Tweet fijado

During the 2021 cycle, Bitcoin dropped over 15% daily on 10+ occasions from the 2020 halving to the Nov 2021 top.
We're 8 months into 2025 and guess how many 15%+ daily drops? ZERO.
The only time Bitcoin printed a -15% daily candle since the 2024 halving was during the yen carry trade unwind in August 2024, a macro event that hit all risk assets.
Bitcoin's volatility is dying thanks to institutional adoption and ETF flows creating natural buyers on every dip.
Don't expect 70-80% bear market drawdowns anymore. The institutional bid provides a floor that didn't exist in retail-dominated cycles.
Unless Coinbase or MicroStrategy gets FTXed, of course. But barring black swan events, the days of Bitcoin losing 75% of its value might be over.
This volatility compression signals Bitcoin's evolution from speculative toy to institutional reserve asset.

English





















