


Gregory Brew
57.9K posts

@gbrew24
Senior Analyst, Iran and Oil @EurasiaGroup. Formerly @ISSYale. Author of "The Struggle for Iran" and "Petroleum and Progress in Iran." Views my own.




"...you cannot unlearn what you've learned..." IAEA's @rafaelmgrossi explains the UN's view on the sophisticated state of Iran's nuclear capabilities now v 2015 JCPOA-era program, & his view that bombing alone won't destroy nuclear capabilities. @FaceTheNation



A big explosion at Parchin military complex, which houses missile production facilities and suspected nuclear weapons research sites.

Yes, this administration has gutted Middle East experience at the State Department, but ... ...it doesn't really matter how much/little expertise the current State Department has, because it is totally out of the policy loop. apnews.com/article/iran-s…


WASHINGTON, March 19 (Reuters) - The U.S. may soon remove sanctions from Iranian oil that is stranded on tankers to help lift global supplies and reduce prices, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on Thursday.

You know those "dubai physical barrels" you hear so much about? Well, in California, they're exposed to that price because the asian refiners that the state imports gasoline and components from are buying Gulf oil @weakinstrument heatmap.news/energy/califor…

Breaking from @halbritz @OrenCNN : A US F-35 fighter jet made an emergency landing at US air base in the Middle East after it was struck by what is believed to be Iranian fire, according to two sources familiar with the matter. Capt. Tim Hawkins, a spokesman for US Central Command, said the fifth-generation stealth jet was “flying a combat mission over Iran” when it was forced to make an emergency landing. Hawkins said the aircraft landed safely, and the incident is under investigation “The aircraft landed safely, and the pilot is in stable condition,” Hawkins added. The incident would be the first time Iran has hit a US aircraft in the war started in late February. Both the US and Israel are flying F-35s in the conflict; the aircraft costs upwards of $100 million.



Trump putting as much distance between himself and the South Pars attack as he can. Seems to rationalize Iran's response (to a degree) while condemning its attack on Qatar. Promises no further Israeli attacks on South Pars. But threatens the field's total destruction if Iran attacks Qatar again.

Israel bombed Iran's south Pars gas field. Trump reportedly signed off. Iran signaled it would strike major Gulf energy facilities in return. Hours later, a ballistic missile struck Qatar's gas refinery at Ras Laffan. It is in flames. Trump is now opposed to further attacks on Iranian energy facilities, per WSJ.

