Alan Bullock
1.1K posts

Alan Bullock
@MasterBullyboy
Exercise physiologist, options are my own, MSc
Se unió Nisan 2014
152 Siguiendo145 Seguidores

@CryptoNobler Weren’t you also the person that said this the other day (10th mar) - just point out you were wrong

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🚨 WARNING: SOMETHING VERY UNUSUAL IS HAPPENING RIGHT NOW!!
Silver is trading at ~$72 in the West…
But in China, it just surged to $150.
Yes, DOUBLE the price.
Let that sink in.
This is NOT normal.
And this is NOT just a random discrepancy.
Let me break it down simply:
Markets are supposed to stay aligned.
When the same asset trades at drastically different prices across regions, it signals stress in the system.
We’re not talking about a small premium.
We’re talking about a FULL 2x divergence between East and West.
That’s the part most people miss.
Retail sees “silver at $72” and thinks that’s the global price.
Smart money watches where price is breaking away.
Because that’s where reality is shifting first.
Now connect the dots.
If China is already pricing silver at ~$150…
Then the Western price at ~$75 is lagging.
Badly.
And gaps like this don’t stay open forever.
They resolve.
Violently.
Either:
The Chinese price collapses…
Or the Western price catches up.
And in a tightening physical market, you already know which direction is more likely.
That’s what matters.
This isn’t about a normal move.
This is about price discovery starting in one region before spreading globally.
And once that process begins, it doesn’t move slowly.
It reprices fast.
Other markets don’t stay isolated either.
When one major commodity breaks structure like this, it spills over:
Gold follows.
Commodities reprice.
Currencies react.
Liquidity shifts.
Because it’s all connected.
And the timing matters.
This isn’t happening during peak hype.
It’s happening quietly, while most people still believe everything is “normal.”
That one detail explains a lot.
Because real moves don’t start when everyone is watching.
They start when nobody is paying attention.
So if you’re wondering what this means, it’s simple:
The market is showing early signs of a global repricing - starting with a fracture between East and West.
That’s not noise.
That’s a signal.
I’ve spent 10 years studying markets, and I’ve called most major tops and bottoms along the way.
And I’ll call it again in 2026.
Follow me and turn notifications on before it’s too late.
Don’t become the exit liquidity.

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@Peter_thoc Nice case but if your going to invade you of course would talk the opposite - the fact that they would be a target for drone and missile attack means heavy casualties and is a compelling case but why send in 200k marines to the area unless your going to use them ?
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AS EVERYONE IS SCREAMING FOR A GROUND INVASION.. 🧵
I think they're wrong...
Here's my take from Trump's speech the other day, and the obvious macro signals it created:
I think this speech is being misread. Almost every signal in it points to de-escalation, not further escalation. Let me explain 👇
The entire speech was Trump boasting about the successes that have already been seen, effectively a victory lap. "Objectives nearing completion." Comparing 32 days to years-long wars. Calling Iran's new leadership "less radical and more reasonable."
You don't frame things this way if you're about to send in ground troops.
He explicitly said regime change was never the goal - That matters. Ground invasions are what you need for regime change and occupation. He's removing the justification for boots on the ground.
Now here's the bit people are missing.. the verbal threats against civilian infrastructure (electric grid, oil) that's not strength, That's the tell, because he's already burned through the high-value military targets. Navy gone. Air force gone. Nuclear sites done. What's left is stuff that crosses into civilian territory, and he knows the consequences of that.
If the US hits Iranian civilian infrastructure, Iran retaliates against Gulf state infrastructure. UAE, Bahrain, Qatar, they're all within range and they know it. That's the leverage Iran still holds and exactly why a deal is more likely than escalation.
What now? He's in a coercive bargaining phase. The military campaign has hit its ceiling. Now he needs a deal he can sell as a win to the people in the US as well as his Allies. Particularly since Midterms come later this year.
This is my 2 cents. I learned in the Army that you don't put boots on the ground unless you can fully eliminate threats from aerial bombardment, drones, artillery etc.. because the casualties will be massive! Would you risk that in a year when you need votes from the people....
Not just my 2 cents on what i think will happen but the markets seem to agree 👀
-📈 SPX pushing higher
-📈 Russell 2000 spiked higher — risk appetite returning
-📊 HYG (high risk corporate bonds) outperforming IEF (low risk gov bonds) which shows credit markets pricing stability not crisis 🛢️
- Oil elevated but fixated on Strait of Hormuz disruption
None of this screams "incoming ground invasion"
I might be completely wrong!!
But from where I'm sitting, a lot of the indicators — political, military, and market are pointing toward de-escalation rather than the opposite.
What are your thoughts?? Let me know Below! 🤷♂️

