
Uncle Charlie
389 posts

Uncle Charlie
@StingWaveCap
My Trading Meditations. Notes To Self.





Closed my short $BTC. target hit. This area should act as a support. Observing for LTF bounce plays






Following the plan so far $BTC


Canada liquidated its gold reserves for an average of just $120 an ounce, about $4.3 billion. If those holdings were kept, they’d be valued at around $162 billion today.



#BTC Cycle Top is in. $OTHERSBTC ( $Alts against #BTC) has bottomed out. How is that even possible? Well, actually, it’s nothing new. We had the same situation back in September 2019 👈 That's when $BTC was consolidating -30% below the Top after an intense 7-month rally off the bear market bottom and $OTEHRSBTC was sitting at the cycle low. That's exactly what we have right now, but on a bigger scale: - $BTC was going up for much longer (35 months instead of 7 months in 2018-2019) - $OTEHRSBTC has been going down for 4 years straight! (more than twice as long as the previous OTHERS/BTC bear market) And one more thing - the Fed just ended QT on Dec 1, 2025 (yesterday) 📍 When did we have that in the previous cycle? Yep, in September 2019! So we're in a pretty similar environment right now. Back then $BTC had a -63% pullback while $OTHERSBTC rose by +65% (and kept going up until $BTC went parabolic from $11k to $40k) Conclusion: $BTC has topped out like in 2019, but this time it's the Cycle Top. On October 10 $OTHERSBTC likely reached the Cycle Bottom, no more serious bleeding for $Alts against $BTC. 👉 Next Year I'm expecting a nasty $BTC correction (Bear Market); 👉 In the next 2-3 months I’m expecting a good Bounce on $OTHERSBTC (liquidity rotation/mini Altseason) during the #BTC Dead Cat Bounce; 👉 In 2019-2020 $OTHERSBTC was going up (Relief Rally) while $BTCUSD was going down, so maybe we'll have the same throughout 2026. 💡 Crazy Parabolic Phase on $Alts (the big Altseason) will only happen in the next cycle (2027-2029)





