AndyMac

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AndyMac

AndyMac

@AndyrooMac

Agressively optomistic but realistically pragmatic 🌊🤙🏼. $rklb🚀, $oust 🤖, $brun ⛅, $slnh🔋, $asts📱, $abcl🧬, $voyg🛰️

Tazmania Se unió Ocak 2017
342 Siguiendo440 Seguidores
AndyMac
AndyMac@AndyrooMac·
Yep, it's been been a great investment for me. Rode it up to $5 trimming along the way and re-accumulated around $1 and under. Check out this article, you'll fomo pretty quick once you start digging, it's still at a very good price right now though, think $nbis around $20 but could be bigger actually if they execute. It's a very impressive team executing at an elite level so far. x.com/i/status/20589…
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Tony
Tony@FinTonyX·
@AndyrooMac Interesting, I’ll have to check them out. Also what a snipe on $SLNH. Nice.
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Tony
Tony@FinTonyX·
Some $SLNH math: If $SLNH were to have the same MC as $CIFR, that would be a 33x from today’s level. Given that $SLNH plans to have a larger pipeline, it’s not entirely out of reach. If $SLNH were to have the same MC as $IREN, that would be a 75x. A little more far fetched given $IREN pipeline will be larger than $SLNH But you can still see the potential. At the very least I can see $SLNH 4x from here to $1B MC. Not out of reach at all.
Tony@FinTonyX

As you may know, $SLNH is planning a buildout of its 4.3 GW facility. Currently priced at a ~$207M MC, that would put it's value at ~$48.1M/GW, or $0.048B/GW. Meanwhile, adjacent names are valued much higher for about the same capacity or even less: $CIFR: plans to have 3.4 GW by 2029 - $7.69B MC / 3.4 GW = 2.261B/GW $IREN: plans to have 5+ GW by 2028 - $17B / 5 GW = 3.4B/GW $NBIS: will (allegedly) have 4 GW by EOY - $49.76B / 4 GW = 12.44B/GW Something is definitely wrong here. Either the market has overpriced every neocloud/data center name, OR $SLNH is being severely overlooked amongst its peers... While $NBIS should be accounted for slightly differently since its facility will be up and running by EOY, you can see how much differently these names are valued in comparison. $SLNH should be no exception as it plans to have a larger pipeline than both $CIFR and $NBIS, while being valued at a percentage of these names. Even $TE is valued almost 10x higher than $SLNH with a similar roadmap... Now, this isn't an exact apples to apples comparison. You have to consider execution risk, management, form of energy used, macro factors, etc. However, the theme is there, and the asymmetry is obvious. You can see by the recent volume and the PA over the last couple months that people are catching on. For clarification, I am not bearish on $CIFR $IREN $NBIS or other adjacent names. I do believe that this sector will be leading the markets in the coming quarters or even for a few years to come. However, the play for $SLNH is more than asymmetrical. $SLNH has some serious catching up to do, especially once execution stops being a question of "if" and begins being a question of "when"...

