Tim Fidgeon
331 posts
@ArcadiaEconomic The Steele Dossier ... how many said that was all fact?
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Trump’s started taking action, that according to CNBC, over 100 legal experts say would qualify him as a war criminal…
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@GringoInvesting @bullbearlovech1 @TMTLongShort I’m with you on countering the Chinese, of course; I’m an American and I also know what being an American should mean. I take China very seriously.
I worry about Trump’s approach to our allies. Yes they are a bunch of free-loaders, but there is such a thing as going too far
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Before we fully turn the screws on Europe we will annihilate Canada. Full medieval shit. No prisoners. It’s going to be a bloodbath.
And Europe is going to watch in horror and confusion.
And then they’ll ask themselves “if he could do this to Canada what might he do to Spain”
Elbows up, USMCA will be fun 🫡
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@GringoInvesting @bullbearlovech1 @TMTLongShort I would ask you to consider - as one American with his eye on the Chinese to another - that Trump’s style / how far he goes is very risky for actually breaking the alliances rather than artfully maneuvering the allies into greater burden-sharing and alignment (with us).
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@TMTLongShort This is from 2023, being neutral between China and the US has been a policy being floated in Europe for a while now. Even when Biden was willing to contribute $113 billion to Ukraine from 2022 to the end of 2023
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Now you are starting to understand why decoupling was chosen as the optimal strategy.
By forcing Europe to choose a sphere it removes the possibility of them betraying us at the worst possible time.
And no I am not using the word betray in the moral sense. I don’t believe in morality. I believe in realpolitik.
And we are about to realpolitik the shit out of them until they beg to be vassals again.
Just Loki@LokiJulianus
If China invaded Taiwan, Europeans would say it wasn't their fight, shut down our overflights, and try to cut a deal with the PRC.
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It *could* be, as I’ve been arguing for weeks… which is why escalation to try to deescalate on US terms is still the most logical path ahead.
If that then works, 2026 opens up all kinds of ‘reverse perestroika’ possibilities (and necessities).
Niall Ferguson@nfergus
American Suez. A doleful essay for Good Friday. "There is now a rising probability that Trump’s war backfires on him much as Eden’s did—economically, politically, and geopolitically. Which raises the question: Is this the American Suez?" 1/5
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The gold market whale has been revealed. 🇹🇷
zerohedge@zerohedge
Turkey has sold 6 years worth of accumulated gold in 3 weeks: Erdogan has dumped a shocking 120 tons of gold (almost $20BN) since the war started, and 70 tons last week. It's amazing gold is not much lower, and begs the question: who is buying all the gold Turkey is selling?
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@PCBarnes123 @GeoffreyGo94064 @RedtheLinux @TalkTV @jkyleofficial @danwootton ...it gets it good and hard :(
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@GeoffreyGo94064 @RedtheLinux @TalkTV @jkyleofficial @danwootton You really put far too much into the conspiracy idea. Most, are too busy just trying to remember their email passwords. And as for Marxist agenda, the country voted this way again and again. A society gets the government it deserves
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Blaming people who don't vote for the mess that others voted for is the height of madness. Put the blame where it belongs with the political process, with the politicians & the voters who take part in it. @TalkTV @jkyleofficial
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@EuroBriefing Europe has risked hanging itself from a tree of virtue and not even realised it :/
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In our latest podcast, our team discusses the long-term consequences of Europe's decision to deny US requests for the use of joint bases and overflight rights for its war against Iran. This, plus the repeated assertion that “This is not our war” has given Trump a catchy political narrative that his political opponents may struggle to counter.
eurointelligence.com/Podcasts
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But you clearly didn’t make this political risk call at the beginning. Instead you have now predicted every outcome, in effect circling all letters on a multiple choice test. As any 8 year old knows this doesn’t mean you got it right. It means you are pathetically evading responsibility.
Niall Ferguson@nfergus
"The crisis begins as an attempt to overthrow an unfriendly regime in the Middle East, in concert with the state of Israel. It is also a struggle for control of a key commercial waterway. Despite lacking a plausible basis in international law and popular support at home, the military operation is nevertheless a success in its own terms. The armed forces of the invaded state are swiftly overwhelmed." 2/5
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If European states believe that they are on the safe side, they are unfortunately wrong.
Systemic risk-driven global crises come in waves due to the multiplicative cascading effects across sectors and fields. You better panic early than later when the crisis hits like tsunami.
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@SantiagoAuFund There is a lot of 'Next Token' thought/speech in people (myself included!)
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Foreigners Commit Nearly Half Of All Rapes In Austria, Syrians Largest Foreign Group Of Suspects zerohedge.com/markets/foreig…
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@timfidgeon @MotivationSober @MarioNawfal Thermal will be the leader inside 3-5 years . The innovation in that segment is mind blowing
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@MotivationSober @MarioNawfal We haven’t got enough critical metals to build 25% of green energy . This idea we have infinite metal to build green energy , AI , electrification all at once is easily disprovable .
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