Simple Guy

2.2K posts

Simple Guy

Simple Guy

@SimplekGuy

Se unió Mart 2009
284 Siguiendo119 Seguidores
Simple Guy
Simple Guy@SimplekGuy·
@daniel_koss Turned on notifications for your posts. Can’t miss them, won’t miss them.
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Daniel Koss
Daniel Koss@daniel_koss·
Not too bad for the unholy amount of leverage I've used. Personal account is now at a point where I'm more risk averse than before, because I simply have not much to gain in terms of quality of life changes. At this point making gains is honestly just a... hobby? And I guess main reason if I'm honest is ego? Feel like I want to transition the purpose of my investing to helping other people make life changing money. Seeing followers go from 10k to 100k or 100k to $1M feels significantly more meaningful to me right now than anything else. I don't want to come across as arrogant, but the idea that I can assist people in making investments that help them achieve financial freedom is so damn satisfying. If my picks help you make money, all I ask is that you let me know in the comments or DMs! Because I want to know. That's my motivation. P.S. don't get me wrong, I still like making money, I just don't do it only for the money (anymore).
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Simple Guy
Simple Guy@SimplekGuy·
@yianisz FYI The first thing I check in the morning, are your posts. You should post more often. Big fan.
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Yiannis Zourmpanos
Yiannis Zourmpanos@yianisz·
People keep calling this peak… I don’t see it. $MU is still sold out on HBM with demand > supply, and $SNDK is riding a NAND market that’s still tight into 2026+ the story hasn’t broken, just the narrative shifted. I’m still bullish.
Yiannis Zourmpanos tweet media
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Simple Guy
Simple Guy@SimplekGuy·
@BitcoinAIGuy @aleabitoreddit As IREN investor, it sucks to see him pounding on it but he never commented negative about its fundamentals. His problem with IREN is with a single event, ATM and he is not wrong about it. Being a SPAC investor in the past, I know how bad ATMs are.
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BitcoinAIGuy
BitcoinAIGuy@BitcoinAIGuy·
Debt or equity, the common denominator is the management team. It all comes down to trust. There is no shame in being a swing trader or day trader, but Serenity shouldn’t pretend to be an investor if they aren’t serious about holding his investments… sure, you can push back on management decisions… but management is a key part of every thesis.
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
If you’re curious about $AXTI: It’s down 21% on the new potential dilution news. Board wanted to add 50M more shares (up to $2B worth to dilute) for shareholders vote in the 14th. 70m -> 120m shares. I say this about $IREN excessive $6B dilution and it’s the same with AXT price proposal that I hold. I would not “trust in management” to use it wisely and the fact it’s filed is a red flag. That being said: we’ll see what happens on the 14th. If it passes for 50m more share authorized dilution, I personally would not hold. But it fails, I expect a recovery.
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BitcoinAIGuy
BitcoinAIGuy@BitcoinAIGuy·
@aleabitoreddit if you can't trust a company raising capital, you shouldn't invest in them period. investors =/= traders
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Simple Guy
Simple Guy@SimplekGuy·
@yianisz I feel like i should give them one more chance for the sake of its story
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Yiannis Zourmpanos
Yiannis Zourmpanos@yianisz·
$EOSE's decline isn’t just a typical post-earnings selloff it’s the market repricing a credibility break. After the Q4 miss, the stock has continued to drift lower as lawsuits pile up and confidence in management weakens. What stands out is not just the magnitude of the miss, but the response: instead of resetting expectations, management doubled down with aggressive forward guidance. At the same time, the CEO has stepped in with insider buying, which on the surface supports sentiment. But context matters prior selling at higher levels and a pattern of overpromising make this look more reactive than reassuring. This is no longer about valuation or backlog. The real issue is governance. Until execution improves and credibility is rebuilt, the stock remains a bet on whether the board is willing to enforce accountability or continue tolerating it.
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Jebaim
Jebaim@Jebaim3·
Best names under 2b market cap? - Insiders with skin in the game - Low debt / Low risk of dilution - Turnarounds at an inflection point Any ideas?
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Simple Guy
Simple Guy@SimplekGuy·
@LiebermanAustin switches lane more often and 10% cap on speed limit is gone. It can go 20% above speed limit
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Austin Lieberman
Austin Lieberman@LiebermanAustin·
What happens when you put Mad Max mode on?
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Austin Lieberman
Austin Lieberman@LiebermanAustin·
I’ve used Tesla Full Self Driving for 35 seconds and I’m never going back
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Simple Guy
Simple Guy@SimplekGuy·
@yianisz Does your Savvy trader profile track your positions and trades or should someone subscribe to your service in your website?
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Yiannis Zourmpanos
Yiannis Zourmpanos@yianisz·
yes! you ride the trend.. but the moment it breaks, you’re out. No emotions, no waiting.. Seen this too many times. The second the structure cracks, the story doesn’t matter anymore. I cut $EOSE the moment it broke, took a loss, redeployed into winners.. now already green..
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Simple Guy
Simple Guy@SimplekGuy·
@from1to3000000 You think there is more downside? Last 2 days of melt up was crazy and index is almost past key levels.
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Donkey building warchest
Donkey building warchest@from1to3000000·
Having so much cash on the sidelines and not getting beat up overnight was a huge help to me stepping in at great pricing this morning. This kind of thing cannot be overstated. Being punch drunk with a full portfolio is an impediment in this environment
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Daniel Newman
Daniel Newman@danielnewmanUV·
Dinner for Gains. 💪🏻👊🏻🚀 Not the portfolio kind. 🙃😮‍💨
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Simple Guy
Simple Guy@SimplekGuy·
@aleabitoreddit Dude, when are you going to stop underestimating yourself. You have lot of institutional following that doesn’t quite have your level of domain expertise. If i can shell out 10k for a trade, they have millions to spare.
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
Bro how is a $20B+ company like $TSEM up 63%… 2 weeks after I go long? The company was stagnant for like 3 months until my post.
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Serenity@aleabitoreddit

