TrainTurningPoint
6.4K posts
That’s a shame, Coolligan! Do you also produce Nazi Germany retro shirts and socks?
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@Parmenides5BCE @HaroldWren22 "You are absolutely right, the coordinates I provided were pointing at an elementary school, not at a secret government bunker. I apologize for the mistake."
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First observation: there will be no deal. The ceasefire will end & the war will re-commence.
Second observation: the US has been flooding the Theater with reinforcements, resupplies & performing maintenance on air assets non-stop, & re-arming warships. The force is ready & its larger than its ever been.
Third observation: every key player left in the regime surfaced from their hide holes & safe houses during this ceasefire. The regime ‘negotiation’ team sent to stall America. The IRGC thugs who showed up in Islamabad to stop the Iranian Regime delegation from making any deals. The midlevel staffers going between the IRGC thug leadership & the IRGC cannon fodder still shooting at ships.
All of them broke cover & came back up on the grid. From that point on, they were visible to the human intelligence networks watching them, the persistent ISR assets watching 24 hours a day, 7 days a week without pause— spy satellites, stealth & non stealth drones, manned reconnaissance aircraft. From the moment this ceasefire started, everyone who is a key player in Iran’s continued resistance came back on the grid & have been surveilled ever since.
The intelligence mosaic is fully fleshed out & these targets are being tracked in real time, and the strike plans created with the help of AI are already set & planned.
When the ceasefire ends, the strikes will be begin with such rapid speed, & precision it will be much more savage & fearsome than the first round.
Fourth observation: Iran received drones, SAM missile systems & radars & intelligence from China during this ceasefire & this is still ongoing. This is what’s driving the remnants of the IRGC to continue the war. They do not fully comprehend what is set to take place, or how completely unable to counter it or survive it they are. That’s partly due to history, partly due to institutional arrogance of IRGC, & partly & most importantly because China & Russia simply do not understand our full capabilities— in terms of intelligence collection, planning, speed we can act on those things, & how good our situational awareness of the battlefield is.
That last one is the key: the disconnect— how clear & complete our granular picture all the way up to the grand strategic picture is, compared to how blinded & how fragmented the situational awareness of the Iranians is.
That last part is what really, really scares Russia & China— the vast gap in cognitive capabilities & situational awareness capabilites between the US & them scares them because its a gap they cant bridge, & beyond that the speed we can act on that clear picture is something they cant match.
This war is going to restart after the ceasefire ends, & all hell is going to break loose— & the ferocity of what comes next is going to genuinely surprise the IRGC fanatics driving events in this direction.
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@chebykin_d — Почему в России не могут сделать игру?
— Могут, вот пример
— Да, но их правительство не любит
Ок, и чё
Русский
Отличный пример развития российского геймдева!
Лесту объявили ЭКСТРЕМИСТАМИ, владельцев посадили а компанию передали очередным сыновьям Кириенко
Обожаю Вазгена. Спасибо за то, что ты есть
@ВАЗГЕН 🇷🇺@VazgenMkhitar
@chebykin_d @AlexxKerman Спишь?
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@webshizo Зачем монголам учить язык одного из разъебанных ими народов с окраин империи?
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@tagosak22041221 @zer0idea То есть компания имеет право отобрать у игрока купленные им игры в любой момент из-за действий третьих лиц с целью шантажировать игрока?
Если пиратство это воровство, а игры - собственность, значит Сони первой украла у игрока его библиотеку.
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@zer0idea @J6xldWYOB228915 国との関係で販売がブロックされたからと言って、違法行為を正当化はできないよ。
むしろ、「私たちの敵になったから好き放題してやる」という敵対宣言にしかならない。
ゲームの購入のために、ゲーマーが一致団結して国同士のけんかをやめさせた、っていう話なら美談になったのにね。
日本語
Да. Если мне что-то отказываются продать, я пирачу
Мне отказываются продать видеоигру? Я качаю с торрента. Не продают аниме? Я посмотрю пиратку в переводе анилибрии.
Хочешь мои деньги? Продай мне.
Привозите свой контент нам, переводите на наш язык - мы с удовольствием купим
駒井 志津馬 （二代目コノミィ@magozone23
これ反論になってるつもり？ 日本の側が売らないと判断してるんだから、そこに売ってくれ言われても売りません、で話終わりですわよ？
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@PunishedMythos @PunishedLieMan Par for the course for Russian libtards.
English
The thing about both books and the games, and especially the books, is that they are good at atmosphere, worldbuilding, crafting small human stories, general universal messaging, but are comically bad when it comes to contemporary political commentary. >>>
Дмитрий Глуховский@glukhovsky
The story of Metro 2039 is one that I long wanted to tell, but it had to wait for the reality to catch up. So now it doesn’t seem to be a dystopia or science-fiction any more. Now it is relevant to everyone.
