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Owen
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Owen
@Nebraskademsoc
Free 🇵🇸 & 🇺🇦 Democratic Socialist. (#1 Blue CO-03 truther) #Osbornforsenate #AOC28 Main Acct @SBStrack8 Fuck Trump & AIPAC. #NE02
He/Him Se unió Mayıs 2026
466 Siguiendo429 Seguidores

@Nebraskademsoc why are you predicting VA 18 months in advance lol
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@AGlavkoverkh I think they thought if they put it in Barr's district that it would make it too competitive
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@tetrarosie *well my margins are a little below that but still it's not as high as i thought
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@Nebraskademsoc i mostly map by probability but around d+10 and d+8.5 respectively. i legit see like 95-99%ish chances for both
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btw small vibe check for where i’m at rn. moved maine down to lean d for obvious reasons and now have ohio flipping after revising and cleaning up my math/thought process

rosie 💜🎀@tetrarosie
the fact they’re just now changing nc to lean d is just lawl
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@tetrarosie Yeah see i agree with that but i see safe margins as 15+ and i got scared for a sec lol
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@vintagemapstore @EWErickson You meant Gulf of America 🇺🇸
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@Nebraskademsoc i wonder what will be the partisan lean of the current TX congressional map using this dataset lol
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@Nebraskademsoc That’s not happening
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@Nebraskademsoc What do u use to shift state maps i wanna try this
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