Vantage Data House

hello, world! So we fixed polling...

@SwannMarcus89 You’re spot on… plus there’s an egregious amount of poll herding going on. Pollsters would rather be wrong with the crowd, than risk being wrong alone. Here are the numbers to prove it: app.vantagedatahouse.com/analysis/TheBl…

The pollsters don't want to be wrong in the same direction three times in a row so I legitimately think pollsters are overrepresenting Trump support by a wide margin For him to win he needs low turnout and based on the last few days it doesn't look like he's getting it

The idea that Trump is running the better campaign is so clearly wrong that I don't even know where to begin He said immigrants are eating cats during a nationally televised debate and outsourced his entire GoTV to Charlie Kirk and Scott Presler

We’re pausing data collection in NC, GA, and FL due to the hurricane. We’ll let everyone know when we’re back up and running. Stay safe out there!

@JeffConard33 We are paying for it. We are a start up with a new business model, we do our own independent polling and have interested parties subscribe to our data. We have republicans and dems as customers, we don't have any political agenda, we just sell data.

@vantage_dh Take note that this is an AD Wonder who’s paying for this?

@tnols82 @Polymarket Uh oh—secret’s out! I’ve been waiting for someone to spot this use case. There are some huge +EV plays out there👀

@USA_Polling Vantage / Sep 24th / n=1200 We think think this gap tightens from here

Georgia Presidential Polling: Harris (D): 49% Trump (R): 47% Bullfinch / Sept 23, 2024 / n=600

@realTrumpNewsX Find out here: app.vantagedatahouse.com/PollExplorer/H…

@realTrumpNewsX Check this out app.vantagedatahouse.com/PollExplorer/H…

@USA_Polling Check this out app.vantagedatahouse.com/PollExplorer/H…

I think we're underestimating the chances of this happening

@RepLuna @RepScottPerry @larry_kudlow @RepLuna looking good, follow for more

The infiltration of violent gangs from Venezuela is costing New York City taxpayers $12 billion. It’s clear we need leadership that’s tough on immigration and prioritizes border security to protect our communities. @RepScottPerry @larry_kudlow

Proud to be a supporter and early adopter of this incredible product by my friends Bishop George and Jim Kitchens. Their innovative product makes polling affordable predictive. ❤️ #lalege #lagov prnewswire.com/news-releases/…

Folks, we just launched the public version of our daily polling platform. If you want to follow the 2024 presidential polling like a pro, sign up here: app.vantagedatahouse.com/userregistrati…

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@JustinParmenter Seems to be so... Stein dominates among female voters, pulling in 56.3% compared to Robinson’s 35.4%. On the flip side, Robinson has a slight edge with men, leading 48.7% to Stein’s 47.8%. I think it's safe to say there's definitely a major gender divide in this race...

Female voters dislike Republican for NC governor Mark Robinson by a wide margin. Maybe he shouldn’t have publicly said abortions happen because women can’t “keep their skirts down.” 🤔 #ncpol

'No on 3' doesn't seem to be making a dent in terms of the numbers...yet. A3 is projected to pass among likely voters with 62.55% in favor and 27.35% against. Typically, around 95% of undecided voters tend to break against measures on election day, which would bring the final numbers to about 63.05% for and 36.9% against.

#FLPol: The group 'No on 3' is placing their first reservations of the year on Florida's Amendment 3 Marijuana Legalization Initiative. So far, we've seen $3.6M placed from them. Future Reservations: - Anti-Marijuana Legalization: $3.6M - Pro-Marijuana Legalization: $17.4M

A3 is currently projected to pass among likely voters with 62.55% in favor and 27.35% against. Historically... around 95% of undecided voters tend to break against measures on election day, which would bring the final numbers to about 63.05% for and 36.9% against. In SD17, support for A3 is even higher, with 76.27% in favor and 16.05% opposed.

All of this is FALSE. A3 legalizes cannabis for adult use + gives Floridians personal freedom. It does NOT create a monopoly. The legislature can and should enact laws allowing small biz competition in the cannabis market. NOTHING in A3 bans them from doing that. Vote YES on 3.

Follow @vantage_dh for fresh presidential numbers every day... or don't 🤷 If you're feeling curious, go to vantagedatahouse.com to reserve your spot on for our free platform (coming soon) ...

GEORGIA (1200 LV 9/11) #GAElection2024 #gapol U.S. PRESIDENT Harris 49.2% (+1.1) Trump 48.1% Someone else: 0.5% Undecided: 2%

Polling will never be the same... don't miss it 🧵