Osman Oksoy

@agis_moutafis @creavit1 @RomeInTheEast Çaldıran. The battle against the Safavids where the Ottomans fired muskets by rank to achieve continuous fire in the 1520’s.

@creavit1 @RomeInTheEast Oh thank you will have a look!

On April 6, 1453 the Ottomans began their bombardment of Constantinople.! The ancient Theodosian walls had to face a new test in a new age of warfare. “They could hold off any conventional attack…But they had not been built to withstand bombardment by heavy artillery…” “Pride of place was taken by the huge cannon constructed by the Hungarian engineer Urban. It had been brought from Adrianople by 60 oxen and manned by 200 soldiers. When its deafening roar was first heard inside the city, people rushed into the streets in terror calling the name of the Lord. The cannonballs it shot weighed 12 hundredweight; and though it was an unwieldy and complicated piece of machinery that could only be fired seven times a day, it had a deadly effect in wearing down the ancient structure and the masonry of the walls. The smaller guns added their contribution to the damage, and before many days were out a section of the outer wall had collapsed into the moat.” At night the defenders would go out and try to repair the damage as best they could, despite the “sickening monotony” of daily bombardment by the Ottomans. However, despite all this, it is not like the walls were ever totally destroyed. It took great concentrated effort over many weeks to heavily damage select sections of the walls. The defense of Constantinople never failed simply due to cannons destroying the walls. It was multi-faceted. The defenders were too low in number. Mehmed was able to get ships inside the Golden Horn and attack the sea walls, forcing some of the limited numbers of soldiers to be diverted there. The walls did take damage over time, and the moat in front of the walls was gradually filled with rubble and degree making Turkish assaults easier. Despite all these problems, the defenders were doing surprisingly well in repelling the final assault of the Ottomans until the commander of the defense, Giovanni Giustiniani Longo, was mortally wounded. It had been him and his elite heavily armored Genoese troops which had been holding back the enemy. Even in the breaches the cannons had made, they had valiantly held back the numerous Ottomans Once Giustiniani retreated and his elite troops left the fight, the Turks continued their ferocious assault and the defense collapsed soon after. Thus, Mehmed’s final gamble paid off. Constantine XI and his soldiers died in the struggle and the city of Constantinople fell for a second and final time. However, it was NOT a simple story of cannons destroying the ancient walls. All things considered, the Theodosian walls did very well to hold up against cannons for such a long period of bombardment , a scenario it’s architects could never have imagined! Source: The Last Centuries of Byzantium, 1261-1453 by Donald M. Nicol

@Trois_Ponts @_Freakyclown_ Were they designed differently to withstand the greater weight of cannon that fired on the 80’s? Did they need a different amount of support the cannons?

Tout était une question d'équilibre. Il était tentant d'augmenter sans cesse le calibre des canons mais cela nuisait aux qualités du vaisseau. On estime parfois que les navires français avaient tendance à être trop armés (les vaisseaux mais aussi les frégates). Les canons de 36, qui armaient les batteries basses de tous les vaisseaux de ligne français (les Britanniques mettaient des canons de 32 livres) étaient par exemple souvent critiqués : trop lourds, trop lents à tirer... Ils furent d'ailleurs abandonnés après les guerres napoléoniennes et remplacés par les canons de 30.

Quelle différence entre un vaisseau de 74 canons et un vaisseau de 80 ? On pourrait naïvement imaginer qu'ils étaient relativement similaires : six canons de différence, soit trois sur chaque flanc... A priori rien de bien significatif. Voyons ça ! #thread

@Russell_2070 Why a credit spread for puts? If you think price is moving up, why not debit call spread? The debit call spread is equally more expensive to start but is there a specific reason to sell put spreads ve buying call spreads?

We can introduce a green line to the density graph just previously shown to find an area that a credit spread can work. If market density at 4:00pm est and the 9:30am est market open loosely follows that line a credit spread beneath that line works. And if price action does not follow that line at a minimum and gets beneath it then a credit spread at that line does not work. Mathematically given prior historical price action it tends to work more than it doesn't work. #STOCKMARKET #QQQ $FRACTALEXCHANGE $QQQ

@turkhafiza2 Müthiş bir sayfa. Teşekkürler

Pkk'lılar her zamanki gibi gönderileri kapalı hesaplardan alıntılayarak ve Telegram gruplarında paylaşarak organize şekilde sürekli hesabı spamlıyorlar. Bugün yine hesap kilitlendi. Türk Hafıza sizin için ne anlam ifade ediyor bu gönderi altına yazarsanız biz de okuruz.

@AdsoOfBelk Horse archers.

