ParticularPoops
283 posts
The US services sector is signaling stagflation:
The ISM Services PMI fell -2.1 points in March, to 54.0, missing expectations of 54.9.
Meanwhile, the employment index dropped -6.6 points, to 45.2, the weakest since December 2023 and deep in contraction territory.
On the other hand, prices paid surged +7.7 points, to 70.7, the highest since October 2022, as the Iran war drove energy costs higher.
The economy is caught between rising prices and a weakening labor market.
Higher inflation is coming.
English
@Topo_G @unusual_whales Maybe they're not polite to you because you're an asshole?
English
@unusual_whales I go to Canada often, beautiful country.
The people are noticeably dumber and more deranged than ever. Completely one shotted by local media. They are OBSESSED with American politics, couldn't care less about their own
Also, not polite.. that's the biggest psyop of all time
English
Visits by Canadians to the U.S. have declined for a 13th straight month, per Forbes.
English
@figgy_newtonz @TankerTrackers The regime has a ton of leverage you retard. That’s why Trump taco’s again
English
@TankerTrackers Stone age time. Show the regime they have no leverage and can't defend themselves.
English
@Jack_McClendon You don’t get credit for not committing war crimes. Trump also deserves criticism
English
It was a TACO, a big beautiful TACO because the alternative was insane. But please dont insult us and call this a victory. Yes we smashed the Iranians military but it would have been insane if we wouldnt have been able to. We also smashed Saddams Army and the Taliban for 20 years and no one would say we won those wars. Winning wars achieve strategic aims (no Iran nukes, no more support for Houthis/Hamas/Hezbollah, no long range missiles, etc). As of now none of that has been achieved.
But credit Trump for TACO’ing out of his own insane self imposed deadline and demands because the alternative was terrible.
English
@VolgareT @Rory_Johnston And Iran followed up with this statement changing their 10 point plan and making it more maximalist. Try to keep up
English
@Rory_Johnston Can you stop lying? They said both America's 15-point plan and Iran's 10-point plan are the basis for negotiations.
Jesus fucking Christ. Stop already.
English
THIS is very different from the list of 10-points that has been floating around for the last few days.
هنر جنگ@dolfiniran
۰۵:۲۲/ ۱۹ فروردین متن شروط ده بندی ایران که ترامپ در توییت خود آن را به عنوان ‘مبنای مذاکرات’ پذیرفته چنین است: ۱- توقف کامل هرگونه تجاوز به ایران و گروههای مقاومت همپیمان ۲- خروج نیروهای رزمی آمریکا از منطقه، ممنوعیت هرگونه حمله از پایگاهها به ایران و خودداری از اتخاذ آرایش رزمی ۳- عبور محدود روزانۀ کشتی از تنگۀ هرمز به مدت دو هفته، تحت عنوان پروتکل عبور امن تحت نظارت و قواعد مشخص این کشور ۴- لغو کلیه تحریمهای اولیه، ثانویه و تحریمهای سازمان ملل ۵- تأمین خسارات ایران با ایجاد صندوق سرمایه گذاری و مالی ۶- تعهد ایران مبنی بر عدم ساخت سلاح هستهای ۷- پذیرش حق غنیسازی ایران توسط آمریکا و مذاکره درباره سطح غنیسازی ۸- موافقت ایران برای مذاکره دربارۀ پیمانهای صلح دوجانبه و چندجانبه با کشورهای منطقه در راستای منافع خود ۹- تسری عدم تجاوز به همه گروههای مقاومت. ۱۰- خاتمهیافتن همه قطعنامههای شورای حکام و شورای امنیت و تصویب همه تعهدات در قطعنامه رسمی سازمان ملل
English
@Buffering666 @gbrew24 Sure they’re weaker today but this war means they’ll be stronger in the long run. They’ll crack down harder in future protests and those protestors now know the West isn’t coming to save them. And Iran now maintains control over the Straight
English
@gbrew24 The domestic protest movement that resurfaces every 1-2 years in Iran with ever greater ferocity will face a weakened regime next time around.
It’s a “TBD” situation for sure but by no means a defeat for the US when Iran is clearly weaker today vs 4 weeks ago.
English
Explain to me like I’m 5 years old how shredding Iran’s military industrial complex for 4 weeks & killing scores of senior leadership while exposing the regime as an untrustworthy band of pirates is a defeat for the USA.