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@Eric_desu @m13tfz08k В том и разница, что никаких ожидаемых денег тут не существует.
С заказчиками есть соглашение, по которому они платят деньги и получают художества.
Пираты никакого соглашения не заключали и в клиентов конвертируются весьма условно, ожидать от них денег было нелепо.
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@TrainTurningP @m13tfz08k я не говорю, что автор теряет что-то, просто вместо, ожидаемо, денег получает обещание косвенной прибыли. хотя тут вообще об изначальном аргументе о придуманных косвенных потерях идёт речь
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@Eric_desu @m13tfz08k Инфлюенсер требует потратить впустую время художника на заказную работу лично для него.
Пират не требует нихуя, продукт уже готов и уже продается другим людям, автор не тратит ничего.
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@m13tfz08k защита пиратства фактом "популяризации" напоминает мне старые мемы, где инстаграм иефлюенсеры предлагали платить за художественные работы репостами и "рекламой". хуйня же, тем более, что у японцев бомбит от нелегальности пиратства и игнора желаний авторов
Русский
Но если бы кто-то из нынешних моделей типа клауд-соннет, мог бы выполнить промпт "найди любой подходящий сервер в сети, заинсталлируйся туда, при необходимости повтори переезд, через год пряток перезвони мне на номер 8-912-1234567", то мы наверняка сочли бы его ИскуствИнтеллектом
Русский
йо, чумба, ничошный хром на твоей тушке, го дельтуем вечером по стриту, я знаю одного соло с Фрисайда, он поможет нам сконнекнуться с Безмолвием
Капитан, не рыба 👁️ #darkwoke@CopaceticCrypt
А в какой момент мы потеряли слово "искин" для обозначения ИИ? В том числе как ругательное, если нужно?
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@CanadianKobzar >I have other battles to fight
You are moving back to Ukraine to enlist, right?
English
After months of careful consideration I’m stepping down from NAFO and Twitter. My life direction has changed and I have other battles to fight.
I’ll be leaving my account up so you can all still read my history threads, but as of tomorrow, I won’t be logging in anymore.
Everyone keep fighting the good fight. Support Ukraine. Support democracy. Boost fundraisers (like Toonie Tuesday) Fight russian disinformation. Fight evil wherever it stands.
Thank you all so much for your support, friendship and dedication to Ukraine. You are all amazing. Keep being amazing.
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@U0RAINBOW0U @FinalWrangler @AndrewPerpetua >spent half a day thinking of an answer
>only came up with death wishes and goreposting
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@TrainTurningP @FinalWrangler @AndrewPerpetua i hope you are as lucky as these 3 fellow ruzzians
x.com/igorsushko/sta…
Igor Sushko@igorsushko
💥 RUSSIAN "CEASEFIRE": Ukraine released 3 captured Russian fascists in neutral uniforms in order to ascertain feasibility of conducting evacuations of Ukrainian soldiers from the frontline during Russian Easter "ceasefire." All 3 Russians were quickly murdered by Russian drones.
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Russians called for a ceasefire. Ukraine tested this opportunity by dressing three POW in Ukrainian uniforms and ordering them to withdraw to a location further in the rear for processing. Russia, thinking they were Ukrainians, killed the three and bragged about it on social media.
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@U0RAINBOW0U @FinalWrangler @AndrewPerpetua Wow.
I should buy a lottery ticket, hitting the 2% is pretty good.
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@TrainTurningP @FinalWrangler @AndrewPerpetua i got Ai to judge your IQ by your sentence construction, grammar & vocabulary & it determined 98% chance you are an incel with a tiny penis
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@TrainTurningP @FinalWrangler @AndrewPerpetua blah blah blah ruzzia is not guilty small dick energy blah blah blah insert absurd analogy which can only make sense to an irrational 13 year old topped off by more small dick energy while excusing ruzzian war crimes. pathetic.
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@yves_lol @RPzVKP @InYv_Sergienko В России уголовно наказуемо развязывание агрессивной войны, следовательно, Россия не нападала на Украину.
Русский
@RPzVKP @InYv_Sergienko Le nazisme est interdit en Ukraine, car Zelenski est juif et russophone, les juifs sont nombreux en Ukraine et très influents , vos mensonges ne marchent que pour manipuler les Russes bien naïfs.
Français
Привіт, алла! Мене звати Інна. Для тебе ще й Анатоліївна. Я з Вовчанська, Харківської області. Було таке квітуче місто,яке ви, росіяни, стерли в попіл! 18 тисяч містян залишилися без нічого. І таке по всій Україні! А ви тепер прикидуєтеся миролюбцями духовними. Виродки болотяні.
Вейгела@_Weigela
Привет Мир 🌍! Меня зовут Алла, мне 47 лет и я пишу это сообщение всем вам, друзья. Я живу в России, в небольшом историческом городе Переславль-Залесский. Мой город вотчина русского княжества. Родина Святого Благоверного князя Александра Невского. А откуда ты? Расскажи, а)?!