Honestly how do you even beat this

@Dcpcooks how do you compare the ES spots with the SOFR curve?

The new JPM collar levels are not priced along the curve

@fejau_inc You need to manage context. It constantly rereads the code when you ask it to do something if it feels it needs to. Keep summary docs of the context of your project. keep it up to date. Point Claude to those documents. It won’t have to parse everything every time.

I swear you do like 5 things with claude right now and hit a usage limit wtf

@sidprabhu They don't even need to do this. all they need is an IRGC account on Truth Social to drop truth's during market hours. We couldn't take it.

Death to Nvidia! Death to Google!

@RudyHavenstein lol. I was almost going to say Trump was worth it to get rid of Kamala. But that only leads me to the conclusion that we need an even bigger democrat disaster to get rid of Trump.

Having people who think Kamala and Joe were awesome cuss at me is painful.

@BowTiedLobster “So that realized vol rises” Doesn’t that keep the vol control crowd out of their buying? If they stop doing hawk stuff for 15 days you know vol control funds are just going to start buying again.

Market hours is when there's liquidity and the market actually prices things in. When they do Hawk stuff after hours they keep it away from the pricing mechanism. This is attempted vol suppression. It's like pressing down on a pot with heating water on it. If the water is a little bit hot but not that hot then pressing down can handle that level of expansion. To convert that back to market speak, in such a situation, even though there are some bearish fundamentals to cause corrections, if Trump and Bessent play a few tricks like this they can kick the correction down the road. If the pot gets too hot and you keep pressing down on the lid eventually it will explode. This, of course, is bad. When you see the writing on the wall and want to let the bearish fundamentals play out, you start letting out air from the kettle bit by bit. That means doing the Hawk announcements inside market hours so that the market starts to price hawkishness in. It also means doing the taco stuff outside of New York market hours to create counter-trend rallies into thin liquidity so that realized volatility rises and you can get the market acclimatized to a higher level of volatility instead of blind-siding it and causing a huge vol event. Basically the pattern signals they know it's over and they're actively trying to let air out of the pot rather than continuing to try to keep it closed forever.

@ragipsoylu This is the summary of the Turkish struggle with Leftist organizations. The only country with Maoist terror organizations. The only country with Stalinist terror organizations. You would think Stalin was their uncle. Comical if it weren't so tragic.

The Turkish gendarmerie commander to communists who want to commemorate a late revolutionary; "Look, the Soviet Union collapsed, friends, the Soviet Union collapsed…"

@NikLentz Poor choice for comparison.

Emotional take... after emotional take about Iran. Get it together. Acting like a bunch of school girls. 🙄

@Dcpcooks It seems we wait for Passover and Easter to pass and then see what he does.

Now what?

@quantian1 @DeepDishEnjoyer

Visiting the farm upstate for portfolio managers who draw down 5%:

@sidprabhu @Jesse_Livermore This is Turkish politics a couple of decades delayed.

@sidprabhu @Jesse_Livermore They want that so that they can come back with an even more fascist backlash. And the communists want that so that they can come back more Stalinist. Moderates are toast.

A running theme of this feed has been that the callousness and gaudy vulgarity of the Trump administration, along with the fecklessness of the Fed, will provoke a socialist backlash that reshapes the country over the next decade. I am more convinced of that now than ever.

@fejau_inc @lBattleRhino Put spreads work. High IV makes them cheaper to initiate. Counter rallies scare you but better than puts.

@lBattleRhino 2022 repeat bleed while no one makes money on their puts

Would be cool if we could accelerate this equities downside instead of euthanasia coaster for endless weeks but idk seems unlikely

@JohnKiriakou Serpico Corporate America is similar.

I had the chance to talk to former NYPD sergeant and whistleblower Stephen Lee, who went undercover to expose corruption inside one of the largest police departments in the world. According to Lee, what began as routine inspections quickly uncovered a hidden network of illegal activity involving prostitution, drugs, and officers taking bribes—pulling him into a high-risk operation where trust was scarce and the consequences were potentially deadly. This is a firsthand account of what happens when someone dares to challenge corruption from the inside. youtube.com/watch?v=nC0JNp…

@romanhelmetguy Make sure you marry into an Afghan family, kill a cabinet member, and don’t mess with the Turks up north.

A ground invasion of Iran would be trivial. Just start from Babylon and make a beeline for Susa. From there it’s a straight shot to Persepolis. Burn that to the ground. Then simply chase the Supreme Leader around until his buddies stab him and dump him by the roadside.

@Rozekurdno All the time. Over and over again. Except for Alexander, mostly from the east. British did it. Russians did it.

Macedonians did it, Greeks did it, Romans did it, Arabs did it, and Turks did it.