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@Peter_thoc Now that’s an interesting statistic - I still think we have another leg down but if a war can begin and an oil crisis and BTC doesn’t get affected then when it ends and after equities recover (cos that is where money goes to begin) then I can see a crypto big move
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FUN FACT - Every single time this happened, the majority of people were screaming for lower because of various reasons...
" Crypto is dead " only for it to rise from the ashes.
Julius@jv_finance
Bitcoin has only touched its cost of production 5 times in the past 6 years. Each time, it marked a major bottom. Will this time be different?
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@Gentlemanssstyl Y want me to say 24 but the facts are it could be almost anything
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@Brasil_Xrp @coinbureau Rules are important in finance - you say it like it’s a bad thing - without it what about compensation when your fintech goes bust
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Supporting stablecoins and tokenized bank deposits as alternatives to the digital dollar is an acknowledgment that financial innovation will be led by the private sector, with clear rules, not by the government. The result will be an ecosystem where each bank, fintech, or brokerage can have its own stablecoin or deposit token—but all will need a common settlement layer that speaks the same language, is fast, cheap, and neutral. That's where the XRP Ledger comes in: the bridging asset that connects these different tokens, allowing value to flow between them in seconds, without relying on intermediaries or pre-funding. The Fed paved the way for diversity; the XRPL delivers the interoperability that this diversity demands.
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@Peter_thoc I think chances are 70-30 that boots on the ground will happen - don’t think kharg island though - more likely small islands in the straights of Hormuz
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Chances of US boots on the ground in Iran must be about 1% or less...
From what I learned at RMAS, it is pretty much standard doctrine that you don't go into ground conflicts unless you have massive disparity in capability.
Air superiority
Technological superiority
Removal of Ability for Enemy to use Aerial support
Numerical Advantage
Compare these two...
In Afghanistan Nato used precision missiles, apache helicopters, armoured vehicles vs an insurgent force armed with a few AK's and home made IED (improvised explosive devices) And yet still the casualties sustain were unacceptable.
Having spent 8 months there in 2014 and seeing the level low level of economic and military development first hand it is quite clear Iran is a different ball game altogether.
here's why....
Iran has over 600,000 trained troops, Drones, Hypersonic missiles etc, Whilst US still maintains significant technological advantage the casualties would eclipse the 2,459 troops they lost in the Afghan war.
Ok then now that we have this out the way.... Why do you think the media is ramping this up to the levels that it is? why are they trying to tell us that massive escalation still lies ahead???
Perfect entry times across the market??
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@Gosleepriya 2*1 for 1st digit then add the middle number as 2nd digit - so 2*8 is 16 plus zero is 160 or if use just use 1st bit then it could be 60 - whatever its a stupid puzzle
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@SelfSuccessSaga @coinbureau If conviction is ever allowed to thrive again
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blackrock outflows crushing etf gains proves big players move markets
btc inflows are tiny compared to ibit’s massive $70.71M exit
eth continues bleeding, 6 days of outflows show weak hands panic
i’m stacking quietly, letting idiots fight over paper while conviction builds
market shakes fools, real players see opportunity in the chaos
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@mauro_zallocco @StockSavvyShay He doesn’t care about stablecoin - he makes money from playing the crypto market and getting his family to short just before a major announcement and rug pulling his crap meme coin
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@StockSavvyShay Trump will not sign this bill with no interest on stable coins.
These are the banks that disenfranchised his family prior to becoming president.
Payback time.
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@JoyrideExchange @StockSavvyShay Of course they did - some are saying it doesn’t affect circle but if less people adopt usdc and stablecoin as no store of real value anymore then it just becomes an intermediary for buying BTC and other crypto
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@paulbarrontv If anyone is to get killed I can’t imagine it happening to anyone more deserving
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@BlueSpotScience The problem for me with sprint interval training is - are the physiological adaptations specific to type II fibres as apposed to type I. what happens to the VLaMax and your comparing just an hour which is no where long enough to cause fatigue in type I fibres - apples and oranges
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A single session of sprint interval exercise elicits more pronounced effects on measures of skeletal muscle insulin sensitivity than a single bout of moderate-intensity continuous exercise bit.ly/4bFneoR

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