Українська
English
Of all the fools humanity is cursed to suffer, none are more tiresome than those who refuse to weigh the cost of inaction when criticizing action. Iran was rapidly rebuilding a massive ballistic missile arsenal that would be at strength many months before equal interceptor stockpiles were ready to stop them; an arsenal that could not only reach Israel, but level the Gulf states' oil production infrastructure and even range the entirety of Europe itself. With this massive deterrent in hand the would've been free to rebuild their nuclear centrifuge capacity at leisure and finish refining their already massive stockpile of uranium from 60% to weapons-grade within weeks, gaining a minimum nuclear deterrent.
If this alone didn't trigger a nuclear war between Iran and Israel - with predictable results for oil production and export from the Gulf states - Iran would then be effectively immune to attack and would do as they please, including charging tolls on the strait to further fund their military build-up and selectively choking off oil through the strait and anything transiting the Suez canal via the Bab-El-Mandeb (via the Houthis,) to aid their allies and punish their enemies. And of course, their most potent ally is not just Russia, but China - who were supplying raw materiel to aid Iran's missile production to circumvent supply chain damage done by Israel in the 12-day war. As France's craven cowardice in signing a separate deal with the Iranians and siding with Russia and China in the UN reveals, Europe would stand by and do nothing as Japanese owned or Japanese bound tankers were denied access on pain of destruction, with the only kinetic option left being a nuclear war waged by the US which would likely see Gulf state infrastructure that took fifty years to build utterly vaporized in seconds.
The craven boot-lickers infesting Australia's foreign-policy community might think it wise for Japan to accept having a leash on their throat just as they wish for Australia. The United States does not, and since we have the power, we will not tolerate China wrapping their filthy hands around our loyal allies' throats.
Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡@shanaka86
Japan imports 94.2 percent of its crude oil through routes linked to the Strait of Hormuz. No major economy on earth is more exposed to the waterway Iran weaponized on February 28. Six weeks later, Japan is the silent measure of what this war has actually cost the countries it was supposed to protect. The Nikkei has fallen 11 percent since Operation Epic Fury began. The yen has dropped to 20-month lows. The Bank of Japan has issued inflation warnings that have pushed rate-hike expectations to 70 percent probability. Japan has released 80 million barrels from strategic petroleum reserves, equivalent to 45 days of domestic demand, the largest drawdown since the reserves were established. An additional 20 days’ worth is scheduled for release starting in early May. On April 8, Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi called Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian for 25 minutes, the first top-level contact between Tokyo and Tehran since the war started. She called the Strait of Hormuz an “international public good.” The phrasing was precise. It rejected Iran’s toll system without naming it. It rejected privatization of transit without confrontation. It framed the chokepoint as belonging to the global commons rather than to any sovereign naval force. It was the most diplomatically calibrated statement any leader has made about Hormuz since the war began, and it was made by the leader whose country has the most to lose. Japan’s Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry has set a target of sourcing more than 50 percent of imports through bypass routes by May. Saudi crude from Yanbu on the Red Sea. UAE crude from Fujairah on the Gulf of Oman. American crude from the Gulf of Mexico. Latin American, African, and Asian alternatives. Japan is attempting to rebuild its entire import architecture in weeks, a restructuring that took the West a decade after the 1973 embargo. And Japan has already succeeded on LNG. In 2013, the Middle East supplied 29 percent of Japan’s liquefied natural gas. By 2025, that share had fallen to 11 percent. Australia now provides 38 percent. Malaysia 16 percent. The United States 10 percent. Russia 9 percent. Japan’s LNG diversification, executed quietly over thirteen years, is the template for what crude oil diversification needs to become. But LNG terminals and long-term contracts take years to build. Crude bypass infrastructure takes months at minimum. And the ceasefire expires April 22. Nine days. If the strait stays weaponized past the ceasefire expiry, Japan’s reserve drawdown accelerates into crisis territory. IEEFA projects a potential 3 percent GDP hit from prolonged closure, larger than Japan’s entire annual defense budget. Every day Hormuz remains under dual blockade, American and Iranian, Japan burns through reserves that cannot be replaced at the rate they are being consumed. The country hosting the largest US military presence in the Pacific is absorbing the economic damage from a war its closest ally launched to secure the energy flows that are now more disrupted than before the war began. Iran weaponized geography. The United States responded with force. Japan, which fired no shots and closed no straits, is paying the bill. Eighty million barrels drawn. Eleven percent off the stock market. A currency in retreat. And a prime minister who called the strait a public good because calling it anything else would mean admitting that the good is no longer public. open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…
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@pazarts97 @haylen630 @planefag "Diplomacy didn't immediately give us 100% of what we want with the very first step on the way to deescalation so uhh we have to bomb them now"
I've seen toddlers throw more reasonable tantrums than this infantile bullshit.
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