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My April Performance Report: +72.9%
-> everything 3rd party verified and publicly tracked.
📈 April return: +72.9% (Autopilot)
📈 YTD: +113.6% (personal portfolio)
My benchmark, the Nasdaq, returned +8.9% over the same period. That means my portfolio outperformed the benchmark by more than 12x.
My thoughts:
April represented an amazing opportunity to “buy the dip.”
But it is important to understand that the foundation for the performance was built in March.
March was a rough month for most AI infrastructure, tech and growth investors.
The Iran conflict spooked investors out of growth stocks. Rising oil prices, inflation fears, uncertainty around future rate cuts, and even the risk of rate hikes all presented real risks.
On top of that, the conflict became ugly and destructive. There was real damage done to valuable infrastructure.
The best decision I made in March was to actively manage risk.
When I felt the situation was escalating, I increased my cash position to 10-20%. When I felt it was de-escalating, I bought back in. I also made a couple of good trades, like buying $KRKNF into the mining headlines.
That was mentally taxing and annoying. Constantly buying, selling, buying back, trimming again, and re-entering is not fun.
But it was worth it.
While many investors were down a lot in March, my portfolio was mostly flat or slightly up.
Instead of just reacting to headlines, I constantly monitored the real situation on the ground (or on the water). If you look at my posts and articles from March, you can see that I mainly focused on drones, missiles and ships in the Strait, and whether the situation was escalating or de-escalating. Trump headlines are bad signals and very dangerous.
Then, in April, it became obvious that many stocks were completely oversold.
Some of my highest expected return stocks were down 30-50%. The market was deep in extreme fear. At the same time, I expected Trump to find a way to de-escalate, and many of the metrics I tracked started to improve.
So I reallocated into oversold growth and AI infrastructure stocks like $NBIS, $AEHR, $OUST, and others.
That created the setup for the 70%+ return in April.
Investing under Trump is both the gift of a lifetime and the most stressful thing ever. It does feel like I am aging at three times the normal speed, if I am honest😅
Since many people noticed that I timed many of the events and stock picks quite well, I started getting a lot of requests to share my portfolio, research and trades.
That's something I planned to do anyway, but in the last month, I have been thinking about it, and here is what I came up with:
My current plan is to split it into two products:
1) X Premium subscriptions
I am currently testing X Premium subscriptions at $5/month.
The goal is not to make meaningful money from X subscriptions.
The goal is to create a more exclusive community, filter out bots, trolls and spam accounts, and give serious followers time to look into my trades and portfolio updates before they get copied all over X.
I have already seen many accounts copy-paste my stock picks, valuation numbers and ideas, then sell them as their own.
Nobody owns a stock or thesis, but sometimes I feel like it would be nice to at least mention the person who made you aware of a pick and who got you excited about a stock?
The funniest part is that in some of my models I have made calculation mistakes before, and some creators copied the mistakes too 😆
2) Premium deep research on Substack
The second product would be a premium deep research newsletter on Substack.
For that, I want to hire full-time researchers who are true industry experts in their fields: AI infrastructure, semis, power, memory, data centers, and so on.
This would be a serious, full-time effort for me.
It would likely cost around $100/month, because producing this kind of research properly takes a lot of time, and I would need to pay a strong team of expert researchers.
This is something I want to do long-term because I do like investing, making great returns and sharing the best ideas with you, but to be completely honest, I often get bored of it.
My true passion is doing the research and learning about business strategy, technology and the future!
For example, Nebius is a stock that fascinates me because I am insanely excited about Tokenomics, Jevons Paradox, platform businesses, network effects and game theory.
The stock price going up a lot more is why I buy, hold and share the thesis, but it's not why I love the company.
So the idea is:
🔹 Professional investors and wealthy individuals can pay for premium deep industry research. They will get high-quality research. While there are many fantastic Semi analysts on X and substack, I believe my angle of identifying where most value accrues (= stock will go up most), is quite popular among professional investors. At least that's my experience interacting with PMs so far.
🔹 X Premium would remain intentionally low-priced, most likely below $1-10/month. I want to create a more exclusive community, filter out low-quality accounts, and give serious followers time to study my trades and portfolio updates before everyone starts chasing the same stocks.
I will obviously get some picks wrong. That's why I always want you to look at my ideas, picks, etc. and then make your own conclusions.
What do you guys think?
Would love to hear your thoughts.
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