Tweet fijado
It's been 5 years ,and I don't think I can able to overcome her . Don't think I can stay long
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கோவை எக்ஸ்பிரஸ்
23.4K posts
கோவை எக்ஸ்பிரஸ்
@cbe001
A man belongs to Dravidian stock
Coimbatore, India Se unió Mayıs 2011
4K Siguiendo1.3K Seguidores
கோவை எக்ஸ்பிரஸ் retuiteado
நம்மை வீழ்த்த நினைப்பவர்கள்தான் வீழ்ந்து போவார்கள்!
Read: tl.gd/n_1sjum35
தமிழ்
கோவை எக்ஸ்பிரஸ் retuiteado
கோவை எக்ஸ்பிரஸ் retuiteado
Exit Poll results:
Shocking😳😳😳😳
DMK+ : 40+
ADMK+ 20+
TVK : 170+
Totally Unexpected.
ரெண்டு திராவிட கட்சிகளை ஒரே தேர்தல்ல முடிச்சு விட்டார் தளபதி 🔥
இனி நம்ம காலம் தலைவா @actorvijay 🔥🔥🔥
GIF
Don't blabber anything today and cry on live on may 4th @PradeepGuptaAMI
Give TVK 120+ seats
English
கோவை எக்ஸ்பிரஸ் retuiteado
@moneyballXI Hope vj takes 5:3:2 from admk, dmk , ntk respectively
Indonesia
I think TVK took 3 votes from NDA for every 2 votes from DMK. This should result in a skewed DMK sweep even though the vote is for a govt change. Let's wait for the eventual results.
Sumanth Raman@sumanthraman
Let me start this post with a clear Disclaimer: Predicting election outcomes is even more imprecise than predicting the weather. I have been lucky in predicting the last several Tamil Nadu Assembly Elections right and am due to get it wrong. Over the last 2 months I have spoken with thousands of people trying to gauge the mood of the electorate and have visited several of the constituencies too. In my analysis I have relied on the 2024 LS elections data rather than the 2021 data as I believe this may reflect the ground situation better. I have given TVK an overall vote share of 20%, (higher in the urban areas and lower in the rural areas) though I am not convinced that is how much vote share they will get overall. I have factored in VIP constituencies, the intra party issues in some seats, the weakness of the alliance partners and a number of other variables. I have made one assumption: The TVK will take more or less equal vote share from both sides though I have geographically segregated this. A slight deviation to either side may not have much of an impact, but a large deviation will change the projections drastically. While doing all this my focus was on seeing if the incumbent party the DMK would be able to hold on or not. The reason is, when there is a third player there is a natural slight edge for the incumbent. When in doubt about a seat I gave it to the DMK alliance. The numbers I arrived at are as follows: 1.DMK Alliance: 100-115 2.AIADMK Alliance: 118-133 3.TVK: 0-3 Could this be totally off the mark? Of course it can. If TVK takes much more of the AIADMK vote then the situation can reverse and the DMK Alliance could secure a majority. Also if AIADMK can hold its dominance in the Kongu belt and if the PMK pulls its weight in the Vanniyar belt and if the allies of the DMK implode (Cong, DMDK, VCK), it could push AIADMK+ higher. For the DMK alliance to win Vijay has to take a lion's share of his votes from the AIADMK alliance and a low proportion of votes from the DMK alliance. My gut feel is that there seems to be a slight edge for the AIADMK alliance. However, I do not see a total sweep for either alliance unless Vijay takes his votes totally from one side and wrecks the other side. I do not know as yet what the Exit Polls are going to say tomorrow. Once I get further inputs will update. PS: The TVK factor has made predicting this election the toughest one in recent times. There is more than a fair chance I could be getting this wrong. #tamilnadulegislativeassemblyelection2026 #TamilNaduElections2026 #TNElections2026 #tnelection
English