nearly 4 years of "AGI is a few months away" predictions...
Phil Metzger@DrPhiltill
Rumors I’m hearing from people working on frontier models is that AGI is later this year, while AI hard-takeoff is just 2-3 years away.
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I will maintain my prediction: AGI will not arise from LLMs alone. If it is created, it will require some other technology or combination of technologies.
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@TheLincoln this is such a lazy ass chollet-esque take. as if not all new model releases have some sort of new technology. essentially equivalent to saying no currently existing model is agi
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@TheLincoln waiting for another breakthrough that'll be a step function increase in capability like it was with reasoning, only for people like you to announce they were right all along because they made a statement that literally can't be false
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