Gregory Brew@gbrew24
If the war truly ends with Iran in possession of the strait of Hormuz--as is currently the case--and if negotiations proceed according to Iran's 10-points, which include full sanctions relief and Iran charging tolls for use of the strait, then the outcome of the war will be clear. And it won't be a US victory.
English
@stogachess @gbrew24 It’s asking for way more. No way Trump can accept anything close to this
English
@domineeringDom Yes you absolutely can. Is logic a foreign concept to you?
English
Yep. You can’t say “Trump is going to nuke Iran and commit war crimes” and then say he TACOd when he negotiated a ceasefire.
Erick Erickson@EWErickson
All the people who insisted Trump was about to commit war crimes will now insist he chickened out.
English
@alexinomia @HedgeDirty No chance someone like you has the charisma to win an election. You’re boring
English
@ParticularPoopy @HedgeDirty catch up to me? if anything, it will probably be electing me lmao
English
The plan can absolutely, 100% be "there is no plan and no one owes you anything if technology passes you by because there is no property right to the status quo"
mattparlmer 🪐 🌷@mattparlmer
That plan cannot be “learn to vibecode” or “entrepreneurship microgrants”, the people benefitting from deployment of self-driving vehicles need to actually shoulder a large fraction of the costs that they will impose on society
English
@0xbarefoot @Rory_Johnston Yeah it reads like the most important part of this agreement hasn’t actually been agreed to
English
@Rory_Johnston don't even understand why people consider this any different than the last 15 times he did this? simply because his tweet was more unhinged?
"on the condition that Iran will be reopening the Strait of Hormuz."
English
Now we see if Iran is game to [temporarily?] reopen the Strait
English
@alexinomia @HedgeDirty Oh trust I’m doing fine materially too. Don’t blame me when populism catches up to you because you chose to be ignorant. The arrogance of AI twitter is hilarious
English
@ParticularPoopy @HedgeDirty oh, i guess i should clarify for the midwits
it has affected me in the sense that it's part of the zeitgeist, so it's something i talk about and see others fall for
but materially, i'm fine and will continue to be. others aren't- don't blame me if you cast your lot with them
English
@alexinomia @HedgeDirty You’re lying to say it hasn’t affected you lol. I mean we’re having this conversation so clearly it’s having an effect on you and you know it
English
@ParticularPoopy @HedgeDirty we've been in the middle of a populist wave for about a decade now, and i'll be real with you, it hasn't really affected me. i'm doing just fine
the people it's been bad for are the populists. them threatening to self-harm is not a particularly concerning threat
English
@HeywoodFloyd10 @HedgeDirty Immigrants are some of America’s best entrepreneurs but ok
English
@ParticularPoopy @HedgeDirty This is one of the many examples of why it's foolish for us to allow entry of low-value immigrants from culturally incompatible areas. It's a disaster for schools, healthcare, quality of life, government finances, everything.
English
@HeywoodFloyd10 @HedgeDirty The National Academy of Sciences did the most comprehensive study ever done on this. Low wage immigrants are a net positive when you account for what they pay into Social Security and Medicare they can never collect. Your whole argument rests on a lie.
English
@ParticularPoopy @HedgeDirty They won't be employed or paying taxes once self-driving cars replace them. Even now, many earn such low incomes that they are a net burden because they consume far more in services and assistance than they pay in taxes. We'll be much better off with them gone.
English
@alexinomia @HedgeDirty Agreed. But if these all in AI supporters want to barge full steam ahead consequences be damned then don’t be surprised when one of the outcomes is populism
English
@ParticularPoopy @HedgeDirty populism isn't a great way to boost the economy
English
@alexinomia @HedgeDirty That sounds like a great way to boost the economy. Weaponize the state against your own citizens
English
@ParticularPoopy @HedgeDirty and don't be surprised when those candidates use state force upon the backlashers
English
@HeywoodFloyd10 @HedgeDirty Uber drivers are employed and paying taxes, the opposite of a drain. Deportation also costs thousands per person in enforcement and legal fees. So the net economic plus is deporting working taxpayers at public expense on the bet that robot cars replace them someday
English
@ParticularPoopy @HedgeDirty Obviously, the native Uber drivers won't be deported. But the deportation of the others will be a huge net economic plus, since unskilled, and unemployed people are nothing but a drain.
English
@HeywoodFloyd10 @HedgeDirty Only about half of gig workers are immigrants so… no? Also deporting all those people would crush local economies but ok
English
@ParticularPoopy @HedgeDirty Most of the Uber drivers can just deported back to where they came from.
English