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@bessguy10

it’s going to get so weird.

Se unió Mayıs 2011
1.1K Siguiendo1.8K Seguidores
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Butters
Butters@bessguy10·
The economy is experiencing secular. deflation due to tech efficiency with temporary supply shock induced price increases in 2020 and 2026. Governments will continue to pursue dirigiste policy to avoid further deflationary pressures. Doing so causes more and more of the economy to rely on government stimulus. This is the “Great Reset”
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Butters
Butters@bessguy10·
I’m in the greatest city in the world
Butters tweet media
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Butters
Butters@bessguy10·
One of the challenges of modern construction is air tight seal Older homes have natural leaky ventilation so you don’t have this issue Also modern homes have oversized air conditioners causing clammy air
@levelsio@levelsio

I still haven't solved the CO2 bedroom challenge You open the window and you wake up from a 6am garbage truck or barking dogs and sunlight You close it, you suffocate in 1200 ppl at 5am I guess you really need some mini tube in your wall with a vent that opens and closed based on internal CO2 but how do I build that?

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Butters
Butters@bessguy10·
trench warfare in the Gulf
Jim Bianco@biancoresearch

The bottom line is the Iran War is "stuck." No War (shooting) No Peace No Shipping No Crude Oil, LNG, Fertilizer, and/or Helium And it will stay "stuck" until circumstances change. The most likely change ... * The US/Israel restart kinetic attacks with the goal of forcing the Iranians to their position * The Iranians hold the stalemate long enough to drive up crude oil prices to intolerable levels for the developed world to get the US/Israelis to accept their positions. I guess a third option is that the blockade imposes unbearable economic pain on the Iranians to force them to accept the US positions. I say "guess" because the thinking now is this might take a long time, which plays into the Iranian point above about holding the stalemate to drive up crude oil prices to intolerable levels. As we are starting to understand, the Iranian regime has a high tolerance for economic pain, and the larger population cannot overthrow them. So, the maximum pain point, the so-called "tank top" of their crude oil storage facilities getting full, might be several weeks away.

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molson 🧠⚙️
molson 🧠⚙️@Molson_Hart·
@bessguy10 Pakistan IME is one stdev more dysfunctional than India fwiw I like the take tho
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molson 🧠⚙️
molson 🧠⚙️@Molson_Hart·
I believe in India because I saw China transform in a way that I never thought possible. Yeah the buildings and trains are amazing, but the way people behaved changed completely. If China could, why can’t India? People blame genetics for behaviors that are driven by culture and incentives. India has a lot of disadvantages that China did not have: - more chaotic government - more languages, less national identity - AI poses a greater threat to their industries But India also has advantages that China did not have: - better English language skills (also can be a negative) - more accomplished diaspora who can return - rising in an era without a clear hegemonic power The things I see people mock India for, I saw firsthand in tier 3 city China 15 years ago. I watched a chef drop a wok of rice on the floor and put the rice right back into the wok. I saw a pile of manure that got dumped in the downtown. Broken glass and sharp wires at neck height everywhere. Gutter oil! Restaurants cooking with used oil from other restaurants. Is India more dysfunctional in states like Bihar than this? Yes, but I think they can fix it, just needs time, education, and different incentives. Will they match China? No one will ever, but they can be unique and great in their own Indian way.
molson 🧠⚙️@Molson_Hart

The 7 major ways China has changed between 2019 and 2024

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Butters
Butters@bessguy10·
@danyay I’ve heard it called “chat” As in “ask chat”
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Dan Nunn
Dan Nunn@danyay·
how many of your friends/family call it "chat g t p"
Seodaemun-gu, Republic of Korea 🇰🇷 English
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Butters
Butters@bessguy10·
Reasons: -Nuclear power (only one in muslim world) -English speaking -Muslim in an increasingly Islamic world -about to take over the UK -eat meat -good military relations with U.S. -Saudi-Iran conflict means Pakistan seen as stable power center in Muslim world (look at who is mediating the negotiations, lost oppo for India, Turkey ) -Friendly with Chinese investment and tech in a way India isn’t -paid to be security guarantor for Saudi -History of Asian paternal military dictatorship (see signapore/ Taiwan development pattern )
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Butters
Butters@bessguy10·
@Molson_Hart I believe in a version of this called Pakistan
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Butters
Butters@bessguy10·
Can’t help but feel much of sunbelt migration is due to the degradation in fashion standards among the middle class. It costs tens of thousands to dress like you want to be seen. But in the South you can just blend in in shorts and flip flops.
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Butters
Butters@bessguy10·
Naval thinks that AI will end Apple due to commoditizing curation, but I think the opposite. commodification of the interface means that people will pay more for throughtful, even nostalgic interfaces.
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Butters
Butters@bessguy10·
Canada is basically Europe's bunker
UrbanToronto@Urban_Toronto

It’s been confirmed that Canada will host the new Defence, Security and Resilience Bank (DSRB) — an international institution focused on financing defence and strategic infrastructure. While no city has been finalized, Toronto is widely seen as the frontrunner. This would require significant new office space, prompting speculation that dormant plans for The Hub — a proposed commercial supertall skyscraper at the foot of Bay Street, which has already pre-leased some of its space — could be constructed to house this new institution. urbantoronto.ca/database/proje…

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Butters
Butters@bessguy10·
commune with claude
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Butters
Butters@bessguy10·
A alternate positive timeline in which Facebook rebranded to Metta
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Butters
Butters@bessguy10·
The East is failing due to excessive worship of elders The West is failing due to excessive worship of children
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molson 🧠⚙️
molson 🧠⚙️@Molson_Hart·
@SullyBusiness That’s already an issue with steel roofs. Thanks for push back on insurance. Didn’t think of that.
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molson 🧠⚙️
molson 🧠⚙️@Molson_Hart·
We have decided to put solar panels on our beautiful ballrooms. I highly recommend solar panels right now. •less power consumption so lower bills •Lower peak demand eg during winter so lower bills •With batteries no more outages •Rising inflation •Can utilize the dollars in a smart good way (rare) •Tax breaks eg 35% off full bonus depreciation •Tax incentives and money back from government •Looks cool and respectable •Can sell electricity back to the grid
molson 🧠⚙️ tweet media
molson 🧠⚙️@Molson_Hart

I built a building with the same square footage as this $400 million dollar ballroom for just over $2 million in 2024.

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