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AndyMac
AndyMac@AndyrooMac·
Yeah, they're miles ahead in terms of asset investment and management quality but I do really like their approach around energy supply as it solves one of the primary objections around hpc/dc right now. Also worth looking at $brun, they are an even more impressive early Neo cloud provider. Tbh I invested 4x more in them than $slnh although I have been in $slnh since $.50 so 🤷🏽‍♂️
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Tony
Tony@FinTonyX·
That’s what I’m saying. However, both $IREN and $SLNH both plan for their pipelines to be operational by 2029-2030. $IREN should be bigger than $SLNH as its pipeline will be larger as well as the fact that its financials and other metrics are much healthier. But it still goes to show how undervalued $SLNH is.
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AndyMac
AndyMac@AndyrooMac·
@RKLBMan $oust is my. No2 holding after $rklb. Been patiently waiting for $amba to pull back to mid $60's but it's looking increasingly unlikely 🤷🏽‍♂️
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RocketMan
RocketMan@RKLBMan·
Space looking juicy premarket. But don't overlook at robotics $AMBA $OUST 👀
RocketMan tweet mediaRocketMan tweet media
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AndyMac
AndyMac@AndyrooMac·
@asianinvestors Also, if you've made 1600% paper gains one might think that realising some profits is wise. Certainly nothing wrong with that 🤷🏽‍♂️
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The Asian Investor
The Asian Investor@asianinvestors·
I know many investors of $SIVE are getting worried about risk profile after such a large rally. And also due to the amount of bear posting on X recently, saying it's way overvalued, and correction will come in after earnings. I urge you to conduct your own research into the stock. Understand the business, the industry and the numbers. Once you grow convicted with your thesis, no one can spread FUD. Don't panic sell over some fake rumour
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AndyMac
AndyMac@AndyrooMac·
Once the crowd catch on to $brun she's gonna be one wild ride 🔥🚀 "$brun is the only public NeoCloud that is GAAP profitable" $brun GAAP profitability is the most underappreciated fact in the NeoCloud sector. CoreWeave lost $740M in a single quarter. Nebius is still GAAP-negative. BRUN generated $4.8M in GAAP net income. At 1.8x FY27 EV/Revenue, the gap to Nebius's 7-8x is not justified by any fundamental difference in business quality — it is simply a function of size and visibility. Revenue Quality at 66% adjusted EBITDA margin vs CoreWeave's 56% and Nebius's 45% guidance, and critically GAAP net income of $4.8M — BRUN is the only public NeoCloud that is GAAP profitable. That is not a "show me" business. The $940M contracted book at ~3yr terms generating $313M/year baseline = 84% of FY2026 exit ARR already under signed contract. Revenue quality at this stage is exceptional.
GIF
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AndyMac
AndyMac@AndyrooMac·
Many thanks, Great article too. I think if it retraces to the mid 70's for the gap fill i'll likely take up a position. feel this has a decent probability as it aligns nicely with trend line supports, 50% fib and will sit around the 100 and 200day ema's that are converging. What is your cost basis on this one?
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leki ⚔️
leki ⚔️@mkfilko·
$SIVE $SIVEF $SIVE.ST $LPK Dedicated TA post for 220526 Both names looking super bullish here! $SIVE Wow. On the daily, SIVE broke through the 1.618 fib extension (68.15 SEK) easily after clearing the previous 56.50 resistance, closed at 72.90 SEK (+23.45%). We may be developing a three white soldiers pattern here, three strong consecutive bullish candles, which is a classic continuation signal. On the fundamental side, the MOU between the US and Sweden is certainly connected to SIVE given the importance of its role in the future of AI and photonics. And look at that monthly chart, completely breaking above the all time high from 2021. On the higher timeframe this still looks very bullish. 10EMA on the daily sits at 54.60, 20EMA at 47.10, both well below price. The 10EMA on the daily remains the cleanest add zone on any pullback. $LPK LPK turning the corner nicely. We reclaimed the 10EMA on the daily (22.30), held it as support, and broke through the golden pocket (0.618 to 0.65, around 22.70 to 23.60). Closed at €24.80 (+15.35%). The next big resistance is the 0.786 fib at €27.40, then the 0.886 at €30.20, so watch how price acts around those levels. Zooming out to the monthly, the LPK chart honestly looks like what SIVE was a couple of months back. If the same thing plays out, this could run as high as €50 (1.618 fib at 50.8), and honestly don't be surprised if it does. €22.70 to €23.60 golden pocket is now the area to hold as support, with the 10EMA being the line to defend. A lot of things are aligning for both of these names. I remain bullish and think they continue to be winners in the coming weeks and months. Position accordingly. Just my 2c.
