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Aria Radnia 🇮🇷
Aria Radnia 🇮🇷@ariaradnia·
Other than "Google can change how search works" Is there ANY other valid bear thesis to Reddit? $RDDT $GOOGL
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