I'm long $TSEM, the $TSM of photonics. My top two picks for CPO are $SOI and Tower Semi. Given the $NVDA GTC catalyst on new photonic related architecture next week: I expect Tower Semi to get a huge catalyst. Nvidia laready directly collaborated with Tower to scale 1.6T silicon photonics last month (hint hint for GTC), likely pushing the downstream players to use it. And now, Tower is the leading supplier of 1.6T SiPh PICs and the primary foundry for scale-up CPO architectures. (the other being global foundries) From my forward est: 2028 Forward P/E: ~16.8x to ~18.1x (Tower set a target $2.84B revenue by 2028, with ~31.7% operating margin, ~$750M in net profit) The thing to note is over 70% of their planned SiPh capacity is already reserved through 2028. And photonics haven't even ramped up yet. So, I expect them to strongly beat earning projections due to extreme photonics scaling + allocations price hikes that's not modeled into projections. Also, $TSEM is heavily de-risked by 70% of capacity already being reserved. MC is likely due to $TSEM being a very obscure upstream player in the photonics supply chain. But I expect the $NVDA GTC conference to be that catalyst that brings it to premium valuations. I'm long $TSEM as an asymmetrical upside for upstream photonics foundry layer.

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SpacBobby
SpacBobby@SpacBobby·
$ASTS - So you’re telling me AST SpaceMobile’s revenues will more than 5x from $150-$200M in 2026 to $1B by 2027 with 90% margins
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Simple Guy
Simple Guy@SimplekGuy·
@endless_frank The post says that it already has a startlink terminal 😉 which is powered by satellites
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Simple Guy
Simple Guy@SimplekGuy·
@accounting_ds Domestic end to end from raw material to panel did not begin. Austin plant is getting built.
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Anp🅰️nman
Anp🅰️nman@spacanpanman·
$TE: ☀️ Great to see that the big move up yesterday was institutionally driven = Merrill, Morgan Stanley, Citi, JP Morgan, and Barclays had most of the advertised flow. Virtu and UBS, who typically facilitate mostly retail trading, were #4 and #7
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Simple Guy
Simple Guy@SimplekGuy·
@spacanpanman Just wondering…Do you have direct access to their facility? Do you know of any first hand 3rd party info?
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Anp🅰️nman
Anp🅰️nman@spacanpanman·
@SimplekGuy Good thing they are using highly proven Trina solar cell fab design
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Anp🅰️nman
Anp🅰️nman@spacanpanman·
$TE: ☀️ This is what a “ stock rerating” looks like when management executes and unlocks value over time If you like G2_Dallas, you’re going to love G2_Austin
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