jaydotchan

Never deleting this app.

Having a city full of broke bitches with nice asses is certainly worth the investment. I see the vision.

@cremieuxrecueil That Nick Norwitz guy?

There's an anti-statin influencer who is basically coping for the worst possible roll of the genetic dice. - APOE4 homozygote - High lp(a) - Extremely neurotic And it just feels wrong to engage with anything he writes because he's going to be demented or dead in a few decades.

@TheZeitgeistNZ Low IQ DEI hire

1News Political Editor Maiki Sherman should be fired. For over a year now every political story she runs has been the same. It doesn’t matter what actually happens in the world: - Poll says coalition ahead - Luxon bad - Poll says coalition behind - Luxon bad - Trump bombs Iran - Luxon bad - Fuel shortage - Luxon bad You never learn anything from her news stories - she doesn’t appear to have any real intelligence or understanding of political issues, or even any curiosity to find out. It’s just sour-faced anti-Luxonism all the way down. 1News receives taxpayer funding and has a legal obligation to provide balanced coverage. She is as biased and as partisan as can be. There is no reason ordinary Kiwis should provide this woman a job with this level of influence. Fire her.

@bowtiedstocks The business model is luxury service

I’m surprised a bit by just how high some private school fees are in Brisbane today Many many schools north of $30k + a year in fees or around that mark No tax deductions for these costs either, it’s all post tax money So for high earners, that’s $60k a year per kid of pre tax earnings 3 kids there’s $180k before you get out of bed, clothe or feed them Can keep people running on the hamster wheel for a long time You can also see how what sounds like a reasonably good salary disappears pretty fast

@PronouncedHare Trump was right about fake news

What was properly reportable, assuming they were true: - Stuart Smith tried to contact Luxon. - Luxon did not meet him at that time. - There was/is caucus discontent. - Polling is poor for National. - Ministers publicly denied a coup. - Luxon later acknowledged a group of disgruntled MPs leaking to media. Stuff the media should not have reported as fact, because it turned out to be speculation, overreach or at least unproved: - That a move against Luxon was “likely” in the next fortnight (speculation about what unnamed MPs might do, not a fact). - That those wanting Luxon gone would make their move in the next fortnight (same problem). - That the first move would be Luxon being presented with evidence of flagging support, potentially triggering his resignation and a change of leadership (not a reported event but a proposed script for events that had not happened). - That Smith’s inability to contact Luxon may have triggered a process for Luxon’s potential departure (no evidence for causal chain). - That had Smith reached Luxon, it would likely have led to a formal caucus meeting that could have produced a change (pure counterfactual journalism and really not reporting at all). - That Luxon’s position was becoming “untenable” (a political judgement, not a reportable fact). - That if a confidence vote were held, there was a “good chance” Luxon would fail and be turfed out (turned out to be wrong). - That there was probably a majority for change, even if not for a particular successor (turned out to be wrong). For the stuff that turned out to be wrong, it's a partial defence if you relied on good sources only if you never use those sources again.

@gummibear737 If lichtman didn’t let his bias get in the way, his 13 keys would’ve actually predicted trump would win in 2024

Do you remember Allan Lichtman? He's that academic who authoritatively put forth his "13 Keys to the White House" theory that said Trump would lose the 2024 Election. Well, that's who Robert Pape is now with his "Escalation Trap" theory of the Iran War And you know, it's possible that Robert Pape will ultimately be right about this thing escalating much much farther, but a broken clock is also right twice a day Because nothing about his interpretation of events so far show me that he is anything but an academic that's become a slave to the overly deterministic model that he's spent a career creating All conflicts are about escalation and deescalation, and just because he seems to have cornered the market on this concept doesn't make anything he says any more relevant The fact that there was essentially a deal in place on Friday should put to rest any notion that escalation is inevitable or that air-power cannot achieve military goals So maybe Trump will pull off a negotiate peace, or will have to push on further...but Pape is certainly not a serious commentator on the evolution of this conflict with his cherry picked interpretation of events

@AsxSuperstar @MarkoMatvikov How do they get into the country? As "refugees"?

@jaydotchan @MarkoMatvikov South Sudanese. Abos are too lazy.

I had an ex girlfriend many years ago from South Africa. She told me how her Dad used to lock a steel gate in the hallway to their bedrooms as the last line of defence for her and her sister against intruders. And that every morning they’d walk around the house to see if anything was stolen or damaged. I think these poor little girls will tell similar stories about living in Melbourne when they’re older.

@phl43 Any non paywalled link?

This article confirms pretty much everything that panicans have been saying about the war since the beginning. It's not 4D chess, Trump just thought Iran would capitulate immediately and now he doesn't know how to get out of this mess 🤷‍♂️ wsj.com/politics/natio…

The most exciting longevity trend right now is that we are actually beating dementia. At a given age—70, 75, 80, etc.—the prevalence of dementia is down compared to what it was decades ago. Today's 90-year-olds have less than half the risk of dementia that ones in 1984 did!

@Suitandtie9999 National only have themselves to blame for being passive and not rooting out the bias

Given tonight’s poll results, the optics of TVNZ suddenly ditching a long-standing tradition by rushing out their Verian poll this evening instead of waiting until Monday night, as they have done with every previous TVNZ Verian poll are terrible. This hands Tova O’Brien — widely seen as a keen Labour supporter — the first shot at the Prime Minister. It also gives the media a full day to pile pressure on the Government before Luxon’s afternoon press conference, where more gotcha questions can be fired off just in time for the 6pm news. TVNZ are anything but neutral.

when I was young, the worldwide threat was global cooling, and the solution proposed was full communism. then later the threat became global warming, and the solution was full communism. nowadays the threat is AI, and you'll never guess what the solution is. yep, full communism

Western elites could easily undermine populism if they moved right on immigration and culture. But they don’t want to - so invent imaginary reasons for the rise of populism such as disinformation, argues @DouthatNYT

"in just over a year, the United States has fully controlled the world's four major maritime chokepoints: Gibraltar, Malacca, Hormuz, Panama"

@dpfdpf Should start a campaign for nz first and act supporters to tactically vote national for electorate, go for the overhang

The size and time weighted public poll average is below.

PRINCE HARRY IN TROUBLE

@2ETEKA Very snake if true

Wonder why the TVNZ Verian poll is being released tonight ? And not tomorrow (Monday) . It’s more than likely awful for Luxon and TVNZ want to give his Kitchen cabinet time to run the numbers, form the argument for their caucus meeting on Tuesday and piss on his fire (well small flame, ah smouldering embers?). EVERY TVNZ Verian poll has consistently been released on a Monday night since its inception - see screenshot.

@PronouncedHare Act is more normie centre right than libertarian these days

In fact it has radicalised me on a number of issues especially regarding tax. I would now be a natural ACT voter except for two things: 1. it’s toxic but partial libertsrianism. 2. An ACT MP denigrated it to me for not being a real business because it’s a law firm, which annoyed me when I had risked every single dollar I had and the MP - like a lot of them - had only ever been a salaried employee.

Started a business three years ago and change. We are now at twenty employees and I am only now feeling like I am getting on top of it. It has been one of the steepest learning curves I have ever gone through and it has permanently changed my outlook on many things.