leki ⚔️ tweet medialeki ⚔️ tweet medialeki ⚔️ tweet medialeki ⚔️ tweet media
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AndyMac
AndyMac@AndyrooMac·
Just as an additional note, from a purely technical perspective there is no way you would buy this chart. The top blue line at 90sek is a fib extension based on extreme over bought territory, charts arent reality but probability wise I would be very surprised if it doesnt correct in some way from that level. Add to that declining volume at these levels, rsi close to cooked, parabolic with no consolidation to fall back on, miles away from all ema's. Best time to buy is always under 200day ema as shown in this chart but its way extended from there so for this chart I would be looking at Fib 50% or 44sek to start scaling and Fib 61.8% or 35sek as the key buy in level as this also aligns with the 100 day ema. If it doesnt hit those levels i pass and move onto something else.
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AndyMac
AndyMac@AndyrooMac·
For sure, I am aware of all that and if i was in around 45-50sek I would be holding/buying based on the buzz and future opportunity but the revenue and income gap vs valuation is just too vast to buy here for me, currently trading at 250x sales, even $nvda's extreme levels were 45x sales. They own approx 1,500mil sek in assets and projected sales for 2026 is 434mil sek and 2027 is 524mil sek so when you look at a 25bil sek valuation on those metrics, it just does not compute, it makes the assumption that they are the next $tsla and whilst they are awesome, they are not that, great stock but as a rule i like to eneter a stock at the beginning of a run up, not post 2000%... Are you still buying at these levels?
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mon
mon@moninvestor·
$SIVE keeps going. 😅 Congrats to everyone who got in early and is still invested.
mon tweet media
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AndyMac
AndyMac@AndyrooMac·
@RKLBMan I'm dislexic, 95% of the time I type "the" it comes out as teh, I even had to correct this sentence pointing out that fact 🤣🤦‍♂️
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RocketMan
RocketMan@RKLBMan·
I've been horrendous with typos lately. Really need to reread my posts 😂 You think by now X would have a spell check option or something
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samurai
samurai@Samurai__Stock·
What stock is the best buying opportunity right now?
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AndyMac
AndyMac@AndyrooMac·
pretty much my thinking, i read the same. Its high R/R for sure, much like $lwlg. Highly speculative and the gap between current valuation and actual revenues is vast. I was looking at a small starter, around 5% of my port vs $oust which I think is much more robust and undervalued where I entered around 12% of my port with full confidence. Earnings in 4 days could really see a substantial retrace so I am watching there for a possible small entry. It did lead me to $seye via @leki which is well worth a look, I think i will look at an entry there on a pullback, i suspect around 65sek
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mon
mon@moninvestor·
I've been reading what the experts think about this stock. On the bull side, Tim Savageaux at Northland Securities named Sivers a 2026 top pick in his Photonics and Lasers coverage, with an Outperform rating. On the bear side, Global Equity Briefing published a piece titled "Asymmetric Photonics Opportunity or Hype?" warning that most of Sivers' future value depends on production ramps that haven't happened yet, and any delays could cause the stock to drop significantly. So the experts like the company. But not one of them thinks the stock is worth what people are paying for it right now. Plus the stock is very, very high right now, and I personally avoid stocks that look like this. I'd stay away for a while.
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RocketMan
RocketMan@RKLBMan·
What are your HIGHEST conviction stocks on a 5-10 year time horizon? Like the stocks that you absolutely don't care what the price is today. You KNOW it's going to be a multibagger years from now. Coffee can stock. For me, it's $RKLB (even with its current froth), $ASTS, and $NBIS. I also like to keep an incubator of the "next" potential high conviction stocks at small positions until my conviction is strong enough to go heavy.
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AndyMac
AndyMac@AndyrooMac·
@mkfilko oh, i meant specific to $seye i tend to use technicals to look for entries and exits but fundamentals to look at where i think the price can go.
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leki ⚔️
leki ⚔️@mkfilko·
Hey Andy thanks for asking, it’s actually just a confluence of many factors. For $SIVE From TA: > just broke through strong resistance > printed 3 white soldiers bullish pattern > volume increase From FA: > institutional flow from index inclusion > increased emphasis on them being an important player in the space etc. It really depends on the stock, so many bullish signals make me confident in the higher targets. Each signal adds to the probability that it’ll happen, of course it can always be wrong. Hope this helps
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AndyMac
AndyMac@AndyrooMac·
@mkfilko did you have any addittional resources that make you confident about reaching higher price targets?
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leki ⚔️
leki ⚔️@mkfilko·
@AndyrooMac That is fair! Yeah whenever I come across a new position I always struggle whether I should rotate existing positions into it haha. Thanks for sharing man, worth keeping on your watchlist though
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AndyMac
AndyMac@AndyrooMac·
@jrouldz $lmnd doesnt for the profile sadly, management have made some pretty gross statements glorifying some of idf's most disgusting actions. I used to be an investor and sold.
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Dr J Rould
Dr J Rould@jrouldz·
I love investing in companies whose mission is to make the world better for humanity What can be better than investments that deliver returns AND help people? Some examples from my own portfolio: $SRTA - Organ tranfers and transplant logitics network. As their operation scales, more lives can be saved more efficiently $DFTX - Psychedelic therapy for generalized anxiety disorder and depression. The current treatment-standard for these conditions are a lifetime of daily pills + therapy. 10s of millions of Americans take SSRIs. Yet DFTX trials seem to show arguably more effective treatment for anxiety and depression from ONE SINGLE DOSE of their psychedelic therapy product. Cannot be understated how excited I am about the prospects here (but note I have already multibagged several times over on this so im not adding) $ARKG - maybe I just want to help Cathie Wood in sympathy 😆 but really - I believe genomics will ultimately revolutionize healthcare and my working thesis is that AI will be a major catalyst for what has been painfully slow progress since the completion of the human genome project (completed in 2003). Too difficult/speculative to pick individual winners so I settle for an index. *note - a lot of biotech fits the "trying to help people" description, but also generally carries extreme risk* $CRWD - less dramatic, but endpoint security protecting millions of people/businesses daily from cyberthreats. $LMND - insurance without the typical nightmarish flow of dealing with insurance companies thanks to AI automation $JOBY - eVTOLs will ultimately be far safer for passengers than helicopters and far less nuisance to surrounding people. They are several orders of magnitude quieter, and because all 6 rotors/engines are independent systems, there is no single point of failure. If one fails the other 5 compensate for a safe landing. We need not discuss what happens if a helicopter rotor fails. Alternative energy solutions ( $TE ) can break dependence on fossil fuels I also feel this way about certain mega cap companies but the ethical line is of course blurred far deeper. $AAPL has connected humans in unimaginable ways after spending decades dedicated to quality user experience. $AMZN has ushered a new golden age of consumerism. $GOOG ushered an information access revolution and $META a revolution of social connection and $NVDA is ushering the AI revolution today. And companies like $XYZ $SOFI $JPM work to make finance/banking more accessible for people daily. But we all know the ethical concerns often outweigh societal benefits on these and I am not here for ethical debate 😂 Along similar lines, my newest pick (that I am still gate keeping 😆) has use-case potential from humanitarian angles to datacenters. These are exciting times to invest! I will share that position outside the sub after it hits my first target 🤣 Thanks for reading my Saturday thoughts, anyone who made it to the bottom here 😁🫡
Dr J Rould tweet mediaDr J Rould tweet mediaDr J Rould tweet mediaDr J Rould tweet media
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AndyMac
AndyMac@AndyrooMac·
You can if you have the 🪨's. I mean thats how Kevin grew his account so fast, he didnt change the strategy that was working when he had more at stake. I have a very small account, I have grown it from $5k to $21k in 12 months and I am being just as aggressive now as I did then. The plan is to to take $20k to $80k this year by maintaining what i'm doing.
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Kevin Xu
Kevin Xu@kevinxu·
when the numbers are small, they show percentages when the percentages are small, they show numbers only the real ones show both
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AndyMac
AndyMac@AndyrooMac·
@kevinxu at this point you and @aleabitoreddit are both just dick swinging at each other, maybe if they touch you might find a special kind of love 🤷‍♂️ X must be only 2nd to the Presidents office in terms of scales of covert narcisism🤣
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